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Started By
Message
as you know, I am not one to put value on august polls, but these 2 caught my attention
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:06 pm
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:06 pm
First, a minnesota poll today
trump lost minn by 2 in 2016, so if it votes like it did last time, we can deduce that the race is going similar to how it did in 2016.
The larger point is that this represents a significant tightening from the last minnesota poll, which had trump down like 12.
What changed over the last few months/weeks that helped the pres?
I tihnk the answer may come from a wisconsin poll also released today.
Voters are souring massively on the protests/riots as the violence grows.
Minnesota was ground zero, so maybe pissed off residents are being attracted to trump's message of law and order?
quote:
Political Polls
@PpollingNumbers
·
2h
Minnesota
Presidential
Biden 51% (+2)
Trump 49%
Senate:
Smith (D-inc) 48% (+3)
Lewis (R) 45%
@EmersonPolling
trump lost minn by 2 in 2016, so if it votes like it did last time, we can deduce that the race is going similar to how it did in 2016.
The larger point is that this represents a significant tightening from the last minnesota poll, which had trump down like 12.
What changed over the last few months/weeks that helped the pres?
I tihnk the answer may come from a wisconsin poll also released today.
quote:
MULawPoll
@MULawPoll
· 1h
Aftermath of the death of George Floyd in police custody: 48% of WI voters approve of the mass protests since then – and 48% disapprove. In June, it was 61% approve, 36% disapprove. #mulawpoll
Voters are souring massively on the protests/riots as the violence grows.
Minnesota was ground zero, so maybe pissed off residents are being attracted to trump's message of law and order?
9
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:07 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:how the frick would we know that
as you know, I am not one to put value on august polls
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:08 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
BREAKING: The general public does not like having their property destroyed.
More news at 11:00.
(not a dig at OP, just hilarious that the polls are now showing what we knew all along)
More news at 11:00.
(not a dig at OP, just hilarious that the polls are now showing what we knew all along)
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:09 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
The fact that that many support(ed) massive lawless "protests" is sad.
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:10 pm to Kafka
quote:
how the frick would we know that
You don't keep up with this? If your kid asks you how HHTM feels about polls, you can't hold that conversation?
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:11 pm to Kafka
quote:
how the frick would we know that
You mean that you don't read every word he posts? Shocked I tell ya.. 
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:12 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
trump lost minn by 2 in 2016, so if it votes like it did last time, we can deduce that the race is going similar to how it did in 2016.
The real question is what the polling in MN looked like in 2016 before the election vs the results. That's the key metric for comparison here.
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:18 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Every time the "mail in voting" narrative has a setback, Trump rises in the polls. The gas-lighting, to hide fraud, is starting to become too difficult to pull off.
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:20 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Remind me to never go to MN.
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:21 pm to jake wade
It was a nice place 20+ years ago. Too bad the Somali invasion has helped destroy it.
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:54 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
If Trump loses MN by 2 points again he is very likely to be reelected.
It means he's likely strong in PA, WI, and MI.
It means he's likely strong in PA, WI, and MI.
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:56 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
as you know, I am not one to put value on august polls
You think too highly of yourself
Nobody here gives a shite about you
Posted on 8/11/20 at 2:58 pm to Kafka
quote:
as you know, I am not one to put value on august polls
how the frick would we know that
He's assuming we read his best-selling autobiography (the 9je where he left out the part about him advocating for President Trump to step down after one term).
Posted on 8/11/20 at 3:21 pm to Mr. Hangover
HHTM:
Posted on 8/11/20 at 3:32 pm to LSU Jax
For the longest time, I've been wanting to see Minnesota flip red. It's the longest Democratic holdout (hasn't gone red since 1972; even Massachusetts and Hawaii have gone red at least once since then)
The rioting in Minneapolis is doubtlessly a factor. If it intensifies a great deal between now and November, and if the police indeed are defunded there, it just might do the trick.
The rioting in Minneapolis is doubtlessly a factor. If it intensifies a great deal between now and November, and if the police indeed are defunded there, it just might do the trick.
Posted on 8/11/20 at 3:35 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
In June, it was 61% approve,
So 10 or so point drop only? 1 out of every 2 people in Wisky think mass protests are "ok"?
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