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Democrats surge past Republicans in early voting

Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:44 am
Posted by StopRobot
Mobile, AL
Member since May 2013
15391 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:44 am
"Registered Democrats have returned 1.4 million ballots, more than twice the 653,000 ballots registered Republicans have returned so far, according to Michael McDonald, a political scientist at the University of Florida who analyzes early voting."

LINK
Posted by FreddieMac
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
21001 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:44 am to
So
Posted by ShoeBang
Member since May 2012
19359 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:44 am to
There's a hurricane in the gulf too
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76521 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:44 am to
State by state breakdown?
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76521 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:47 am to
"About two-thirds of voters who have already voted — 3.7 million Americans — are either unaffiliated with either party or live in states that do not register voters by party. Demographic modeling by one prominent Democratic firm, TargetSmart, estimates that almost 3 million of all votes cast have come from Democratic voters, compared to about 2.1 million from Republicans."


So it's not actual data and is an "educated guess" by a self described Democrat firm.

Got it

This post was edited on 10/9/20 at 8:48 am
Posted by fillmoregandt
OTM
Member since Nov 2009
14368 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:47 am to
In California
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
54210 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:47 am to
quote:

"Registered Democrats


always help republicans get elected for president. Always.
Posted by ShoeBang
Member since May 2012
19359 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:48 am to
quote:

So it's not actual data and is an "educated guess."



Literally thanks, Obama.

He made propaganda by media legal in 2012.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79161 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:48 am to
quote:

a political scientist at the University of Florida who analyzes early voting


Whenever I'm craving early voting deets, my go to guy is the political scientist at University of Florida.
Posted by tankyank13
NOLA
Member since Nov 2012
7722 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:49 am to
And a lot of those Democrats are voting Trump. I have lots of family members, including my mom who is still registered as a Democrat but is extremely MAGA
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
67948 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:49 am to

If they want to use the least reliable voting method,

that's on them.
Posted by MFn GIMP
Member since Feb 2011
19348 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:49 am to
This isn't surprising. Every single poll shows that Democrats are going to overwhelmingly vote by mail while Republicans are going to vote in-person on election day. This is going to hurt Democrats because mail-in votes have a much higher rejection rate.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68275 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:49 am to
Uh, that's always been expected.

In Pa it has been suggested that 80% of Republicans will vote in person while 64% of democrats will vote by mail.
This post was edited on 10/9/20 at 8:51 am
Posted by oleheat
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Mar 2007
13457 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:50 am to
Does that include the dead vote?
Posted by Bulldogblitz
In my house
Member since Dec 2018
26783 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:50 am to
Living?
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61270 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:50 am to
What's the breakdown by state?
Posted by BlackHelicopterPilot
Top secret lab
Member since Feb 2004
52833 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:51 am to
quote:

a political scientist at the University of Florida who analyzes early voting




imagine having that as your specialty:

Dinner Party Banter

"So, what do you do?"

'Every 4 years, I analyze early voting'

"Yeah...excuse me...I'm going to go mingle. Maybe I can find a Life Insurance Salesman to speak with"
Posted by ChexMix
Taste the Deliciousness
Member since Apr 2014
24980 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:51 am to
Guarantee OP never read the article
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76521 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:51 am to
quote:

This isn't surprising. Every single poll shows that Democrats are going to overwhelmingly vote by mail while Republicans are going to vote in-person on election day. This is going to hurt Democrats because mail-in votes have a much higher rejection rate.


According to recent PA data, the rejection rate in more rural counties is about 1.5%, and near zero in urban. Lots of frickery going on already.
Posted by BigAppleBucky
New York
Member since Jan 2014
1807 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 8:51 am to
This was predicted by nearly everybody.

In general, Democrats are more fearful of COVID than Republicans and would naturally be more likely to vote absentee or early.

There were three hour lines yesterday to vote early in Ohio. No way in the world would I wait that long to vote early.
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