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re: WSJ/NYT - US & Israel Strike Tehran

Posted on 3/2/26 at 10:37 pm to
Posted by Chuck Barris
Member since Apr 2013
3148 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 10:37 pm to
quote:

Only for ethnic minorities, right?
I had to look it up, but most Zoroastrians in Iran are part of the Persian majority.

The other minority religious groups are typically members of ethnic minorities.
Posted by chRxis
None of your fricking business
Member since Feb 2008
27907 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 10:41 pm to

quote:

According to the Iranian government.


no, according to the Pew Research Center... back in 2010

World Value Survey in 2022 said 96.6% identify as Muslim... still higher than that 90-95 number thrown out with no statistical basis whatsoever
Posted by magildachunks
Member since Oct 2006
35867 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

This is just incorrect.

There are congregations of Christians, Jews, Zoroastrians, and others in Iran.



It was illegal for Iranians to be Christian.

quote:

The state permits only recognized Christian minorities (Armenians/Assyrians) to worship, often prohibiting Persian-speaking (Farsi) services.



As far as Zoroastrianism, you had to be born into the faith. If you weren't or your parents weren't zoroastrian before the Islamists took over in 1979, you can't be one now.


Same with Judaism.



Posted by Mr Breeze
The Lunatic Fringe
Member since Dec 2010
6805 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 12:46 am to
You may be correct that Christianity arises in some proportion following a best case outcome, the later of course very much uncertain. Persians are more sophisticated than other ME Muslim countries, albeit prior to the radical theocracy coming in power.

Something I didn't know, recognizing Saudis and Iranians have differing interpretations of Islamic theology.

"Yes, following the 9/11 attacks, many Iranian citizens held candlelight vigils, marched in solidarity, and observed moments of silence for American victims in 2001. Notably, Iranians gathered in Tehran's Mohseni Square on September 18, 2001, to light candles, and 60,000 spectators observed a minute of silence during a soccer match in Tehran."

They were the only ME Islamic country to do so.
Posted by magildachunks
Member since Oct 2006
35867 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 1:27 am to
quote:

You may be correct that Christianity arises in some proportion following a best case outcome, the later of course very much uncertain. Persians are more sophisticated than other ME Muslim countries, albeit prior to the radical theocracy coming in power.



Islam is the fastest declining religion in Iran, with most of the people who are denouncing their faith in Islam stating that they have lost their faith in religion due to living under a theocracy.

Christianity is the fastest growing religion with most becoming Protestant-style followers and Pentecostal.

They have had to practice in secret because it was illegal to convert from Islam, with punishment ranging from prison up to death for apostasy.


With the theocracy gone, you are going to see a lot of Muslims coming out as Christians.
This post was edited on 3/3/26 at 1:31 am
Posted by magildachunks
Member since Oct 2006
35867 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 1:45 am to
quote:

Rubio just said the quiet part out loud. I'm honestly stunned. Surely somebody's going to try to walk this back or claim that he was misquoted, right?




He said they knew that Iran would eventually be attacked and they knew that when that happened, they would target Americans. no matter who attacked them, they were going to attack Americans as a retaliation for being attacked.

He never said that they were going to be attacked by Israel and we knew about it, just that someone was going to attack Iran. He used Israel as an example: if Israel attacked Iran, Iran was going to target Americans in retaliation.

So we launched a preemptive attack with Israel (another country that would be targeted no matter who attacked).


Maybe we should ask who they believe would attack Iran, causing the need to cripple Iran first.
Posted by dallastigers
Member since Dec 2003
10587 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 2:50 am to
quote:

quote:

Marco Rubio a few hours ago: "We knew that there was going to be an Israeli action. We knew that that would precipitate an attack against American forces, and we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after them before they launched those attacks, we would suffer higher casualties."
This is like claiming that you were being threatened because your "friend" was about to punch someone, and that person would inevitably defend themselves, which would endanger you.



It’s more like saying that you were threatened because your friend was about to punch someone, and that someone has stated if punched by your friend that they will punch you and others in an offensive attack that has nothing to do with self defense or retaliation against your friend and friend’s attack. It’s not a uncommon practice in that area, but it’s usually trying to draw Israel in when attacked by someone else and hope other muslim countries join in against Israel. Sadam did this in the Gulf War.

That’s doesn’t change the possibility we were drawn into this (have not read up on what was said), but the danger to us was not with Iran acting in self defense against Israel and endangering us with something like crossfire or being near Israel. It was from Iran intentionally attacking us because of Israel’s attack.

