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re: Black jurors show a 50-point swing based on the race of the defendant.

Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:38 pm to
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
61451 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:38 pm to
You’re still not understanding my concerns about the validity of the data. It seems like you’re saying that because of arrests, which many scholars argue are a result of systemic racism (which i know the board overwhelmingly denies the existence of), the data has to be true.

That’s fine and dandy but do you wonder at all about how the dats was collected? It’s worrisome when people blindly defend social media posts without even wondering if they are true.
Posted by WinnPtiger
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2011
25004 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:44 pm to
quote:

You’re still not understanding my concerns about the validity of the data. It seems like you’re saying that because of arrests, which many scholars argue are a result of systemic racism (which i know the board overwhelmingly denies the existence of), the data has to be true.


the thread is about juries. not law enforcement. black jurors in the uk had a 50 point spread on conviction. the white spread was 7 points, in favor of black defendants.

again, this is over convictions. not arrests. not charges.

39% of white jurors in the UK voted to convict white defendants. they voted 32% to convict black defendants.

73% of black jurors voted to convict white defendants
24% voted to convict black defendants


that by definition can not be a problem of methodology. that’s 10+ times outside the margin of error for most studies. I don’t know what the sample size for this study was, but until proven otherwise I’d just assume it’s in line with similar academic studies
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
61451 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:45 pm to
quote:

39% of white jurors in the UK voted to convict white defendants. they voted 32% to convict black defendants.

73% of black jurors voted to convict white defendants 24% voted to convict black defendants


Did you happen to see the source for these stats? Did you by chance see the methodology of the study?

Can you share the study? I’d like to see it.
Posted by WinnPtiger
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2011
25004 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:50 pm to
that’s already been provided to you by another poster. you’re the prosecutor, go collect your evidence
Posted by L.A.
The Mojave Desert
Member since Aug 2003
66699 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:50 pm to
quote:

If you’re reserving judgement, why did you want me to see that? Seems petty and unproductive.

I didn't GAF if you saw it or not, My comment was about your comment; the utter, unthinking banality of it
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
61451 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:52 pm to
You replied to me so I can only assume you wanted me to see the response. Why are you being so defensive when I havent insulted you at all?
Posted by AmishSamurai
Member since Feb 2020
4044 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

It seems like you’re saying that because of arrests, which many scholars argue are a result of systemic racism (which i know the board overwhelmingly denies the existence of), the data has to be true.


Not sure why you all are wasting the electrons on someone this dishonest (or ignorant) in debate ...



Posted by L.A.
The Mojave Desert
Member since Aug 2003
66699 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:57 pm to
quote:

You replied to me so I can only assume you wanted me to see the response.

I replied to you because YOU made the comment.

quote:

Why are you being so defensive when I haven't insulted you at all?

I'm not being defensive. You are. Understandably, I might add. I simply called out the mindlessness of people who say what you said, at least in my own experience.
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
61451 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:58 pm to
Trial simulations. And a limited analysis of actual verdicts, according to the first paragraph of the methodology.

I’m not combing through the methodology at this hour but I’m interested to see how trials were simulated and what the informed consent looked like.

I’ll bookmark and revisit tomorrow.

ETA: page 44 if anyone else is interested.
This post was edited on 5/11/25 at 10:59 pm
Posted by Narax
Member since Jan 2023
7969 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:58 pm to
quote:

It wouldn’t be ethical to actually study this in a way that would provide valid data.


Just like every other disparate outcome study.

A sample size of less than 400 is far too low anyway.

Plenty of uncontrolled variables like in all outcome based studies.

For example % of public defenders vs jury pool.

People need to defend things when they are correct, not when it agrees with their world view.
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
61451 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 10:59 pm to
quote:

People need to defend things when they are correct, not when it agrees with their world view.


know we were beefing the other day but I appreciate your critical approach to data.
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
61451 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 11:02 pm to
quote:

I simply called out the mindlessness of people who say what you said, at least in my own experience.


I think if you followed my responses in the rest of the thread, you’d see I’m not being mindless.
Posted by UptownJoeBrown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2024
10008 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 11:10 pm to
Who still believes blacks can’t be racist?
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
97037 posts
Posted on 5/11/25 at 11:11 pm to
Did you expect anything different? Obama f’ed the country.
Posted by MMauler
Primary This RINO Traitor
Member since Jun 2013
24490 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 12:24 am to
The black judges are worse.
Posted by SlayTime
Member since Jan 2025
3738 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 3:46 am to
quote:

2007? In England? Is this supposed to be relevant to US culture in 2025?


No. American blacks are far more racist and biased in America. The variance will be much larger here.
Posted by Jimbeaux
Member since Sep 2003
21770 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:17 am to
quote:

If the tweet is true, why are so many black men locked up at high rates in cities with a decent sized Black population if their juror pools are biased?


What percentage of those charged with a felony end up going to trial? Very small number.

The bias in favor of black defendants on trial is an observable reality, even in, or maybe especially in, cases where the cops are black, the judge is black, the lawyers are black, and the victim is black (as strange as that may seem).

It comes down to this, imo, everyone is simply tired of the long L O N G line of black male criminals being herded before their eyes in the justice system and on the news, and so we subconsciously look for ANY reason to acquit one if we can.

Defense lawyers know this, so the black defendants they take to trial instead of pleading out usually have at least some tiny thing in their favor. Things like: limited or no arrest history, has a job, lives in the same house as his kids, the arresting cop once was accused of racism for mispronouncing Chastanquaa’s name. It doesn’t take much.
This post was edited on 5/12/25 at 5:40 am
Posted by Jimbeaux
Member since Sep 2003
21770 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:20 am to
quote:

Who still believes blacks can’t be racist?


Black activists. They disproportionately occupy positions of power in the Dem party, in city politics, in universities, in the courts, etc.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
139056 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:31 am to
What's interesting is this study is nearly 20yrs old, and from Britain. Frankly it would be troubling if, upon seeing those findings, a similar study was not undertaken here. But I've not located it, if it was conducted.
Posted by burger bearcat
Member since Oct 2020
10502 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:39 am to
quote:

think if you followed my responses in the rest of the thread, you’d see I’m not being mindless.


Let’s imagine a scenario where you were involved in a self defense incident. You were attacked by a black person and had to stand use self defense that resulted in the death of the attacker.

You now were charged and were facing 30 years to life. Before the trial, you were given 2 options about the jury pool, but no other information. Option 1 is jury of all white males, clean cut looking, and between the ages of 35 and 55. Option 2 is an all black jury, made up of 8 women and 4 males.


You get to choose your jury. You probably won’t it admit it here, but if you really were in that situation you darn well know you are selecting option 1 every time.


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