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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 4/2/20 at 10:55 am to
Posted by McLemore
Member since Dec 2003
35487 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 10:55 am to
quote:

I would like to know what is the age, if patient was obese and if the patient had diabetes or heart conditions for the infected that died.


nope. You COVID now. You ded. COVID. CO-VID!
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129629 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 10:56 am to
quote:

JBE is getting to me with the need for "thousands and thousands" of ventilators being needed thing.


I haven’t seen any models that project even 1,000 total needed ventilators. Let alone 1,000 additional vents. Having said that, Louisiana probably could use 100 vents in a state reserve.
Posted by auisssa
Member since Feb 2010
4741 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 11:00 am to
quote:

We really should invest some testing on random folks. especially in the non-hotspot areas.


The plasma industry will be able to do this in the coming months. It'll be interesting to get antibody titers from donors that never got a positive test. I know that's down the road a bit, but the data should be fascinating.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63853 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 11:05 am to
quote:

Let alone 1,000 additional vents. Having said that, Louisiana probably could use 100 vents in a state reserve.
It's the government. Ask for 1000s, get a hundred if you're lucky.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 11:38 am to
How to tell when we've peaked...Look at Italy's new cases by day graph vs. the same from the US. You can see how the new cases per day are declining for Italy while increasing for the US.




Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 11:39 am to
808bass supposedly 150 are on the way from the government.

Also, this is the governor who said that there would be no LSU football if a budget wasn't passed. Fear mongering.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 11:50 am to
Where does the task force get their estimated numbers?
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
13518 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 11:53 am to
quote:

150 are on the way from the government.

As of yesterday Louisiana had 480 people on vents for CV (as per radio guy). We shouldn't need thousands at any time. Some models are predicting we peak around April 10th...since most models have been wrong to the plus side I'm hoping this will be the case.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 11:58 am to
Louisiana numbers just out .. looks like 37 new deaths which is up 3 from yesterday. Tons of new results.

LDH link

And 69 more on vents than reported on 3/31.
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 12:05 pm
Posted by EA6B
TX
Member since Dec 2012
14754 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 11:59 am to
quote:

I would like to know what is the age, if patient was obese and if the patient had diabetes or heart conditions for the infected that died.


From what I have read, and from talking to medical personal in the hospitals resting virus patients, the one issue common to those under age 70 that have died, and those that are in the ICU is obesity.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:05 pm to
That goes with what the "numbers guys" from a few hospitals are saying in the OT thread/various other threads.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

How to tell when we've peaked...Look at Italy's new cases by day graph vs. the same from the US. You can see how the new cases per day are declining for Italy while increasing for the US.

How many "days behind" Italy are we?
Posted by TideCPA
Member since Jan 2012
14302 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:12 pm to
New York's morning drop was better than it's been (154 deaths), but New Jersey's was absolutely brutal (182 - their previous TOTAL was 355).
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11953 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:23 pm to
Canada, the low countries, latin America starting to have trouble.

Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
74630 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:24 pm to
I still want to know how it got to Greenland
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11953 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:25 pm to
The Q thread says it was brought there by Eric the Red.

(j/k)
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
13518 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

New York's morning drop was better than it's been (154 deaths), but New Jersey's was absolutely brutal (182 - their previous TOTAL was 355).


What's with Florida's huge jump? New York transfers?
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11953 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 12:40 pm to
They didn't go to shelter-in-place until yesterday, had beaches open for spring break with students from all over there before that.

ETA: international regional comparison including FL (they should take out Wuhan. Its numbers are a question mark.)

This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 12:54 pm
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
21249 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

the low countries


Now is not the time for name calling.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 1:09 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.








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