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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 7/23/20 at 5:23 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 7/23/20 at 5:23 pm to Chromdome35
Testing appears to have plateaued at around 775K tests a day. For a while, the positivity rate had been flat with a slight decline. The positivity rate has increased for 4 days in a row now. New cases had leveled off at around 66K a day, but if the positivity rate starts climbing, with constant 775k tests we'll see a rise again in the case numbers.
Deaths are on a definite upswing with 8 consecutive days of the day over day growth in the 7-day average. You can see in the 2nd graph below that the growth rate in daily deaths is on a very steady slow incline.
The only real positive I see is that the mortality rate continues to decline to where it ought to be.
Deaths are on a definite upswing with 8 consecutive days of the day over day growth in the 7-day average. You can see in the 2nd graph below that the growth rate in daily deaths is on a very steady slow incline.
The only real positive I see is that the mortality rate continues to decline to where it ought to be.
3
Posted on 7/23/20 at 5:24 pm to Crimsonians
NY, NJ, and PA plates galore.
I've known about the retirees...its been like that since before 1980
I've known about the retirees...its been like that since before 1980
Posted on 7/23/20 at 5:25 pm to Chromdome35
quote:I don't get this.
Testing appears to have plateaued at around 775K tests a day. For a while, the positivity rate had been flat with a slight decline. The positivity rate has increased for 4 days in a row now. New cases had leveled off at around 66K a day, but if the positivity rate starts climbing, with constant 775k tests we'll see a rise again in the case numbers.
The states with largest outbreaks right now, arizona, florida, and texas have ALL seen declines in positivity rates.
what area of the nation is pushing up the nation average right now?
Posted on 7/23/20 at 5:25 pm to Chromdome35
If we get through the next couple days with lower positivity in Florida, I think we might be on the decline.
Posted on 7/23/20 at 5:26 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
I'm guessing the other southern states.
I think in a couple of weeks we will see a drastic drop in positivity.
I think in a couple of weeks we will see a drastic drop in positivity.
This post was edited on 7/23/20 at 5:28 pm
Posted on 7/23/20 at 5:27 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
The only real positive I see is that the mortality rate continues to decline to where it ought to be.
And it is related to this point, of course, but this uptick in deaths is reasonably shallow.
The other thing is that, whether it burns through quickly or slowly, we haven't seen a bad flare up after embers have died down - yet (closest is probably Louisiana). Still potential for that with the return of flu season.
Posted on 7/23/20 at 5:28 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
what area of the nation is pushing up the nation average right now?
Mainly South Florida and the RGV.
Posted on 7/23/20 at 5:29 pm to Bulldogblitz
Not the time of year for snowbirds to be driving down.
Posted on 7/23/20 at 5:30 pm to Ace Midnight
Not South Florida because they are included in the drop of Florida.
Posted on 7/23/20 at 6:20 pm to Crimsonians
Georgia saw a big positive % number today. Biggest I've seen in a while, 17.1%.
Posted on 7/23/20 at 6:30 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Michigan, I was considering how to answer your question. It occurred to me that it might be possible to give easy visibility to the answer by taking a states 7 day positivity rate and multiplying that against the number of cases today. That would yield a metric (totally artificial) that would show you the relative size of the impact for each state.
My thinking was if a state had a 70% positivity rate but only 10 cases, then it represented a far smaller impact than a state with a 20% positivity rate and 1,000 new cases.
This is what that looks like
My thinking was if a state had a 70% positivity rate but only 10 cases, then it represented a far smaller impact than a state with a 20% positivity rate and 1,000 new cases.
This is what that looks like
This post was edited on 7/23/20 at 6:31 pm
Posted on 7/24/20 at 2:50 pm to Chromdome35
Another example of why you can't trust daily numbers. Delaware with 49 deaths? I don't think so. They should back count and only count deaths that day. Or only a few days.
Posted on 7/24/20 at 5:39 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
Posted on 7/24/20 at 8:27 pm to Chromdome35
If i was looking at a stock technical i'd be expecting it to set a new high based on these charts.
Posted on 7/25/20 at 6:18 am to Chromdome35
Deaths and cases continue to rise. I really believed this would pretty much be gone by now.
Something fishy going on.
Something fishy going on.
Posted on 7/25/20 at 11:50 am to jake wade
quote:
really believed this would pretty much be gone by now.
Something fishy going on.
was thst just based on your opinion? rumors you heard? this is exactly what id expect a vrius to look like of we were unprepared to start, tried to play catchup and shut everything down, then opened with careless abandon
Posted on 7/25/20 at 1:18 pm to oklahogjr
The issues with the US's approach is it was half assed. We could have either done a true lock down or tried Sweeden's approach. We crashed the economy and still don't have a handle on the spread.
Posted on 7/25/20 at 2:59 pm to oklahogjr
quote:
was thst just based on your opinion? rumors you heard? this is exactly what id expect a vrius to look like of we were unprepared to start, tried to play catchup and shut everything down, then opened with careless abandon
Problem is states with few infections closed too early. What you're seeing now is what we should have seen in April if we didn't shut down.
We effectively "flattened the curve"
Posted on 7/25/20 at 3:51 pm to TigerCruise
quote:
We effectively "flattened the curve"
Yeah but once we flattened it. Everyone said sweet mission accomplished and instead of seeing the full drop you now see it headed the wrong direction. we're seeing the flattening in cases though which is a great sign that eventually deaths will flatten or receed again.
Posted on 7/25/20 at 5:49 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
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