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re: Who would've won WW1 if the US didn't enter the war?

Posted on 2/19/23 at 10:05 am to
Posted by Burhead
Member since Dec 2014
2099 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 10:05 am to
I think a more interesting hypothetical is what happens if the Russian Empire doesn't collapse in 1917?
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
58822 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 10:14 am to
quote:

3) Germany, France and England eventually are all bled dry and/or bankrupted by 1920 and the war weary nations sign an armistice that essentially returns to the pre-war borders.


This

The biggest drain on wars is the loss of the minds of the next generations. WW I and WW II were the last wars where rich and poor went to fight. Now folks with money get weekend warrior status or get out with bone spurs, the rest flee to Canada.
Posted by WildTchoupitoulas
Member since Jan 2010
44071 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 10:22 am to
quote:

odds are fascism still rises in Europe, just maybe somewhere besides Germany.

Well, since it started in Italy, who was allied against Germany in WWI, that's an easy call to make.

Posted by WildTchoupitoulas
Member since Jan 2010
44071 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 10:30 am to
quote:

Don't know why folks are downvoting this with the malnutrition levels (especially among Central powers), it might have wiped out the combatants to where they couldn't fight anymore.

Because we don't believe in viruses or pandemics anymore.
Posted by SpotCheckBilly
Member since May 2020
7555 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 10:36 am to
quote:

I didn’t know about the French revolts against WW1. What’s a good read on this?


Time Ghost has a good, week by week, series on that war and WWII. The various mutinies are discussed, and there were several.

WWI was just senseless slaughter on the western and Italian fronts. Germany might have joined had we not come in, but all the participants were struggling. They were bleeding each other dry for very little gain.
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
68325 posts
Posted on 2/19/23 at 11:22 am to
Germany still would have lost. At best it would have been a return to the status quo.

The blockade that the Royal Navy had imposed on Germany in 1914 was creating a supply and food shortage in Germany and literally thousands of people on the home front were starting to die of starvation. The Spanish Flu also was running rampant by the summer of 1918 and it was having a disproportionate effect on the Central Powers considering they were malnourished by that point. Also the Spring Offensive of 1918 would have failed even without U.S. intervention. We merely provided the reserves for the Entente to launch a counteroffensive in the summer. The Germans used everything they had left in the Spring Offensive.

Also...if the Western Front would have remained stagnant, the Macedonian Front and Italian Front would not have. The Austrians and the Bulgarians were absolutely ready to crumble by the beginning of 1918.
This post was edited on 2/19/23 at 11:24 am
Posted by southdowns84
Member since Dec 2009
1508 posts
Posted on 2/20/23 at 11:57 pm to
quote:

I think it is less Germany losing, but more how France and UK punished and humiliated the Germans. How they arbitrarily drew borders on the map forming new countries.


Germany got off super easy compared to WWII.
Posted by Napoleon
Kenna
Member since Dec 2007
70926 posts
Posted on 2/21/23 at 2:40 am to
Sometimes I think the euros would have been a better place with Germany winning ww1. But then the US would have never became a super power.
Posted by mikelbr
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
48609 posts
Posted on 2/21/23 at 6:52 am to
quote:

Germany winning would have been beneficial for the world then and now.
.

Probably wouldn't have to see these gay arse threads about how much better the German Mardi Gras is than New Orleans.
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
32963 posts
Posted on 2/21/23 at 7:21 am to
The reality is that the Russian Empire was living on borrowed time even in 1914. There had been uprisings, protests,riots from the late 1890s on. You had military mutinies in the wake of the Russo Japanese War.

Russia was woefully mismanaged and Nicholas was not a strong leader and he made the fatal mistake of leaving St Petersburg during the war to direct things at the front.
Posted by TROLA
BATON ROUGE
Member since Apr 2004
13908 posts
Posted on 2/21/23 at 7:22 am to
Eventually some form of 3…

Which probably led to another war in the 30s but the question would be how much tech would’ve been discovered


Germany’s loss and eventual rise back to the top was the catalyst for so much discovery
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
46912 posts
Posted on 2/21/23 at 7:29 am to
quote:

I think a more interesting hypothetical is what happens if the Russian Empire doesn't collapse in 1917?



This was basically inevitable after Japan sank damn near their entire navy at Tsushima in 1905.
Posted by beerJeep
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2016
36536 posts
Posted on 2/21/23 at 7:33 am to
quote:

I find it interesting that a historian as well known as Niall Ferguson is fairly adamant that the UK should not have entered the war at all and everyone would have been better off (wouldve meant no US involvement either).


Literally the first response in the thread
Posted by alajones
Huntsvegas
Member since Oct 2005
35259 posts
Posted on 2/21/23 at 7:35 am to
quote:

Well, since it started in Italy, who was allied against Germany in WWI, that's an easy call to make.
Nazism was the German version of fascism. Without the harsh terms of the treaty of Versailles, Nazism (fascism) probably never takes hold in Germany.

This post was edited on 2/21/23 at 7:36 am
Posted by Stealth Matrix
29°59'55.98"N 90°05'21.85"W
Member since Aug 2019
9858 posts
Posted on 2/21/23 at 8:37 am to
If the Germans won, we would've had an Adolphe Hitlére come out of France, so I think it's a wash
Posted by alajones
Huntsvegas
Member since Oct 2005
35259 posts
Posted on 2/21/23 at 9:51 am to
And who knows which country would have first developed nukes.
Posted by MSUDawg98
Ravens Flock
Member since Jan 2018
11622 posts
Posted on 2/22/23 at 3:40 am to
quote:

A German victory all but assures revolution in France, England, or both. The IRA already had its Bolshevik faction, so you may get a Red Ireland in this timeline too. You can spin any number of other scenarios from all that, few of them good.
I don't think there's more than a 10% chance of it happening in that timeline.

Since the assessment that it would have saved us from WWII seems to be the consensus, I think another variable should be considered. Let's say not much changes if the US doesn't enter the war compared to OTL. Does a "neutral" United States decide on the terms of an armistice?

Changing the question slightly... What if Wilson got his way and the LON actually became as powerful as the UN has. What does this do when Japan starts trying to expand around SE Asia? Would they dare going it alone in WWII against the colonial powers (who aren't preoccupied with Hitler)?
Posted by MSUDawg98
Ravens Flock
Member since Jan 2018
11622 posts
Posted on 2/22/23 at 4:00 am to
quote:

The Spanish Flu also was running rampant by the summer of 1918
There are theories out there that the flu started here and with heavily packed military ships it was spread like wildfire on those ships and then onto the other countries' troops in the trenches.
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