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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 8/27/20 at 6:55 pm to Athanatos
Posted on 8/27/20 at 6:55 pm to Athanatos
Meh numbers today, although testing was also a pretty good bit higher today than a week ago. One good number is hospitalizations down 4500 WOW.
Worried we might be settling into a plateau for a bit based on the last few days. Texas just refuses to get their backlog cleared.
Worried we might be settling into a plateau for a bit based on the last few days. Texas just refuses to get their backlog cleared.
3
Posted on 8/27/20 at 6:57 pm to AUMIS01
Remember colleges could be contributing to the numbers. That will slow eventually.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 6:59 pm to AUMIS01
I reject the idea that colleges reopening is going to cause a spike
What do you think these students were doing in the summer? You don’t think they were partying?
What do you think these students were doing in the summer? You don’t think they were partying?
Posted on 8/27/20 at 7:00 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
UNC saw a pretty significant rise in positivity rate before it sent students home.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 8:15 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
I reject the idea that colleges reopening is going to cause a spike
What do you think these students were doing in the summer? You don’t think they were partying?
The incoming freshman probably weren't partying at the same level they will be.
Posted on 8/27/20 at 9:04 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
reject the idea that colleges reopening is going to cause a spike
You have to remember we’re scared of cases. My daughter’s high school reopened with in-person, 5 day school. The senior class is all now quarantined. All 190 or so of them. They had a back to school party.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 12:14 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:It will, but so what?
I reject the idea that colleges reopening is going to cause a spike
Posted on 8/28/20 at 8:07 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
I reject the idea that colleges reopening is going to cause a spike
What do you think these students were doing in the summer? You don’t think they were partying?
The case # will rise, but that's the only thing that will rise.
It also may not rise as much as some think because a lot of kids will not get tested because they have a cold, no matter the procedures the university have in place.
This post was edited on 8/28/20 at 8:08 am
Posted on 8/28/20 at 8:25 am to bbap
VA dumped 100 deaths today, so the number is likely going to be higher than last week.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 9:17 am to Athanatos
Part of it will be a catch up to yesterday. VA didn't report in time for their numbers to be included in the CTP daily update.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 9:23 am to the808bass
My only problem with cases is the ammunition it provides to the media. Cases don't mean anything other than an indicator of trends. At some point we'll also have to acknowledge that we're likely entering the Jacob Blake Spike.
I'm waiting to find out more information, but heard this morning that a friend of my wife and I spent some time in the hospital (along with her husband) recently with COVID. She is the absolute poster child for at-risk, except that she's not reached elderly status (early 50s I believe). Multiple co-morbidities as well as being considerably overweight. Home now and recovered, so something is working in the treatment protocols. No doubt that had she been infected during the first burst, she'd likely be dead.
If that becomes more the norm, then literally nobody should care about cases.
I'm waiting to find out more information, but heard this morning that a friend of my wife and I spent some time in the hospital (along with her husband) recently with COVID. She is the absolute poster child for at-risk, except that she's not reached elderly status (early 50s I believe). Multiple co-morbidities as well as being considerably overweight. Home now and recovered, so something is working in the treatment protocols. No doubt that had she been infected during the first burst, she'd likely be dead.
If that becomes more the norm, then literally nobody should care about cases.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 9:42 am to AUMIS01
quote:
Worried we might be settling into a plateau for a bit
Why would this worry you? It is what I’m hoping for. We need to boil through this to get herd immunity. Suppressing this virus to nearly nothing is a terrible strategy, in my opinion. The Swedes seem to have it whipped; I want to be where they are.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 9:45 am to AUMIS01
quote:
Multiple co-morbidities as well as being considerably overweight. Home now and recovered, so something is working in the treatment protocols. No doubt that had she been infected during the first burst, she'd likely be dead.
If that becomes more the norm, then literally nobody should care about cases.
That has always been the norm. Fat, old, almost dead people usually survive COVID-19. But in America, 185,000 didn’t.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 11:29 am to Penrod
Not exactly what I meant. I'm on board with the herd immunity push and I think we've achieved it in specific locations (NYC, etc.). It's likely heavily populated areas of the Sunbelt are well on their way. It's more because of the ammo it provides to keep the BS shutdowns in place. "See, see, it's not going away!" kind of thing.
Deaths should be dropping shortly, with the hospitalization drop we've seen. We'll see if the gatekeepers of the state data allow us to see a drop without all of the single day dumps they like to do that keep the counts artificially inflated.
Deaths should be dropping shortly, with the hospitalization drop we've seen. We'll see if the gatekeepers of the state data allow us to see a drop without all of the single day dumps they like to do that keep the counts artificially inflated.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 4:20 pm to Tallyman
Get positivity down to 1-2% or less and you can make an argument for herd immunity in Florida. Getting close, might break through 5% soon.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 5:14 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
This post was edited on 8/28/20 at 5:16 pm
Posted on 8/28/20 at 5:26 pm to Chromdome35
Heads up for anyone that watches hospitalizations, COVID Tracking has Georgia hospitalizations overstated by about 550. Showing a spike over 2600, actual number is 2081. So hospitalizations still plummeting here.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 5:27 pm to AUMIS01
I appreciate your commentary and contributions to the thread.
Posted on 8/28/20 at 5:40 pm to Chromdome35
Back at ya Chrome. This thread has become my primary source / clearinghouse for analysis and discussion. Much appreciated.
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