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re: Elon Musk is very concerned about the US going bankrupt

Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:04 am to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476619 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:04 am to
quote:

Give it time. Let's see what happens the next 4 years. There's definitely change in the air, that's why Trump won.


It's simply not enough spending in the agencies

There are only a few programs that can be cut enough to make a real difference.

Medicare
Medicaid
Social Security
The military
ACA subsidies (a distant 5th)
Posted by Chief One Word
Eastern Washington State
Member since Mar 2018
4254 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:07 am to
Debt and corruption is what you get when you vote in lawyers to run a country
Posted by Average_Comments
ATX
Member since Jan 2024
284 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:14 am to
quote:

Elon is right. This level of debt is unsustainable. Thank God the adults will be back in charge 1/20/25


Trump spent as much as Obama, I will believe it when I see it. Optimistic DOGE will have an impact, but uphill battle without fixing medicare, social security and cutting defense spending....

Edit: we are finally talking about fixing the spending though...why has this taken so long?!?? Sirens have been flashing since Bush.. both parties are guilty. Who will pay the price for this reckless incompetence so that the silent generation and baby boomers can have the most cush retirement of any generations in this nations history? We will and so will our children.
This post was edited on 12/4/24 at 7:20 am
Posted by Aubie Spr96
lolwut?
Member since Dec 2009
44416 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:15 am to
quote:

Pretty easy fix in my opinion


It requires something that Washington DC doesn’t have: political will.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476619 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:18 am to
quote:

It requires something that Washington DC doesn’t have: political will.


-"Washington DC"
+"the American electorate (including MAGA)"

There is a reason Trump attacked Desantis on Social Security/Medicare changes.

Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
55732 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:32 am to
quote:

I'll leave the moral debate to others, but correct on the latter. We were financially bankrupted (at least) a dozen or so yrs ago when the Federal Reserve fatally compromised their own balance sheet. Few people will figure it out because it ends with upheaval that looks like something else. But the point of no return has been passed.


The road to financial ruin for the US was laid when Nixon dropped the gold standard. The inflection point that signified the point of no return with regards to US debt occurred during the Financial Meltdown of 2007-2009. When the US government and Federal Reserve decided recklessly to use ZIRP, TARP, QE etc. to save US corporations from their poor business decisions it opened the door for the Federal Reserve to forever carry US debt on their balance sheet while increasing the debasement rate of the USD. I won't even go into the details of the COVID19 Hysteria deficit spending, I will say that BS was largest boondoggle and wealth transfer in US history.


All of this^^^^ has resulted in historic wealth transfer from the working class to the .1% The road back to financial stability for the US will be a long, winding and bumpy road and would require a reduction of the US government of 50% with much of the fiscal responsibility returned to the state level.
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5965 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:37 am to
quote:

It's simply not enough spending in the agencies


Doesn't matter. Still cut these to the bone. Big Government needs downsized.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476619 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:40 am to
quote:

Doesn't matter. Still cut these to the bone. Big Government needs downsized.



Sure. Fine.

But this is a discussion about our debt/deficit, and someone referenced DOGE within that specific context and its potential impacts.

The specific comment from our hourly worker

quote:

Hopefully DOGE can prevent this
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
98005 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:40 am to
quote:

There is a reason Trump attacked Desantis on Social Security/Medicare changes.



Because hes smart. Thats a massive L just like a 6week abortion ban

Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
20072 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:43 am to
quote:

Hopefully DOGE can prevent this. I think we are getting close to the point of no return.


Not sure if serious. DOGE can only make recommendations. They have no power.

Also the problem is spending. It will take more than recommendations to turn off the facet. Congress has showed time and again its not willing to do that.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
59245 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:43 am to
quote:

Hopefully DOGE can prevent this.


At best, I think they can only slightly delay the inevitable.

quote:

I think we are getting close to the point of no return.


We've been borrowing money to service the interest on previously borrowed money for over two decades now. Each year we borrow more (sometimes a little, sometimes a lot) and now interest rates are higher than they have been in a very long time. We're now at the point where annual debt servicing is over $1T and will not be going below that in the foreseeable future while the federal government continues to borrow more than it brings in each year. In other words, we're beyond the point of no return, but only because no one wants their program(s) cut.

