re: A Graphic Analysis of the Last 4 AZ Governor's Races for the "MUH Candidates" Crowd

quote:

---

Getting twice the number of votes as the last Republican governor is a really strong support that she is not, in fact, “a bad candidate.”

---

Who are the sheep now?

Correct. And the overall number of votes increased from 2018 to 2022 by how many?

OP’s Graph was shite. There’s definitely a point in the 2018 to 2022 comparison.

Over a 10% increase in voters in 4 years when the population increase was under 5%. At what point do the numbers just not add up?

ETA: almost a 14% increase actually

F e d coming here to shill us long time . Go away .

Bass, we disagree often enough, but you are a bright guy. By way of contrast, TUK is a drooling imbecile.

Yet you took his ridiculous claim and silly little graph at face value?

quote:

---

Over a 10% increase in voters in 4 years when the population increase was under 5%. At what point do the numbers just not add up?

ETA: almost a 14% increase actually

---

And voter turnout will still be under 70% will it not? You need to remember that prior to 2018, midterm turnout was in the upper 40% range in a good year.

This has been a disconnect for me since 2020 on this site. How is it that so many people are hung up on the fact that the mail in voting and increased interest in politics for the social media generations are resulting in more overall votes?

It seems like total and complete common sense "Duh" type stuff to me. I would have been shocked if there wasn't a marked increase in turnout over the last couple of cycles.

Higher raw vote totals alone will simply never indicate anything other than that there were more votes. It just isn't compelling. I don't understand why its always the first thing referenced in these discussions.

quote:

---

And voter turnout will still be under 70% will it not

---

Registered voters is a nonsense number.

quote:

---

Higher raw vote totals alone will simply never indicate anything other than that there were more votes. It just isn't compelling. I don't understand why its always the first thing referenced in these discussions.

---

I understand what you’re saying. Lake getting 1.2M doesn’t mean she should have won. Agreed.

But getting 1.2M in 2018 would have easily won the AZ Governor’s race.

You can argue that Republican’s GOTV efforts are lagging far behind Democrats. Legal and/or otherwise. I would obviously agree.

It’s really hard to see that 1.2M number and deduce she was a horrible candidate. And that was the whole point of the OP.

quote:

---

It’s really hard to see that 1.2M number and deduce she was a horrible candidate. And that was the whole point of the OP.

---

Gotcha. Lake is on the fringe of "candidate quality" for me so I won't push back on that. The race in AZ was winnable for her, I think her messaging just fell flat and she spent too much time pandering to people who were already voting for her.

The candidate quality/selection issue has much more play in PA and Georgia, plus a few scattered House races IMO.

quote:

---

Kari Lake had the highest turnout in Republican history over DOUBLING the turnout in the previous election and still lost

---

I swear this bullshite is put out by Leftists that know conservatives will use it to make themselves look retarded.