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re: DJT - We run out of reserves at about 4 weeks...you wanna see bedlam?

Posted on 6/19/26 at 1:35 am to
Posted by DUKE87
Covington, LA
Member since May 2021
1763 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 1:35 am to
We drilling but we selling it all. Crawl out from under the rock buddy. Same with LNG.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
174799 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 1:59 am to
We also import a lot of the oil we refine and export a lot of our own oil.

It isn't just our reserves being depleted that's the issue here. There has been a global reserve draw down. Most our imports are from Canada and Mexico. To really get into this we would need to look at the reserves of who we import our oil from.

And that's just on the gas price front. Our economy is heavily dependent on there being minimal disruptions to semiconductor manufacturing in Taiwan. There are a number of potential bottlenecks in that supply chain that go through the strait. The idea that this is as simple as drill baby drill and all our problems go away is naive.
Posted by SaintsTiger
1,000,000 Posts
Member since Oct 2014
2126 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 2:06 am to
Interesting how the dems all of a sudden stopped talking about the green new deal when they could attack Orange for an oil spike price.
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
3839 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 2:23 am to
It's obvious to me that he's not talking about US reserves, but world reserves. Reserves of producer countries like South Korea, Japan, European countries, etc. I think countries that have little to no drilling capacity have more of a just in time refining than countries that can drill their own.
Producer countries were probably hurting the most scrambling to replace the missing 20% from the SOH. Fertilizer also played a big part of this.
Posted by Azkiger
Member since Nov 2016
28461 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 4:49 am to
So it nearly was cut in half. Good Biden/Harris defense.
Posted by horndog
*edited by ADMIN
Member since Apr 2007
11969 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 5:25 am to
quote:



I don’t believe that




If an oil well is stopped, it may not produce ever again. Even if it does produce, it takes a good bit of time to start back up. This was done to avert disaster. We'll probably still get get oil shock in a month.
This post was edited on 6/19/26 at 5:28 am
Posted by purpleblackandgold
BR
Member since Aug 2007
162 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 5:43 am to
Seems like he FAFO.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
479549 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:13 am to
quote:

It's obvious to me that he's not talking about US reserves, but world reserves. Reserves of producer countries like South Korea, Japan, European countries, etc. I think countries that have little to no drilling capacity have more of a just in time refining than countries that can drill their own.


Correct.

The only reason why petro prices didn't skyrocket during the war was China took the brunt of it by both selling a lot of their reserves AND lowering their demand.

Europe Markets
China is helping to cushion global oil prices below $100 — but analysts warn it won’t last


quote:

A rapid reduction in Chinese crude imports has helped stop oil from trading even higher since the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran war — but analysts warn that price rises will be needed as market balance is gradually restored.

The Middle East conflict has entered its 100th day — but fears of a $200-per-barrel spike have failed to materialize, despite global crude supplies tumbling 14% since hostilities began on Feb. 28.

Market strategists say China is acting as a key pressure valve on energy markets, with Beijing’s move to cut crude imports from 11.7 million barrels a day in February to just under 9 million a day by late May helping to ease the Strait of Hormuz supply shock.

China’s cut represents about 74% of the decline in global crude imports, a “disproportionate” share of the adjustment, according to J.P. Morgan analysts, who said this has helped prices remain “remarkably calm” four months into the conflict.


China is going to gain so much diplomatically for helping the region during this war. So not only are they going to be able to get closer to Iran, Belt and Road Iran, etc., but they were also foil to the US in oil markets (US starts a war that cripples worldwide economies while China sacrifices to help these countries).

Also, it's telling Trump got the deal done after visiting China. China's inability to continue to be the party keeping the world's oil prices down wasn't going to be able to continue indefinitely, and I imagine Xi let Trump know this. That's why post-China Trump was open about it.
Posted by UtahCajun
Member since Jul 2021
6379 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:23 am to
quote:

Auto Pen Harris/Biden emptied it to bring down gas prices during the election so you should probably believe 

This is what I mean when I say that you personally, should never, ever say anyone else has "the dumbest post ever".

Dude, he is talking about global reserve stocks held by private companies and not specifically the strategic reserves tUSA holds. There is a difference. You should learn that.
Posted by Evolve
Texas
Member since Aug 2012
3438 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:24 am to
Well thats one hell of an admission of defeat. fricking pathetic.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
479549 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:31 am to
quote:

This is what I mean when I say that you personally, should never, ever say anyone else has "the dumbest post ever".

Dude, he is talking about global reserve stocks held by private companies and not specifically the strategic reserves tUSA holds. There is a difference. You should learn that.
\

It's amazing, really
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
70402 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:33 am to
quote:

Sunnyvale
Wow. This has to be the fumble of the century.


Afghanistan withdrawal was 1000 times worse
Posted by UtahCajun
Member since Jul 2021
6379 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:48 am to
quote:

China is going to gain so much diplomatically for helping the region during this war

Too many people here see China as the great boogie man. Yet they are too blind to see that only we go around the world bombing and forcing regime chamge through military action. China plays the soft game. This is also why China is winning.

I cannot wait until the hawkish neo-cons, who want to bomb the shite out of everyone they think doesn't like us, are dead. Maybe then tUSA will no longer look like the bad guy on a global scale.

Que the "you hate America/you love China" BS spewing from the mouth breathers.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
479549 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:49 am to
China's favorite foreign policy is when the US starts bombing places around the world.
Posted by thejuiceisloose
Member since Nov 2018
6452 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:53 am to
quote:

After 10+ years of being in politics, you idiots still can’t speak Trump. It is mind blowing.


Textbook example
Posted by CrystalPreserves
Member since May 2019
4678 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:55 am to
Grifter gonna grift.
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42518 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:57 am to


This meme might be the most perfect meme I’ve ever seen that describes this place.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
69306 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 6:57 am to
It's a hallmark of Trump. He's says something that's imprecise/sloppy/rambling, then everyone interprets what they want from it.
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
32843 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 7:11 am to
quote:

It's obvious to me that he's not talking about US reserves, but world reserves.


Cushing hit its operational minimum last week.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
479549 posts
Posted on 6/19/26 at 7:15 am to
Story for anyone who wants a source

quote:

Today, neighboring Cushing is the hub of America’s energy market. It literally provides the oil plumbing for the United States. It’s where America’s benchmark West Texas Intermediate oil is priced and warehoused. From there, it’s piped to refineries around the country.

In normal times, Cushing stores around 40 million barrels of oil with capacity of up to 75 million.


quote:

Cushing’s current inventory is 21.6 million barrels, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

That’s dangerously close to operational stress levels, the tipping point at which Cushing struggles to supply all of its customers with the oil they demand.

When Cushing’s reserves get below 20 million, they effectively hit empty, scraping the bottom of the barrel of what is largely unusable sludge.


quote:

Chevron CEO Mike Wirth, at the same conference, agreed that ultra-low inventories will mean higher prices in the coming weeks. Same goes for the heads of the International Energy Agency, International Monetary Fund, World Bank Group and World Trade Organization, who released a statement on May 29 that noted the record-pace depletion of global oil inventories poses growing risks to fuel security, the market and the broader economy.


Iran's strategy worked.
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