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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 4/12/20 at 4:58 pm to
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 4:58 pm to
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.









Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
37392 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 5:13 pm to
Hope you are feeling better CD.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 5:17 pm to
I'm doing fine, it really only hurts when I'm at the keyboard for too long. The damn cut is right where my left palm lays on the palm rest.
Posted by Microtiger
Ithaca, New York
Member since Nov 2010
1435 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 6:48 pm to
Thank you for keeping this thread going, Chrom. I don't post here much but this has started to be my go-to link to get a quick look at how the numbers are looking. Much appreciated.
This post was edited on 4/12/20 at 6:51 pm
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 6:54 pm to
Have any of you other Louisiana folks watched Gov Edwards' daily press briefings (I refuse to watch him) and heard if he has mentioned anything about how he requested 14,000 ventilators from the Federal government about 10 days ago and the most number of ventilators Louisiana has had in use so far at one time is about 700?

I wish a reporter would ask him about that...
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129629 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 6:56 pm to
Louisiana is 11 days behind Italy.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 7:32 pm to
Thank you for your kind words.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 8:04 pm to
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.









Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 8:08 pm to
The number of new cases added per day has declined for 4 days in a row now. The daily number of new deaths has fallen for 3 days in a row.

That is excellent news. The rapidly declining numbers lend strength to the argument to reopen the economy.

Testing, 139K, ANOTHER day (6 out of 10 now) with testing numbers at the same level, this is more than a statistical anomaly.
Posted by crazyatthecamp
Member since Nov 2006
2287 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 8:11 pm to
lowest deaths in 6 days

2nd lowest positive in last 11 days

Good news on Easter Sunday
Posted by Jrv2damac
KS
Member since Mar 2004
73514 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 8:44 pm to
Please be a good week

Last two have beaten me up
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:04 pm to
I have faith the worst is behind us as a country.

Some hotspots will rise and fall
Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:05 pm to
I'd call this weekend a success.

I said last week would be our pea and it appears to have been.

This weekend I wanted to see a slight trend down in new confirmed cases. We did!

This week I want to see things continue to level off but also see a couple of days that trend a bit lower than we saw last week. Thus, total number of confirmed cases lower this week than last week.

Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:37 pm to
MOre testing done than yesterday with fewer confirmed cases. All good news.

Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:52 pm to
The main thing with testing is making sure you have the ingredients to actually perform a lot of tests. That is what the labs and states need to make sure they have enough off as we open up the country so testing can be done and then isolate, trace, isolate.
Posted by Jinglebob
Member since Jan 2020
948 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

Testing, 139K, ANOTHER day (6 out of 10 now) with testing numbers at the same level, this is more than a statistical anomaly.


Is the tests # the amount of tests given that day or the amount of tests processed that day?

I know early on there was a lag time of a few days to a week to get results, but thought that number was shrinking, maybe to the point of zero lag with the newer test kits.

Anyone know?
Posted by dafif
Member since Jan 2019
8598 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 10:05 pm to
A few thoughts and points

First, The Easter numbers should be way down due to lack of testing.

Second, Florida really only the "New York" part..ie Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties.

Third, girlfriend has mask and puts it on whenever we go into store (Dollar store today...actually wish I wore one in there) (Bike store yesterday...and, why is a retail bike store "essential" - Basically they shut down amusement and retail to kill Florida over spring break but everything else is open.

Fourth, my friend whose golf course got closed in Palm Beach is going with 12 friends over to Naples to play 36 holes and spend the night. I'm certainly missing something there. Logistics are perplexing and it just seems stupid to me.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
67434 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 10:42 pm to
Lowest increase in total cases since 3/31. Crazy.
Posted by ConwayGamecock
South Carolina
Member since Jan 2012
9121 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:25 pm to
quote:

The number of new cases added per day has declined for 4 days in a row now. The daily number of new deaths has fallen for 3 days in a row.

That is excellent news. The rapidly declining numbers lend strength to the argument to reopen the economy.

Testing, 139K, ANOTHER day (6 out of 10 now) with testing numbers at the same level, this is more than a statistical anomaly.


Plus what I like is the decline is taking place over mid-week days, as opposed to weekend days, which have been erratic over the past few weeks, and inclines seem to kick back in once the Mondays come back around. But through the meat of this past week things really seemed to start to level off.

Another week this week of more of the same, and I'll feel that we're finally getting a stranglehold on things.....
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:15 am to
Well, the nursing home where I do consulting now has 5 positive cases and 27 (if I counted right) results pending. 4 of the positive cases were done at/near the same time as those pending, within a day of each other at the most. They tested everyone who was in and around the originally positive resident.

That said, I'm hoping that those are negative and just not noted in the emr yet-- I'm also hoping that the lab would have called with any positive results as opposed to just faxing over.
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 8:26 am
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