re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

For Texas, since it would be illegal to falsify a death certificate, we should see a much lower and more accurate count moving forward.

From their website-->

This method does not include deaths of people who had COVID-19 but died of an unrelated cause,” the Texas Department of State Health Services said in a news release.

Positivity rate is declining

Good news

I’d love for it to drop below 6%

I thought you used COVID tracking project?

Their Twitter says 428 today. Did their data feed send the larger number anyways?

Yeah that really sucks. Worldometers hasn't finalized but will soon and they are at 570.

Hate to see everything get out of whack for this. Ughhhh

What I've done once before when New Jersey dumped in a ton of deaths, was to take the additional deaths and spread them back over time based on each day's % of total deaths.

I will do that for texas tonight, by tomorrow AM Texas will show 44 deaths for today.

I have to calculate each day's adjusted number and then put those into a database table I created when I did NJ's dump. My import routines read that table and adjust that states day's deaths to include the additional deaths. It then pulls out the overstated deaths from the 7/27/20 death number.

UPDATE 9:50PM Texas is corrected, I spread the deaths back over time so the overall total deaths remain the same for both Texas and the US.

This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/















New Cases by State


New Deaths by State


7-day average growth rate of new cases

For a bit of the international perspective, weekly deaths are well over 5000 again, largely due to Latin America being a mess (and things starting to get bad in India), but we've been still accounting for about 16% of global COVID deaths.

start

LINK

Not surprising

Countries can game the system through minimal testing and reporting (e.g. Russia listing COVID as underlying conditions and GEOTUS himself has said he'd like it if we would test less, presumably so fewer known cases will benefit his re-election prospects).

But excess death numbers essentially control for differences in testing and thus are are harder to bullshite since deaths are more checkable. FT hasn't updated these for the US since mid-June and these have different date cut-offs, so it's still rough, but you can see we were starting to bring things under control in mid-June. I expect these numbers will have climbed again when they update.

quote:

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But excess death numbers essentially control for differences in testing and thus are are harder to bullshite since deaths are more checkable.

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You didn't post a graph of excess deaths of India or China. Weird, they combine for over 1/3 of global population.

Even if "proportional" to the United States (and I think you will concede they are AT LEAST that), then what would their true numbers look like?

And then what would that make U.S. deaths to the global COVID death count? Probably closer to 4 percent, maybe?

Thank you in advance.