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Message
re: Congressional Election Prediction
Posted on 10/9/22 at 9:30 am to Lickitty Split
Posted on 10/9/22 at 9:30 am to Lickitty Split
House is a landslide win for Rs. Biden sucks that bad. He is horrendous enough that democrats are just flat too embarrassed to show up and vote.
Rs also take Senate - I think 53 safest bet but things work as well for Rs as 54
Of D To R potential flips, my thoughts are-
1- Arizona -R wins. Lake motivates Masters voters and he wins. Kelly is milquetoast and the Democrat governor candidate is embarrassing. There are no McCain Rs to frick things up for the R candidates. Kari Lake is a force of nature. She will have coattails.
2- Nevada - Rs win by enough votes to overcome cheating. Masco sucks.
3 - New Hampshire- Rs win in upset. Their D Senator is awful and not popular. Grassroots support for MAGA general is strong.
4 - Pennsylvania- Oz wins at the buzzer. Fetterman is just that terrible and incoherent. Only dead people and straight communists can possibly think this mentally disabled person is a good idea. Herschel isn’t smart. Fetterman should be under some kind of curatorship. He is not competent to make decisions about his affairs much less Pennsylvania’s.
5- Georgia- I’m not sure if Herschel can win. I think he’s sincere, and I hope he wins, but I’m not sure what qualifies him to be a senator. This is the only race I think Rs will lose, and it’s only bc Atlanta is now Anywhere, USA full of carpetbaggers. Traditional actual Georgia ppl will vote for HW. But - If I lived in Georgia I would be stressed out about this one. It looks like The Georgia R Party is similar to Arizona, except their McCains and other Chamber of Commerce Republicans remain in charge. It’s their last stronghold now that Doucey shite the bed. These ppl are not going to help Herschel, and probably helped unearth this stupid abortion story. And poor thing - he’s just not smart.
— important R holds will be —
JD Vance will beat that phony, annoying AF Democrat he’s running against. Easily
Hopefully Kelly Tsibaka will beat Murkowski’s rigged election process but I’m not optimistic.
Hopefully NC gets its shite together and elects the Budd and the USA is done forever with Burr and his RINO insider trading nonsense and doesn’t have to elect a democrat to do it. No idea what’s happening with this race.
Johnson will get re-elected in Wisky
If all this comes true - the Senate could ditch or neutralize McConnell, which could be a more meaningful victory than if they just had a 53 (or 54 if Herschel and NC Budd pulls it off) majority. Especially with the arse whooping that’s about to go down in the House.
Rs also take Senate - I think 53 safest bet but things work as well for Rs as 54
Of D To R potential flips, my thoughts are-
1- Arizona -R wins. Lake motivates Masters voters and he wins. Kelly is milquetoast and the Democrat governor candidate is embarrassing. There are no McCain Rs to frick things up for the R candidates. Kari Lake is a force of nature. She will have coattails.
2- Nevada - Rs win by enough votes to overcome cheating. Masco sucks.
3 - New Hampshire- Rs win in upset. Their D Senator is awful and not popular. Grassroots support for MAGA general is strong.
4 - Pennsylvania- Oz wins at the buzzer. Fetterman is just that terrible and incoherent. Only dead people and straight communists can possibly think this mentally disabled person is a good idea. Herschel isn’t smart. Fetterman should be under some kind of curatorship. He is not competent to make decisions about his affairs much less Pennsylvania’s.
5- Georgia- I’m not sure if Herschel can win. I think he’s sincere, and I hope he wins, but I’m not sure what qualifies him to be a senator. This is the only race I think Rs will lose, and it’s only bc Atlanta is now Anywhere, USA full of carpetbaggers. Traditional actual Georgia ppl will vote for HW. But - If I lived in Georgia I would be stressed out about this one. It looks like The Georgia R Party is similar to Arizona, except their McCains and other Chamber of Commerce Republicans remain in charge. It’s their last stronghold now that Doucey shite the bed. These ppl are not going to help Herschel, and probably helped unearth this stupid abortion story. And poor thing - he’s just not smart.
— important R holds will be —
JD Vance will beat that phony, annoying AF Democrat he’s running against. Easily
Hopefully Kelly Tsibaka will beat Murkowski’s rigged election process but I’m not optimistic.
Hopefully NC gets its shite together and elects the Budd and the USA is done forever with Burr and his RINO insider trading nonsense and doesn’t have to elect a democrat to do it. No idea what’s happening with this race.
Johnson will get re-elected in Wisky
If all this comes true - the Senate could ditch or neutralize McConnell, which could be a more meaningful victory than if they just had a 53 (or 54 if Herschel and NC Budd pulls it off) majority. Especially with the arse whooping that’s about to go down in the House.
0
Posted on 10/9/22 at 9:32 am to Pandy Fackler
I’ve seen some models showing 53 going R, but that just seems a little strong. Talk about some serious melting.
If cheating doesn’t work for the Dems, there’s always the “voter suppression” claims strategy.
If cheating doesn’t work for the Dems, there’s always the “voter suppression” claims strategy.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 9:46 am to jimmy the leg
quote:
FIFY
You didn't fix anything.
To hear this board tell it. From now on, everytime a Republican loses an election in this country, it'll be because it's stolen.
If I held this belief, just as most on this board does. Like the rest of you, I would simply assume the role of an oppressed victim. It would make it easier for me to stay home on election day.
I never thought in a million years conservatism in this country would sink to victimhood as it's default setting.
Victims of Democrats. Victims of the deep state. Victims of election fraud.
With all its fricking whacked out, paranoid conspiracies, the conservative movement in this country has become the new Nation of Islam. It's pathetic.
