re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

What is that supposed to represent? Total deaths? These seem to line up fairly closely with the data from ADPH for our state. Of our 428 total deaths, 12 are in the under 50 category, with all 12 of those having underlying conditions. In other words, if you are a relatively healthy person under the age of 50 in Alabama, you have a better chance of being killed by lightning than COVID-19.

This is the link to the US state-level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

The shorthorns will frick it up

That reduction in new cases is more impressive when you consider that there were 94,000 more tests given today than last Wednesday.

New cases down 1K from yesterday and 3.7K ~14.7% from last Wednesday. This is more impressive when you consider that testing was 103K higher ~48% this week than last.

Lets talk about testing, Last Wednesday we had 215K tests with 22K positives for a postive% of 10.3%. This week we had 319K tests with 21.5K positives for a rate of 6.8% Testing #'s improved by 48% but the number of positive results fell. I think we're seeing much broader testing and the % of positive results is falling which leads me to the question of how many people do we think are actually infected?

Deaths were up over yesterday which is a bit of a surprise; however, the same pattern occurred last week. Deaths are down by 756 from last Wednesday a 30% decline.

Mortality rose .04% to 5.96%. This number needs to start coming down.

On the 7 Day rolling average graph, the downward trend is accelerating for deaths and flattening slightly for new cases.

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Deaths were up over yesterday which is a bit of a surprise; however, the same pattern occurred last week. Deaths are down by 756 from last Wednesday a 30% decline.

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This is would be interesting to dig into.
What days before had the highs for new cases?
Were these weekends? Were these holidays? What states/cities had the highest new cases on these days? Is it an operation/infrastructure issue? In those cities, how close were they to maxing out their capacity?

Alas, I'm too lazy to search for the answers.

*Edit: It looks like deaths increase majority of mondays and tuesdays since the start date. 82% of Mondays and Tuesdays since March 1st have an increase in deaths.

**Edit2: Ok. So if we start on wednesdays and go back one week, each week, peak cases occur most frequently on Fridays (at least in April, otherwise on Wednesdays in March).

AIGHT so tying my analysis together: majority of peak cases get reported late in the week, and then deaths go UP early in the following week.

My intuition posits that this is likely an infrastructure issue. Do I want to go deeper? Yes. Will I? My laziness posits that I probably will not.

New cases and deaths look to be at lowest levels since end of March/first of April. Despite testing being 3x higher.

Does this mean we are past the peak?

J. Bel: We know laws don't apply to you Pols but shouldn't you be wearing a mask if we Provincials are all in jeopardy of getting the Red Chinese Virus!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I assume your ICU census is up significantly from 6 weeks ago?

Collin county checking in. 15 new cases and 23 total recovered for the day. First time I have seen recovered > new cases. Hospitalized is 18 down from 20, not due to death.

Our numbers are trending on right direction. Frisco, Plano, McKinney.