Currently, it would take cutting ~30% from the entire budget (SNAP, pay for the military, utilities for government buildings, pay for every federal employee, the amount spent on copy paper in any given office, Social Security, Medicare, etc) just to balance the budget. That's a massive cut to everything and with 1/3 of Americans benefitting from some federal spending (Medicare, Section 8, VA benefits, GSLs, Pell Grants, etc), that guarantees any across-the-board cut that large is going to be highly unpopular.

That widespread unpopularity is the key as politicians run on doing popular things. Anyone even suggesting such a cut would likely lose their next election, voting for (much less passing) it would cement the death of their political career. This all means no one in Congress nor the Presidency will touch this much of a cut with a 10-foot pole. Ever.

Some will push for smaller cuts over a longer period of time, but the same issue with political expediency still exists as eventually enough candidates running on "making your government work for YOU again" would get elected to reverse those cuts.

The electorate is addicted to government programs to the point of preferring to elect enablers. We've indoctrinated generations to now believe that being on public assistance is okay (ie: it's okay to be on it for as long as you like, not something so shameful that you should bust your arse to get off of it). It's going to take generations to revert that mindset back to common sense self-reliance, but that's first going to require changing the philosophy of the education sector (which will likely take at least a generation itself).

The next recession we have is likely to be rampant with stagflation as the consumer debt load is massive, dependency on federal programs is high and the federal government's response is to just dole out more money to the masses.

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299281 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:46 am to
quote:

Hopefully DOGE can prevent this.



Some of us have been pointing out the problem for years, and no one cared.

In fact, deficit spending doesnt seem to be an issue with the "new populist right."

Weird how suddenly people think its a problem. Its been a problem for a long time.

The best prevention is to stop spending money we dont have.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299281 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:48 am to
quote:

Also the problem is spending


And nothing will be done, because politicians cant get re-elected or praised by putting us into a recession.

The can will continue to get kicked down the road until govt starts coming for your Retirment accounts.
Posted by Heirofslytherin88
Member since Dec 2024
107 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:52 am to
frick him and his alligator tears
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
22953 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:54 am to
quote:

If Ukraine loses with our backing it will weaken the dollar because our might vs BRICS would be diminished.


Correct, our dollar is protected by our military. However, protecting Ukraine is a very far stretch to say it is to protect the dollar. You make it sound as if the US military is 100% involved when it is absolutely not.

I pray Putin removes Zelensky real soon. I also pray Ukraine remains out of NATO. NATO has become a huge problem and if the US does not get out of it, the NATO dog will one day bite the US in the femoral!!
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299281 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:55 am to
quote:


All of this^^^^ has resulted in historic wealth transfer from the working class to the .1%


Its not a real wealth transfer, its just the normal procession of deficit spending, it all ends up parked as wealth for the investors. Deficit spending becomes wealth in its journey, usually when in the hands of the rich.

All that covid money ended up in the hands of already wealthy people who then used it to frick up the housing market.



Posted by Heirofslytherin88
Member since Dec 2024
107 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 7:58 am to
There’s not even such thing as money any more. It’s numbers on a computer scree.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299281 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 8:03 am to
MMT.

Covid was really a trial run.
Posted by Helo
Orlando
Member since Nov 2004
4804 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 8:13 am to
quote:

quote:
Hopefully DOGE can prevent this

It cannot. Not enough meat on the bone.


Possibly but being a fatalist will surly not prevent it.

If you lose your job or take a pay cut, you at least look at marginal things to improve your position. Maybe not have 5 streaming services but cut it to one. Will eliminating $100/mth from your household budget prevent bankruptcy, probably not but it is a start.

We as a country have to face some budget cut pain, unfortunately, but over time (a long time) it will improve but it has to start somewhere.

When I was in highschool, SS / Medicare and national debt were big topics but no one had the political will to address so after 30 years, the problems can no longer be ignored and will cause real pain to fix.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299281 posts
Posted on 12/4/24 at 8:16 am to
quote:

but being a fatalist will surly not prevent it.


I think its more of a realistic view.

Politicians arent getting re-elected cutting SS, Medicaid and Military spending.





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