Posted by dallastigers
Member since Dec 2003
10587 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 3:22 am to
quote:

"Yes, following the 9/11 attacks, many Iranian citizens held candlelight vigils, marched in solidarity, and observed moments of silence for American victims in 2001. Notably, Iranians gathered in Tehran's Mohseni Square on September 18, 2001, to light candles, and 60,000 spectators observed a minute of silence during a soccer match in Tehran."


I think they had some of both - vigils and cheering. The regime likely helped the terrorists fleeing Afghanistan and in other ways, and they killed many American soldiers in Iraq.

The Shah’s authoritarian government was the only thing holding back the radicals. I am not sure they can have freedom from hardline muslims without another authoritarian govt coming in and going after the hardliners or at least keeping them in check. The young adults can dance all they want, but it’s time for them to act with some strength and not wait for others to do it all for them.

I still remember the Shiites in Irag celebrating Saddam being taken out by doing a religious practice he banned (cutting their scalps and bleeding or maybe bleeding a lamb over their heads or both) and at same time shouting death to America and/or something bad towards Bush who just helped them get this religious freedom they were celebrating getting back.

The whole ME area is backwards as frick with strong authoritarian govts required to keep the radicals in check. Iran was more modern before the takeover, but many of the non-radicals fled elsewhere. The young adults pushing for freedom is a big positive for Iran over most other muslim countries in the Middle East, but they may not have the stomach or the will to fight on their own. The regime loyalists are going to fight back including asymmetrical warfare later like the Bathists and terrorists did in Iraq to try and break their will.

Posted by AHM21
Member since Feb 2008
31987 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 5:57 am to
Posted by RIPMachoMan
Member since Jun 2011
9071 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 8:01 am to
Was it mostly quiet overnight? I saw embassy shutdowns etc.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87299 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 8:23 am to
That’s got to be deflating if accurate


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Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
20196 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 8:26 am to
quote:

Islam is finished in Iran.



Dude, no

Posted by Violent Hip Swivel
Member since Aug 2023
9372 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 8:36 am to
quote:

He said they knew that Iran would eventually be attacked and they knew that when that happened, they would target Americans. no matter who attacked them, they were going to attack Americans as a retaliation for being attacked.

He never said that they were going to be attacked by Israel and we knew about it, just that someone was going to attack Iran. He used Israel as an example: if Israel attacked Iran, Iran was going to target Americans in retaliation.


I have a hard time beliving that you believe your own spin. Holy shite man!

"We knew that there was going to be an Israeli action. We knew that that would precipitate an attack against American forces, and we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after them before they launched those attacks, we would suffer higher casualties."

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This post was edited on 3/3/26 at 8:38 am
Posted by Mr Breeze
The Lunatic Fringe
Member since Dec 2010
6805 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 8:44 am to
quote:

The young adults pushing for freedom is a big positive for Iran over most other muslim countries in the Middle East, but they may not have the stomach or the will to fight on their own. The regime loyalists are going to fight back including asymmetrical warfare later like the Bathists and terrorists did in Iraq to try and break their will.

I believe they have the will but not the means (weapons) or training to fight against Iran's regular or paramilitary forces. Mossad is deeply embedded there with assets that might facilitate an effective lethal capability for them.

Time will tell. Iran's IRGC must be wiped out to the greatest extent possible, for starters.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
87466 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 8:58 am to
quote:

That’s got to be deflating if accurate
They have to be literally retarded.

I mean if you've paid attention the last few days you should probably be going "hmm they seem to know our every move." Why the frick would you be gathering in one spot
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130170 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 8:59 am to
Israel keeps wiping out entire leadership groups and Iran keeps saying "Hey let's all get together in one room"
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130170 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 8:59 am to
Watch the entire thing in context.
This post was edited on 3/3/26 at 9:00 am
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87299 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 9:00 am to
IRGC said it was evacuated beforehand

But IRGC says a lot of things that turn out to be false
Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
20196 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 9:03 am to
Do we feel like this will slow down or stop soon? Or will it continue to escalate until boots are on the ground?

Iran seemingly needs to have some voice of reason on their side to begin ceasefire talks and present a plan for leadership of the country (which no doubt will need to be to the region and US's satisfaction). Not sure that will happen.

Really don't want a drawn out war with American lives on the ground. That story rarely ends well for us in these power vacuum situations.
This post was edited on 3/3/26 at 9:04 am
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
87466 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 9:05 am to
quote:

Or will it continue to escalate
based on Trump's address yesterday morning, I don't think this is gonna be quick.
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