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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 4/14/20 at 12:21 pm to
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
37391 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Lol. That’s about the normal percentage of vents in use.
That's with no elective procedure post op use and with most of the stockpile deployed. Over 1600 covid-19 patients on a vent.

If we "open things up" ventilator use will go up. I am not sure at what percentage we begin to have no ventilators available in some critical care units. Maybe 75%? I will try to look up the number.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 12:25 pm to
Could it not also be a result of a larger spread through the population? Since the case numbers are constrained by testing, if the real mortality rate was .1% then that says we have 24.7M cases which is 7.4% of our population; but, we only have 598K confirmed cases so the currently high CFR would connotate a much higher infected number.

Without extensive antibody testing to determine the penetration of the virus into the population, we have no way of knowing what the real CFR is.
Posted by McLemore
Member since Dec 2003
35487 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

If we "open things up" 


Remove the if and the quotes. Anyone who doesn't is an enemy of this nation. I'm dead fricking serious at this point.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129625 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

If we "open things up" ventilator use will go up.


So NJ doesn’t do elective surgeries for two more weeks? Who the frick cares about that? What does that have to do with Tennessee or Arizona?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129625 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 12:42 pm to
We have close to 20k vents in the national reserve. The vent thing is over. Let it go.
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
13518 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Louisiana death spike ... deaths from 884 yesterday to 1013 today.

That has to be a reporting issue...Louisiana didn't just suddenly spike 3X the deaths from yesterday. Damn weekend (and Easter Sunday) hangover.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 12:51 pm to
quote:


That has to be a reporting issue...Louisiana didn't just suddenly spike 3X the deaths from yesterday. Damn weekend (and Easter Sunday) hangover.



Likely yes. I just hope that our governor doesn't misuse/misrepresent these numbers.
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
13518 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Likely yes. I just hope that our governor doesn't misuse/misrepresent these numbers.

He has a presser at 2:30. He will surely use the new numbers in it as well as chastising all Louisianians for moving around too much. I will not be watching.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

mmcgrath
Why are you so committed to keeping the economy on lock down?
Posted by AthensTiger
Athens, GA
Member since Jul 2008
2977 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

reclassification of death numbers.

My county went from one death to Zero deaths!
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

My county went from one death to Zero deaths!
Well, it was Easter, after all...
Posted by K2LAW
Lake Charles, LA
Member since Jun 2007
1818 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

quote:
My county went from one death to Zero deaths!
Well, it was Easter, after all...


Hahaha! Winner!!!
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129625 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

Why are you so committed to keeping the economy on lock down?


The same reason he didn’t notice H1N1. Politics.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96150 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:47 pm to
CD, I don't want to speak for you (your thread, and mostly your work driving it to this point, with some folks helping out here and there), but it is my opinion we should keep the "political" (Yes, I'm aware this is a Poliboard thread and I'm not saying the discussion is for another board) back and forth out of this thread and in other threads.

We've done a good job until very recently. Again, IMO, this thread would be best served as a "Breaking News" thread focused on the numbers and trends, with dozens of other threads to choose from to engage in partisan banter (of which I am certainly as guilty of as any Poliboard poster, left, right or "other".)

This post was edited on 4/14/20 at 1:48 pm
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61773 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

we should keep the "political" (Yes, I'm aware this is a Poliboard thread and I'm not saying the discussion is for another board) back and forth out of this thread and in other threads.


quote:

gain, IMO, this thread would be best served as a "Breaking News" thread focused on the numbers and trends


This.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
37391 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:53 pm to
What was political in CD's post? Or do you think he can influence other posters?
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
37391 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

Why are you so committed to keeping the economy on lock down?
Because I want to avoid a second wave / second lock down.

And I have no problem if some parts of the country come out of shelter in place. I just want it based on facts instead of emotion.
This post was edited on 4/14/20 at 1:55 pm
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:56 pm to
I agree. I've tried very hard to make my commentary limited to the numbers and their movements.

I just want this thing to end so we can get back to business.

I started tracking this so that I could see what was happening without having to rely on the media to tell me what was happening. After a few days, I thought it would be helpful to others to see it as well so I posted it here.

I personally think that its one of the best resources available now on the internet to see a comprehensive view of what has and is happening. If there is another site that is focused on the entirety of the dataset, I haven't found it.
Posted by TigerCruise
Virginia Beach, VA
Member since Oct 2013
11898 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

Because I want to avoid a second wave / second lock down.

And I have no problem if some parts of the country come out of shelter in place. I just want it based on facts instead of emotion.


So instead of possible two 2 month lockdowns, you just want a 6-12 month lockdown
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/14/20 at 1:56 pm to
He wasn't talking about my posts...
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