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re: At the end of the day, this election will come down to 3 states

Posted on 10/23/20 at 9:50 am to
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
38911 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 9:50 am to
quote:

Trump has to win just one of the 3 above to get to 270. 


I want a decisive victory. We need to send a definitive message to Leftists, anarchists, Socialists, Marxists, race-baiters, etc. that America is fed up with their bullshite.

Besides, a decisive victory will help us in the Senate, Congress, and also state and local elections.
Posted by olemc999
At a blackjack table
Member since Oct 2010
13282 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 9:51 am to
Well he has Wisconsin in the bag so don’t worry about that.
Posted by lsugerberbaby
baton rouge
Member since Mar 2008
2765 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 9:52 am to
I don't understand people's worries about him losing any of these states. What has (or hasn't) he done to lose his votes from 2016?
Posted by OccamsStubble
Member since Aug 2019
5027 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 9:57 am to
PA is easily the most critical state, and is the one, because of Philadelphia, that is the most prone to vote manipulation. Dems are free, in some districts, to have 100% turnout and 100% Biden support, and it can't be questioned after the fact because muh disenfranchisement.
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
17568 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 9:58 am to
quote:

This assumes Biden wins NV NH MN


Even the odds of him winning just 2 of those are getting slimmer by the day.
Posted by ROPO
Member since Jul 2016
3099 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 9:58 am to
quote:

You just posted in the other thread about posting shite that projects your biases


How is this inconsistent. That other thread posted a single, right-leaning poll that said that nearly half of all blacks approve of Trump (more than his average approval among all voters!).

I posted the most recent polls from various sources to question the OP's view that his assumption that Trump will carry Arizona and NC is safer than assuming Biden carries NH and Nevada. That's objectively false.

I then posted recent polls about the three states he cited as being the ones "the election comes down to" and in all three, Biden leads in EVERY poll (including Trafalgar with one exception).

I get it. You don't like the message. You don't like that come 2021 your taxes are going up. That those oil industry jobs along the Gulf Coast are going to transition to inefficient renewable jobs for Californians. You don't like that critical race theory will be forced upon business, government and education. You don't like that with a waive of his hand, Biden will make 11 million illegals citizens in an effort to finally transition Texas blue. You don't like that single payer, shittyhealthcare is coming our way. You don't like that the Supreme Court will expand to 13 and President Harris will appoint five new Justices in four years (assuming no retirements).

I don't either.

But there is nothing you can do about it. Trump did this. With his inability to get out of his own way and with his botching of the Rona situation.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 9:59 am to
quote:

The only way Trump loses Pennsylvania is due to fraud. Thanks to Roberts, that is a possible outcome.

Not so fast, my friend.

I would expect a ruling before election day that all votes must be counted by November 3rd.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:00 am to
Biden is not winning Nevada. It will go red by 2-3 points.

However, winning Nevada does nothing for Trump unless it is paired with another state like New Mexico or New Hampshire.
Posted by Concerned Senior
New England
Member since Oct 2020
756 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:01 am to
New Hampshire? I think not.
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18095 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:35 am to
quote:

New Hampshire? I think not.



Trump lost New Hampshire by less than 2800 votes in '16. College students aren't voting like they did in '16. I think Trump wins NH and its the first surprise of the night.

Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79237 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:36 am to
I have no idea how anyone has confidence in Michigan or Wisconsin.

I tend to think Trump may pull it off in PA. If he does, I think that would signal well for NC and hopefully AZ.
Posted by Godfather1
What WAS St George, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
79735 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:37 am to
quote:

The only way Trump loses Pennsylvania is due to fraud. Thanks to Roberts, that is a possible outcome.


Not necessarily. The lawsuits aren’t dead. Notorious ACB may yet save the day.
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:44 am to
quote:

I also think Trump makes it very close on the national vote as well.


Wrong.

Take out the Dem cheating and Trump wins both the EC and popular vote this time. Easily.
Posted by TigerCruise
Virginia Beach, VA
Member since Oct 2013
11898 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:49 am to
quote:


Do you really believe that these polls, who got it wrong in 2016 but got it right in 2018, are reverting back to 2106 methodology? Of course not. But, hey, it's all we've got to hope for a miracle.


They didn't, they had McSally losing.

They had Rick Scott losing by 2 pts

They had Donnelly winning, he lost by 6 pts


You done taking this L yet?
Posted by bigbowe80
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
3704 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:07 am to
quote:

of the day, this election will come down to 3 states
The only way Trump loses Pennsylvania is due to fraud. Thanks to Roberts, that is a possible outcome.


Sounds like Republicans will win the war on that Pennsylvania ruling. The ruling the other day was only on the temporary stay of the state ruling. Republicans will keep fighting and their is a good chance it will be overturned by Election Day.


LINK
This post was edited on 10/23/20 at 11:08 am
Posted by ValVenis
Member since Sep 2020
630 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:31 am to
quote:

Take out the Dem cheating and Trump wins both the EC and popular vote this time. Easily.


When the election was called in '16, Trump had a lead in the popular vote. It wasn't until days later when those 3 million late votes came in he lost the popular vote. My question is how is it NONE of those late votes were for Trump?
This post was edited on 10/23/20 at 11:32 am
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

My question is how is it NONE of those late votes were for Trump?



You know how.
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
17568 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 12:53 pm to

quote:

New Hampshire? I think not.


This post was edited on 10/23/20 at 12:55 pm
Posted by Chet Donnely
Member since Sep 2015
1538 posts
Posted on 10/23/20 at 12:58 pm to
Don’t forget Desantis. They fricked that poll all up too. Until about 12 minutes before he won.
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