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re: FBI's latest data shows 'historic' drop in crime: Garland

Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:15 pm to
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
19595 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:15 pm to
Has the FBI tracked down the January 6 pipe bomber yet? Lol, they have so much cell phone data on everyone, but can’t find this guy? He was talking on his phone, lol. What about video cameras everywhere in the area? Hahaha, FBI is a joke
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

If the trend is accurate (and they well may be), I would have to wonder if they are dropping due to people having to work more (and often take on extra jobs) just to keep their heads above water.

The spike was clearly related to Covid-era policies, so as those go away, we're seeing a return to normalcy.

I think it's b/c people are going to work b/c there isn't the supplemented unemployment and kids are back in school, etc.

Probably a dash of defund the police stuff that has also gotten unpopular recently, but that's more property crimes (which as we both agree aren't a reliable measure).
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Irrelevant.

It's entirely relevant.

If Rudy's policies were great, then NYC should have been an outlier. Was it an outlier, or did it follow trends literally everywhere else in the US at the same time?

quote:

He did. Big Time.

Then why did crime go down in Chicago, New Orleans, Miami, Baltimore, Los Angeles, etc. at the same time?
Posted by BamaAtl
South of North
Member since Dec 2009
22253 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

This is as dumb as crediting Rudy G for NYC's crime decrease


I'm not a fan of the broken windows theory, but maybe it was right in this instance - holding Trump accountable is all the country needed to return to pre-Trump crime levels.
Posted by tigerfan 64
in the LP
Member since Sep 2016
6150 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

Why are they releasing this if participation levels aren’t met? Just trying to pander for votes?

Because they can hide the 26% of reduced murders inside the 20% that are non participating in the fbi statistics.
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
19595 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:21 pm to
The FBI stats can’t be trusted because the FBI can’t be trusted
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
34139 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:26 pm to
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
25198 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:32 pm to
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
42293 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:39 pm to
frick you and Joepedo.
Posted by trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
18834 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

Not using statistics from large urban centers will give these outcomes


Bingo! Take the small town data and extrapolate to the entire US population (since I dont have the data yet for Chicago, Oakland, etc) and compare that data to last year when I did have the data of the aforementioned and voila its down.

What a waste of time, its the same as the employement numbers when you are counting illegals now and you didnt previously, of course 100s of thousands of jobs are being added.
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
42293 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

Then why did crime go down in Chicago, New Orleans, Miami, Baltimore, Los Angeles, etc. at the same time?


Aggressive police measures / no cell phone video by-in-large?
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
85421 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

This is as dumb as crediting Rudy G for NYC's crime decrease



Gee. SFP is out front of his skis with another half-baked yada yada yada Marxist revisionist argument that he autistically gleaned from a podcast somewhere that can't withstand critical scrutiny. Again. Shocking.

FTR, crime in NYC was reduced and the city reborn because of very specific public policy by very specific individuals who busted their arse in their domain. Subway, parks, various boroughs, obviously policing, transit cops, Guiliani, Bratton, Bloomberg, Kelly, CompStat, etc. Real people making real change, little by little, implementing Broken Windows theory Street by street, stop and frisk, challenging criminals, taking property crime seriously, resulting in an absolutely amazing transformation of NYC. Not to mention sentencing which removed thousands of habitual criminals off the street.

Think of it as a reverse Californication. Policy does matter, and although demographics are certainly huge particularly with violent crime (less black males less murder) it's absolute ideological silly season to just brush over the most targeted approach to crime reduction in US history.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

since I dont have the data yet for Chicago

I posted it already

quote:

Oakland


LINK

quote:

Crime is down 33% overall in Oakland so far this year compared with the same period in 2023, according to the latest police statistics through April 28, with significant drops in categories including homicides, assaults, rapes and burglaries.


quote:

Yet, despite the overall decline, one type of crime has continued to worsen. Robberies, which play a critical role in public safety concerns and the perception of security, are up 11% in the first four months compared with last year. Because of that, the overall level of violent crime, which rose 21% last year, has remained flat in 2024 as rising robberies offset gains in other categories such as homicides.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

FTR, crime in NYC was reduced and the city reborn because of very specific public policy by very specific individuals who busted their arse in their domain


Then why did the exact same pattern occur in every other urban area without these "specific public policies"?

quote:

it's absolute ideological silly season to just brush over the most targeted approach to crime reduction in US history.

Not when the same crime reduction occurred literally everywhere else in the US.
Posted by BuzzdLightBeer
Member since Dec 2018
221 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:56 pm to
If you remove NYC, LA, Chicago and St Louis from the reporting the stats are "down"

If you remove them from the real stats, the US doesn't rank in the top 150 as a country for gun crime

Shocking Propaganda is propaganda
Posted by SG_Geaux
Beautiful St George, LA
Member since Aug 2004
80539 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:56 pm to
But I thought we were having an epidemic of gun violence and mass shootings?
Posted by jp4lsu
Member since Sep 2016
6345 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:58 pm to
Maybe because the DAs in these crime ridden states arent prosecuting as felonies and letting them off with misdimeanors. They are playing with numbers and felonies arent getting prosecuted as felonies.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

If you remove NYC, LA, Chicago and St Louis from the reporting the stats are "down"


NYC, LA, Chicago have already been covered ITT

quote:

St Louis


LINK

quote:

Overall crime trends in St. Louis are the lowest they’ve been in a decade, according to a 2023 crime report released by the mayor’s office and the St. Louis Metro Police Department.

The report reveals a 21% reduction in homicides between 2022 and last year, a 24% reduction in shooting incidents and a 23% reduction in shooting victims, who totaled 631 in 2023 compared to 821 in 2022. Mayor Tishaura Jones credits intentional work done by the police department with the drop in crime.


Crime is down bigly in all of those cities. Why would you want to remove that data from a report about crime being down?
Posted by Townedrunkard
Member since Jan 2019
13917 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

How do you reclassify a murder? Or a shooting?


I know in New Orleans, rapes and done other violent crimes, NOPD wouldn’t respond until 10-12 hours later and by then the victim left the hospital so no report was made.

No report taken, no crime committed….
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297390 posts
Posted on 6/11/24 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

No report taken, no crime committed…


Funny how he fights this issue, when DAs are being installed in our largest cities with one mission, keep minorities out of prison.

Yet SFP pretends this doesnt occur.
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