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Daily Fail: Election Nostradamus Nate Silver makes extreme prediction

Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:00 pm
Posted by BoomerandSooner
Top of Texas
Member since Sep 2025
3804 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:00 pm
Election Nostradamus
Election Nostradamus
Election Nostradamus

https://www.dailymail.com/news/us-politics/article-16221905/Election-Nate-Silver-makes-extreme-prediction-midterms.html

quote:

Election forecaster Nate Silver has made a fresh prediction about Democrats' chances of seizing control of Congress, with his latest model giving the party a 94 percent chance of winning the House and a 75 percent chance of taking the Senate. The updated forecast, published Monday in his Silver Bulletin newsletter, comes just over two weeks before Americans head to the polls on November 3, with Republicans fighting to hold on to their majorities in both chambers.
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
32834 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:01 pm to
Nate Bronze is an idiot — Republicans will keep the Senate and the House will be very close either way
This post was edited on 10/19/26 at 6:02 pm
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
79293 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:03 pm to
For being “Nostradamus” that fricker is wrong a lot
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49445 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:06 pm to
quote:

Nate Silver


Living off of one good election prediction.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
83730 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

94 percent chance of winning the House


This is almost a tautology. The president's party almost always loses seats.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
101648 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:10 pm to
Ronsuxdix is the Nate Bronze of the poli
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
27937 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:15 pm to
I can not wait to hear how they claim the referendums!!
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
64680 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:17 pm to
Silver is always right when things go well for Democrats.

Another way of looking at it is he’s only right when things go well for Democrats.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
105558 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:19 pm to
More like “Nostradumbass”, huh?
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
32834 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

Silver is always right when things go well for Democrats.
he is a fricking hack
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
145063 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:26 pm to
Is he the guy that came up with the algorithm 538 used?

The one ABC decided to shutdown instead of continuing to look foolish even after paying millions to get it?
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49445 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:27 pm to
quote:

Is he the guy that came up with the algorithm 538 used?


Yep
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
145063 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 6:30 pm to
We should probably check on that dude with “the keys” to see what’s up.
Posted by chRxis
None of your fricking business
Member since Feb 2008
28504 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 7:17 pm to
after 2016 i don't put ANY stock into pollsters, like Silver, Luntz, etc....

their info just isn't as reliable, and too often they don't include all the variables possible in their projections, making them no more reliable than you or I as far as predictions go
Posted by Barstools
Atlanta
Member since Jan 2016
12433 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 7:23 pm to
Got 'im!
Posted by Tigersforthee
Member since Dec 2025
723 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 8:20 pm to
All of these predictions are based on a couple days of early voting skewing towards Democrats in some states. I'll admit that could be a bad sign for Republicans or it could ultimately not really mean a whole lot compared to the next two weeks of voting.
Posted by stelly1025
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
10481 posts
Posted on 10/19/26 at 10:10 pm to
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