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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:37 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 6/18/20 at 5:37 pm to Chromdome35
26.9K new cases today and the 7 days rolling average is definitely on an upward trend. Testing was down by 22K from yesterday but the % positive rate rose to 5.8% The 7-day rolling average positivity rate is starting to climb.
Deaths at 695 reinforce the slowing of the decline in deaths as well.
Mortality is down to 5.15%.
There appear to be 3 states (AZ, FL, MT) with spikes and several (SC, TX, AL, AR) that are bordering on spikes.
Idaho and Oregon both are recording higher daily caseloads, but appear to be tied to higher testing volumes as their positive rate remains flat.
Deaths at 695 reinforce the slowing of the decline in deaths as well.
Mortality is down to 5.15%.
There appear to be 3 states (AZ, FL, MT) with spikes and several (SC, TX, AL, AR) that are bordering on spikes.
Idaho and Oregon both are recording higher daily caseloads, but appear to be tied to higher testing volumes as their positive rate remains flat.
1
Posted on 6/18/20 at 6:36 pm to Chromdome35
Chrome, I raised this in another thread, but it appears a number of states are adding the numbers from antibody testing into the statistics.
My question is this: How do you knew "new" infections from the antibody in the statistics?
My question is this: How do you knew "new" infections from the antibody in the statistics?
Posted on 6/18/20 at 6:39 pm to dafif
That is one of the frustrating things about how the data is being reported. Some states include antibody tests, some states don't. Some states include commercial lab results, others only report tests done in state labs.
There really isn't any way to differentiate.
There really isn't any way to differentiate.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 6:53 pm to Chromdome35
It would appear that Florida and Texas and others numbers are increasing because of increasing tests and the addition of antibody results. Orlando, Tampa and St.Pete just declared an emergency now requiring masks.
I would love to know the extent of the emergency..
I would love to know the extent of the emergency..
Posted on 6/18/20 at 9:19 pm to dafif
quote:
I would love to know the extent of the emergency..
Florida has done 3X the tests(1.5 million) of Louisiana and not even 2x the number of positives...and they haven't caught up to Louisiana's deaths yet (maybe this weekend).
Not sure it qualifies as an "emergency" just yet.
Posted on 6/18/20 at 10:03 pm to dafif
quote:
I would love to know the extent of the emergency..
Nil
Posted on 6/19/20 at 1:05 am to the808bass
We're wrapping up almost two weeks on vacation in Nor Cal. Definitely a noticeable difference in attitudes between the ways that the more conservative counties are handling reopening and how Marin and the immediate Bay area counties are.
As for the increase, there is definitely an upward trend, but I don't see a need to panic. A moderate increase in the number of cases was expected by those with sense, and it is definitely less of a concern than the damage caused by extending the lock downs.
Also, thanks, CD, for keeping this going. I don't even follow the John's Hopkins site anymore, I just check this page.
As for the increase, there is definitely an upward trend, but I don't see a need to panic. A moderate increase in the number of cases was expected by those with sense, and it is definitely less of a concern than the damage caused by extending the lock downs.
Also, thanks, CD, for keeping this going. I don't even follow the John's Hopkins site anymore, I just check this page.
This post was edited on 6/19/20 at 1:07 am
Posted on 6/19/20 at 7:36 am to ffishstik
Just for fun:
Missouri has 114 counties.
Missouri has reported 946 deaths.
74 counties have reported zero Covid deaths.
An additional 30 counties have reported fewer than 5 deaths.
Between St. Louis County and St. Louis city, there have been 689 of the 945 deaths.
Missouri has 114 counties.
Missouri has reported 946 deaths.
74 counties have reported zero Covid deaths.
An additional 30 counties have reported fewer than 5 deaths.
Between St. Louis County and St. Louis city, there have been 689 of the 945 deaths.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 7:40 am to the808bass
Is there any data out there on average age of positive test results?
Anecdotally I’ve seen people saying it’s significantly younger now than 2 months ago (I suspect this is true) but can’t find reputable data on it anywhere.
If the average is significantly younger now It would explain the large drop in deaths even while cases are up.
Anecdotally I’ve seen people saying it’s significantly younger now than 2 months ago (I suspect this is true) but can’t find reputable data on it anywhere.
If the average is significantly younger now It would explain the large drop in deaths even while cases are up.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 8:00 am to ValDawgsta
Here in Missouri, they have it broken down by age.
From age 20 to age 65, it’s between 250 and 300 cases for every year. It’s a remarkable distribution. At age 69-80 it drops from to between 125 and 175. Fewer people in that age range.
LINK
From age 20 to age 65, it’s between 250 and 300 cases for every year. It’s a remarkable distribution. At age 69-80 it drops from to between 125 and 175. Fewer people in that age range.
LINK
Posted on 6/19/20 at 9:32 am to the808bass
Somebody told me today that numbers are going up now if you exclude NY NJ and maybe one or two of the other major problem states. Has this thread touched on that lately?
Posted on 6/19/20 at 9:37 am to baybeefeetz
If you exclude all the states, the numbers are very flat.
The numbers are going up, is it a result of additional testing, partially. Is it a result of anticipated flareups across the country as we reopen the economy, yea partially.
2 months ago in the WH press conferences, they said we would see flareups as the country opened back up, we are. The difference is now we're ready for them vs. the early days of the outbreak.
The numbers are going up, is it a result of additional testing, partially. Is it a result of anticipated flareups across the country as we reopen the economy, yea partially.
2 months ago in the WH press conferences, they said we would see flareups as the country opened back up, we are. The difference is now we're ready for them vs. the early days of the outbreak.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 11:00 am to Chromdome35
3,822 for Florida today. Still only 40 deaths. Not final numbers yet.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 12:35 pm to Chromdome35
Anyone figure out why the US is such an outlier amongst developed countries when it comes to new cases?
Specifically, every Western European country has re-opened and every county has a rapidly declining new infection curve. Furthermore, GPS mobility in those countries are back or nearly fully back to pre-Covid levels. So, it can’t be the re-opening alone in the US as a cause.
Maybe the mass gathering protests in the US? Maybe the numbers are inflated in the US?
It just goes against all other rationale distribution curves.
Specifically, every Western European country has re-opened and every county has a rapidly declining new infection curve. Furthermore, GPS mobility in those countries are back or nearly fully back to pre-Covid levels. So, it can’t be the re-opening alone in the US as a cause.
Maybe the mass gathering protests in the US? Maybe the numbers are inflated in the US?
It just goes against all other rationale distribution curves.
This post was edited on 6/19/20 at 12:37 pm
Posted on 6/19/20 at 12:47 pm to KwoodTiger
Maybe the US is being re seeded
Posted on 6/19/20 at 12:55 pm to KwoodTiger
quote:
Anyone figure out why the US is such an outlier amongst developed countries when it comes to new cases?
My best guess is that we closed too early in places like Texas and Florida and just delayed the natural progression of the virus.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 1:14 pm to cajuncarguy
quote:
Maybe the US is being re seeded
It's probably a part of it as the US has high rates of international travel but it's more likely because we've suppressed the pandemic more poorly than other countries before we started increasing our social proximity again.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 1:16 pm to TigerDoc
You should tell your doctor friends they’re sucking at their job.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 1:18 pm to the808bass
Clinical care of an incurable infectious disease has only a small part of suppression, but of course you know that.
This post was edited on 6/19/20 at 1:19 pm
Posted on 6/19/20 at 1:19 pm to TigerDoc
Where do you think the breakdown is?
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