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Started By
Message
re: Economic growth is close to zero for the fourth quarter, according to Fed gauges
Posted on 11/16/19 at 8:06 am to Barstools
Posted on 11/16/19 at 8:06 am to Barstools
quote:
Will we're headed for recession. Have been for almost half the year. At least according to the MSM.
We’re in a recession in certain sectors such as manufacturing.
2
Posted on 11/16/19 at 8:11 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
Dude, you have been talking the economy and this market down for damn near a year now. You have been dead wrong. You couldn't possibly have been any more wrong.
Posted on 11/16/19 at 8:14 am to gthog61
I agree.. I cannot find decent quality of workers. Our competitors in the same area are paying field techs $15.00/hour, I am paying field techs $28-$35/ and nobody is biting
Posted on 11/16/19 at 8:16 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
Well we had the largest job growth in the manufacturing sector since the 60's. Guess it couldn't keep going forever.
Posted on 11/16/19 at 9:15 am to Barstools
quote:
Well we had the largest job growth in the manufacturing sector since the 60's. Guess it couldn't keep going forever.
Job growth should = GDP growth but in this instance it didn’t due to the appreciation of the USD killing our exports
Posted on 11/16/19 at 9:36 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
quote:
Everyone aside from Trump, Mnuchin, and I are celebrating how strong the USD is.
Trump has the economic IQ of a toad.
Posted on 11/16/19 at 10:01 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
It will be above 2%
Posted on 11/16/19 at 10:23 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
quote:What should we do to weaken the dollar?
Everyone aside from Trump, Mnuchin, and I are celebrating how strong the USD is. Until we depreciate the USD to make it competitive in exports our GDP growth is going to suffer. How only the three of us understand this baffles my mind.
Posted on 11/16/19 at 10:31 am to LSURussian
quote:
What should we do to weaken the dollar?
The Fed needs to conduct open market purchases and increase the money supply obviously.
Posted on 11/16/19 at 10:40 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
Growth targets are foolish. The goal should be to reach the highest growth that the Fed will allow.
Posted on 11/16/19 at 10:46 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
If the growth rate in the 4th quarter is close to zero, by definition, it isn't in a recession. Takes 2 quarters of negative growth.
Also, the point was, as fast as the manufacturing sector grew from 2016 to present, it's not exactly shocking to see the growth go down some.
Also, the point was, as fast as the manufacturing sector grew from 2016 to present, it's not exactly shocking to see the growth go down some.
This post was edited on 11/16/19 at 10:47 am
Posted on 11/16/19 at 10:57 am to Shepherd88
quote:
What do you think drives that DOW record?
This post was edited on 11/16/19 at 11:01 am
Posted on 11/16/19 at 11:32 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
M2
Federal Reserve Assets
Bro, they are literally doing both as we speak. The Asset Purchases are just not "targeting asset price appreciation" and instead their trying to control repo rates. You are ignoring $100B almost daily in cash injections from the FOMC to ease markets into the global contraction.
Federal Reserve Assets
Bro, they are literally doing both as we speak. The Asset Purchases are just not "targeting asset price appreciation" and instead their trying to control repo rates. You are ignoring $100B almost daily in cash injections from the FOMC to ease markets into the global contraction.
Posted on 11/16/19 at 11:41 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
quote:
The Fed needs to conduct open market purchases and increase the money supply obviously.
United States Money Supply M2
As an aside to this, the Fed's balance sheet is actually expanding since July. That means the Fed is buying securities in the open market.
What other useless buzz-word crap ya’ gonna spew??
Posted on 11/16/19 at 11:43 am to LSURussian
quote:
LSURussian
I always enjoy when you chime in on the monetary policy threads
Posted on 11/16/19 at 11:52 am to OleWarSkuleAlum
quote:
Until we depreciate the USD to make it competitive in exports our GDP growth is going to suffer.
You do realize we are an import economy, not an export?
Posted on 11/16/19 at 3:23 pm to BurningHeart
quote:
You do realize we are an import economy, not an export?
We could be a net exporter if the fed understood how they have overvalued the USD.
Posted on 11/16/19 at 3:26 pm to LSURussian
Of course they are conducting open market purchases they just lowered the FFR. Do you not understand how that works? They need to do much more. We should be at 0% or lower right now to remain competitive in the export markets.
Posted on 11/16/19 at 3:29 pm to OleWarSkuleAlum
quote:
The Fed needs to conduct open market purchases and increase the money supply obviously.
quote:
Of course they are conducting open market purchases
Posted on 11/16/19 at 7:03 pm to OleWarSkuleAlum
quote:
We could be a net exporter if the fed understood how they have overvalued the USD.
Uh no.
What do you want the Fed to do? Back down to 0% and QE?
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