This post was edited on 10/9/22 at 9:49 am
Posted on 10/9/22 at 9:53 am to Pandy Fackler
Thats an incredible melt
Posted on 10/9/22 at 9:54 am to Pandy Fackler
quote:
To hear this board tell it. From now on, everytime a Republican loses an election in this country, it'll be because it's stolen.
If someone lies to your face while telling you NOT to believe your own eyes and ears - it’s impossible to believe anything that the liar ever says again.
This is the reason that actual investigation and litigation of the claims in 2020 was (and still remains to be) so necessary. Telling people that they’re crazy, or that they should just move on - does not instill confidence. The only thing that will restore confidence in the election process is a full investigation. It has never occurred. Lawsuits dismissed on procedural grounds are not ingratiations and are not proof.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 9:55 am to Swamp Angel
Folks would if you would handle your business.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 10:00 am to Lickitty Split
Senate goes 51-49 Republican with a pickup in NV. Ron Johnson is doing dumbass things and may hold a 50-50 split with his ineffective campaign. GA should have been an easy win, but primary voters picked another bad candidate. Same as PA.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 10:02 am to Lickitty Split
quote:
Congressional Election Prediction by Lickitty SplitI think the House goes republican by a 29 seat advantage and the Senate goes to the republicans with a 53-47 seat advantage.
If MAGA/America First do not control all of congress it will only mean two, maybe three things.
1). The majority of the American people have finally succumbed to mental illness/mental fragility
2) The influence of the Groomer movement through mass media Gaslighting is even more effective than many of us realize.
3) The strategic planning and execution by the LWO/Groomers/never Trumpers to steal another election was more than MAGA/America First patriots could overcome by simply hoping they could out vote the steal.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 10:06 am to Pandy Fackler
quote:
To hear this board tell it. From now on, everytime a Republican loses an election in this country, it'll be because it's stolen.
Are you 65 or older?
Posted on 10/9/22 at 10:10 am to SDVTiger
quote:
Thats an incredible melt
It would be if it was a melt.
The constant drumbeat of stolen this and fraud that will soon become self fulfilling and people will stop voting. Why vote in an election you believe will be stolen? That bullshite will bore a hole into the collective skull of the conservative movement and take root. It needs to stop.
Consider this.
Since this board is married to its conspiracies and frequently tosses off to them. How about we chew on this one.
The election in fact wasn't stolen.
Through a campaign of electronic, liberal misinformation and constant botting on websites like this, you've been convinced it was stolen, so as to suppress your vote in future elections.
The real conspiracy is repeating the lie of stolen elections so often it becomes your truth and if liberals can legitimately convince you that election fraud is so rampant that your vote won't matter, then you'll stay home.
I think all these frickin' people who won't shut up about election fraud are actually the enemy or they're people who are too lazy to vote and want (what they believe) is a good reason to sit on their worthless asses on election day.
There's a sucker born every day and two to take him. Liberal misinformation designed to convince you elections are stolen is working.
This post was edited on 10/9/22 at 10:14 am
Posted on 10/9/22 at 10:23 am to Lickitty Split
quote:
think the House goes republican by a 29 seat advantage and the Senate goes to the republicans with a 53-47 seat advantage.
think and 53 R don't belong in same circle jerk.
try one of these.
hope.
feel.
pray.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 11:09 am to Pandy Fackler
quote:
I think all these frickin' people who won't shut up about election fraud are actually the enemy or they're people who are too lazy to vote and want (what they believe) is a good reason to sit on their worthless asses on election day.
This is true.
Exhibit A: Georgia senate elections in 2020
Trump was the most prolific agent of conservative voter suppression the left could have asked for.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 8:11 pm to NawlinsTiger9
Trump is in Arizona now campaigning for Blake masters. I would like to see him go to Georgia once for walker. Then new Hampshire for the general.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 8:42 pm to Lickitty Split
Republicans will win big in the House.
IMO today, Republicans gain a 51-49 advantage in the Senate.
IMO today, Republicans gain a 51-49 advantage in the Senate.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 8:43 pm to texas tortilla
quote:Blake Masters' issue is he is getting out-spent bigly. He isn't moving the needle there.
Trump is in Arizona now campaigning for Blake masters. I would like to see him go to Georgia once for walker. Then new Hampshire for the general.
Laxalt is the opposite in Nevada. He's going to win.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 8:49 pm to Pandy Fackler
quote:
The real conspiracy is repeating the lie of stolen elections
Brazil is a country of 200 million people with compulsory voting and we knew the results of their most recent election within 4 hours of the polls closing. We have congressional races with half a million votes that take weeks to decide. Why should anyone trust our electoral system when it's the most dysfunctional in the Western world?
quote:
There's a sucker born every day
I'm looking at him.
Posted on 10/9/22 at 9:44 pm to Pandy Fackler
So you are convinced that Biden received 81 million legitimate votes ? Course that would include millions of elderly or nursing home residents whose ballots were completed by “volunteers” for the DNC
Posted on 10/10/22 at 12:14 am to jimmy the leg
quote:
Cheating by the Dems
:snore: :snore: :snore:
Posted on 10/10/22 at 12:19 am to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
The house is absolutely going red
Probably, but it isn't even certain (and it should be) and will likely not be anything like the rebukes of 1994 or 2010. I can easily see it being R+5 or R+8 in the House.
And, the Dems are definitely keeping the Senate. That's their clear priority right now (what they want to do to weather the storm that is Biden). They will vote in Phoenix, Philly and Atlanta until the Ds retain the Senate. If they have to vote into 2023 to do that, so be it.
This post was edited on 10/10/22 at 12:20 am
Posted on 10/10/22 at 12:30 am to Lickitty Split
Republicans taking House by a wide margin.
Senate:
Worst case it remains 50-50
Best case scenario is 53-47.
Senate:
Worst case it remains 50-50
Best case scenario is 53-47.
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