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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:27 pm to
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96124 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

Just last week some doctors were predicting 2-3% mortality rate for Americans.


Unreasonable alarmism. This isn't even going to be 1%. Might not be over 3/4%. Early numbers were skewed by a single, poorly run nursing home in Washington State and, as a result, a $20T economy and millions of lives were ruined.

Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

Early numbers were skewed by China


FIFY
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

Might not be over 3/4%.
I’ve said the final mortality rate for Americans will be 0.1%- 0.5%.
Posted by WylieTiger
Member since Nov 2006
14753 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:33 pm to
A smidge above influenza.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129615 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:38 pm to
You’re going to have clusters like that.
The nursing home in DuPage, IL now has 44 confirmed cases.
Posted by ShermanTxTiger
Broussard, La
Member since Oct 2007
11412 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:43 pm to
Any guesses at why Germany's mortality rate is so low?

Damn Italy is getting crushed.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:50 pm to
Yep.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8286 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:07 pm to
I have added two new graphs. 1st is daily deaths on a logarithmic scale and a combined chart of total cases and total deaths on a logarithmic scale.





NOTE: Updated as of 4PM CST, These are not final numbers for the day, they will go up throughout the day.

NOTE: Until the end of the day, the growth rate numbers will not be correct.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 4:26 pm
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
48129 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:18 pm to
Doesn’t looks to be slowing down
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

Doesn’t looks to be slowing down
Hard to tell. The number of new cases today compared to yesterday is way down. But there are several hours yet to go in today.

We’ll know more around midnight.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8286 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:28 pm to
I added two new graphs to today's update.

1st is a graph for CV Deaths on a logarithmic scale, requested by NorCali

2nd is a combined chart of total cases and total deaths both on a logarithmic scale.
Posted by LifeTimeTiger2
Member since Apr 2017
532 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:30 pm to
Why are the serious cases not moving? Can this be accurate? If it is this virus shutdown is all bull shite
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129615 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:31 pm to
Ignore serious cases.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8286 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:32 pm to
LifeTime...that's a great question, I don't really know why the US isn't reporting serious cases. I think I will be removing that data from my updates since it isn't being updated.
Posted by nerd guy
Grapevine
Member since Dec 2008
13838 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:34 pm to
Has anyone plotted % change in deaths?
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8286 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:39 pm to
Here you go Nerdguy

Posted by bogeypro
North Alabama
Member since Sep 2012
4052 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

Doesn’t looks to be slowing down


If all they are testing is people who have symptoms... it will continue to look this way. The freaking test sample is already sick with something.

This chart should really have a big asterisk that says the data is coming from tests of people that are exhibiting symptoms.

This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 4:45 pm
Posted by badlands
Member since Apr 2008
2313 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:53 pm to
Yep
Posted by MorgusTheMagnificent
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2014
1965 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:54 pm to
This is a good trend
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 5:05 pm to
I don’t agree at all but I wouldn’t trust the slow down. Weekend testing.
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