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re: AI and the job market 5 years from now

Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:05 am to
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
31716 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:05 am to
quote:

Much of this will be free


Based upon the buildout costs for AI infrastructure, why would this remain free? They’re going into pour over a trillion into this.
Posted by RCDfan1950
United States
Member since Feb 2007
38682 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:05 am to
Learn to weld?“(Quote)

I have a good friend who is a top tier welder; they fly him across Nation to make welds. Being ‘retired’ but for the money he can’t pass up, he teaches at a local Tech College in his spare time. He is a disciplined community altruist.

The class he teaches is where the ‘welder’ oversees the mechanical welding apparatus. AI driven. He says that is the future and that in 18 months a student can graduate I to an immediate $125K job. I imagine that one ‘overseer’ could work a lot of AI welders.

I used to hate a job because it locked me/my idealist vision/spirit into a mundane life. A lot are in that mundane vision but do what they have to do to survive and prosper. Of course, thanks to Jesus/Holy Spirit, my own vision radically changed to where I knew that it should and could be. The coming Knowledge, given proper and true vision, can turn this world into a utopian dream. As prophesied, by many religions. Albeit the transformation won’t be cake. And who wants a cake version of life anyway.

It’s coming.
Posted by Houag80
Member since Jul 2019
17936 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:10 am to
There is some concern; however, and I have mentioned this before...AI has a long way to go before it begins to replace integral jobs.
I use it daily in my profession, and, I find considerable errors. The aggregation capabilities of the model are not in question...but the line, "garbage in, garbage out" still has merit.
I would recommend pursuit in careers for welders, plumbers, computer and AC techs however.
A green welder coming out of high school and a 6 month training school is starting at 60K. Three years experience and a combination hand will get you six figures.
Good luck.
Posted by Houag80
Member since Jul 2019
17936 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:12 am to
Correct. Nothing is free.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
20434 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:15 am to
quote:

AI is not nearly as far along as some of you think

Depends on the industry.

I can pull up a website, enter a desired command in English and have it spit out serviceable code in a dozen different programming languages.

That’s a problem for entry and mid level developers.

It’s going to chew up and spit out people who handle mundane repeatable tasks in any non physical role and then the robots will start taking those roles as well.

It will be at least as disruptive as the internet was to our society and more disruptive from an employment perspective.
Posted by Dixie2023
Member since Mar 2023
4616 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:17 am to
So many positions will become irrelevant, it’s scary. A friend had an issue with a web program at work and 2 days later the program owner still hadn’t fixed it. She finally called her office tech dept out of desperation thinking they couldn’t fix bc it wasn’t within tech’s scope of duties or knowledge. Well, long story, tech entered the error code into chat GPT and was told how to fix the issue. Done. One day, employees will be expected to do this themselves and IT will mostly be irrelevant.
Posted by captainFid
Never apologize to barbarism
Member since Dec 2014
9178 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Based upon the buildout costs for AI infrastructure, why would this remain free? They’re going into pour over a trillion into this.

Well, trillions have been spent on 'search' over the past quarter of a century ... yet it remains free. Email? Google Docs? Add in mapping (remember Rand McNally or Garmin?). These services have continued to remain free and the same will be for basic access to AI.

But along with the movement to competitive advantage, it will bring about a digital divide.

Someday, probably sooner, than later - it will be argued [just like the rural and urbanite impoverished without internet] should have access to their own AI.
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
19400 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:18 am to
quote:

We will be doing 10 times as much work with the same number of people.

With same pay.
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
21902 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:28 am to
quote:

can now basically complete, id guess, 50% of the production of these tech jobs with little to no human oversight?
because it can't. Ai is hilariously bad at generalized things or things that require actually thinking, because that's not what it's doing.
This post was edited on 7/18/25 at 9:29 am
Posted by umrebel2009
Member since Feb 2010
8325 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:29 am to
Chatgpt doesn't even know what year it is half the time when it's answering me
Posted by RohanGonzales
Member since Apr 2024
8217 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:29 am to
If lawyers get absolutely fricked over we can deal with the rest.
Posted by olemc999
At a blackjack table
Member since Oct 2010
15077 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:30 am to
quote:

Id argue the opposite. Even if this were true, AI is something that will improve at an exponential rate. We need rules and guidelines.


Predicted to reach super intelligence by 2027. People are sticking their heads in the sand with this shite. People need to read the AI 2027 report.
Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
44919 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:30 am to
AI isnt really AI. It is LLM. A great analogy is going from a hammer to a nail gun. Did framers lose their jobs in the process?
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60152 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:32 am to
“AI” could be the best coder in the world. It won’t matter as long as humans are responsible for defining the requirements of the system.

Example:

Company A starts coding to Client B’s requirements and specifications.

Client B’s specifications are either incomplete, wrong, or out of date. Further, Client B’s database/system is built with a completely data architecture/schema with implicit and explicit rules the client cannot even articulate because it doesn’t yet know or understand the architecture of the incoming system.

All this means that the actual requirements needed are often unknown for months AFTER coders get involved. How is an “AI” coder going to be able to solve the actual problems of multi-system implementations when those problems can only be addressed and detailed outside the system first?
This post was edited on 7/18/25 at 9:36 am
Posted by ThoUpOrange
Member since Feb 2014
177 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:35 am to
quote:

Chatgpt doesn't even know what year it is half the time when it's answering me


That's because for its general knowledge--i.e., things it doesn't have to search the web for--it's only trained on current events through June 2024.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60152 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:35 am to
quote:

AI isnt really AI. It is LLM. A great analogy is going from a hammer to a nail gun. Did framers lose their jobs in the process?


Exactly. It’s the new “cloud solutions”, a buzz word C-Suite morons fall for and end up stepping on their own dicks trying to implement.
Posted by ThoUpOrange
Member since Feb 2014
177 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:37 am to
I do enjoy the copium from all the software devs who have viewed themselves as god's gift to the workforce for the past 20 years thinking the gravy train isn't ending.

First it was "AI will never be good enough to take away programming jobs."

Now it's "Well, AI can code a little bit, but it's only going to affect junior coding positions, but not me! I'm safe because I have experience!"

That transition took all of about three years. Wonder where we'll be in another three years?
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
26919 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:38 am to
quote:

the line, "garbage in, garbage out" still has merit.


This is perfect for the political board. If enough Democrats repeat the line that Donald Trump is a pedophile, then how long will it be before AI created articles, queries, etc, start repeating that Donald Trump is a pedophile with 93.6% certainty?

People will start using manipulating the data used by AI to force AI to generate a biased result that works to their advantage. The next vaccine that comes out? Ensuring that AI support is there will be part of the vaccine rollout process.
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7716 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:40 am to
shite changes.

Smart people will always be needed.
Posted by UptownJoeBrown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2024
7306 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:42 am to
quote:

Did framers lose their jobs in the process?


Some did. You don’t need as many framers with a nail gun vs hammer.

Take a look at roofing and how fast guys can lay it down with a nail gun vs hammer
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