re: Where is the Fall Weather?

quote:

---

our 4th coldest April

---

Where are you talking about exactly, because it wasn't a top 10 coldest April for Baton Rouge. It was 2.1 degrees below normal though.

quote:

---

08-09 and 09-10 winters were also extremely cold

---

09-10 was the second coldest winter on record for BTR.

Looking at the climate data seasonally, there's no recent spikes in hot/cold winters here. There is a notable spike in Spring, Summer, and Fall heat but there's also quite a few from the 20s and early 30s popping up for summer and fall as well. Not trying to debate here, just noting the sort of interesting climate data available.

quote:

---

Climate change is real but no one can actually say how much is man made so go spew your fear mongering propaganda somewhere else

---

I personally think man has an impact on the current rate of warming...but yes he was overstating the impacts temperature wise. We're talking, let's say +7 F on average and it won't be that drastic this close to the water.

Considering the average summer of about 73 degrees, you'd be talking about bumping that to 80. Which would be indicative of higher dew points to match, since our summer low is basically the dew point. That rise in dew point would likely serve to increase summer rainfall. For south Louisiana, it'll be the water and not as much the heat that is of concern if you ask me.

After that aside that few will read (don't blame em), the computer models are keeping a cold front from run to run for around the weekend of the Georgia game.

GFS:



Cold air coming in over Sunday the 14th.

Canadian:



Thursday the 11th for the Canadian.

Euro:



No cold front by the end of the run going into Saturday the 12th, but that low over the great lakes is deeper than the GFS and farther south for the same timeframe. Cold front there positioned across OKC area into western TX. You'd think that would get here over that weekend.

So...

quote:

---

Where is the Fall Weather?

---

After the Georgia game looks to be the answer, but too far out to bank on.