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Started By
Message
Weather technology is becoming too good
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:04 pm
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:04 pm
Days like today have occurred thousands of times but we had no idea about them because models were never as good as they are now. We know most of the ingredients were present today, in a very big way, across southeastern Louisiana for a major tornado outbreak but it just never got going.
Of course the NWS and SPC can’t turn a blind eye to that data when it starts to show up in model output and that’s what happened last weekend and today. The conditions were just right but it just never happened.
This has always happened in years past but nobody had a clue since technology didn’t catch it, thus no hype/panic/doom predictions. You can’t fault the professionals for sounding the alarm because everything was there. They did their jobs by alerting the public of the potential so we could be prepared.
Every August and September we see the conditions become just right over the Gulf of Mexico but we don’t always see hurricanes develop just because they can. I see today’s event and last weeks event (or in most of our cases, non-event) this way. We know too much and sometimes it bites us.
My 2 cents.
Of course the NWS and SPC can’t turn a blind eye to that data when it starts to show up in model output and that’s what happened last weekend and today. The conditions were just right but it just never happened.
This has always happened in years past but nobody had a clue since technology didn’t catch it, thus no hype/panic/doom predictions. You can’t fault the professionals for sounding the alarm because everything was there. They did their jobs by alerting the public of the potential so we could be prepared.
Every August and September we see the conditions become just right over the Gulf of Mexico but we don’t always see hurricanes develop just because they can. I see today’s event and last weeks event (or in most of our cases, non-event) this way. We know too much and sometimes it bites us.
My 2 cents.
19
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:05 pm to TDsngumbo
So you're saying they were accurately wrong?
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:08 pm to Green Chili Tiger
I’m saying we rely on model output a little too much in some instances. Perhaps do away with the “slight/enhanced/moderate/high risk crap. Just say “hey, the potential for severe weather and tornadoes exists tomorrow so prepare and pay attention”. Too much of a good thing can sometimes be a bad thing.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:08 pm to TDsngumbo
Solid troll OP
Fear sells. Ratings result from fear. Media eats this stuff up. Social media influence makes it take off like wildfire.
Fear sells. Ratings result from fear. Media eats this stuff up. Social media influence makes it take off like wildfire.
This post was edited on 4/18/19 at 9:09 pm
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:08 pm to TDsngumbo
Right on.
And just because some didn't get anything, doesn't mean everyone was so lucky. My wife and daughter were hunkered down in the bathroom with an "observed" tornado a few miles from the house.
Another one of the guys out here is flying in tomorrow because several trees went down in his yard and smashed his shed. Tornado went through his area as well.
And just because some didn't get anything, doesn't mean everyone was so lucky. My wife and daughter were hunkered down in the bathroom with an "observed" tornado a few miles from the house.
Another one of the guys out here is flying in tomorrow because several trees went down in his yard and smashed his shed. Tornado went through his area as well.
This post was edited on 4/18/19 at 9:11 pm
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:09 pm to markasaurus
I’m not trolling.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:10 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
in a very big way, across southeastern Louisiana for a major tornado outbreak but it just never got going.
Unless your town was one of the ones hit by a tornado today
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:11 pm to TDsngumbo
They blew it and scared the absolute shite out of the media addicted sheep. They should he held responsible for the mental injury they inflicted.
The sun was shining this morning and I had employees sitting at their desks crying because they were terrified.
Is selling a few more commercials really worth the fear they induce?
The sun was shining this morning and I had employees sitting at their desks crying because they were terrified.
Is selling a few more commercials really worth the fear they induce?
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:14 pm to TDsngumbo
I’m right there with you bro.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:14 pm to HueyP
quote:
They blew it
How can you say that when there were numerous tornados across LA, MS and AL?
I feel like those saying this was a bust expect something like this scene across the entire region when these things happen....
This post was edited on 4/18/19 at 9:29 pm
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:18 pm to TDsngumbo
I’m in my 60s, and while we have had a few tornadoes, it’s rare that we have a big tornado south of the Miss state line extended unless it’s a tropical system.
Authorities are over reacting. I can understand keeping vehicles off the streets in really bad weather, but cancelling work and school a day in advance is too much.
Besides are children more safe at home or at school in the event of s bad tornado? We don’t have cellars or basements here and a steel framed structure is probably safer than a wood framed house.
Authorities are over reacting. I can understand keeping vehicles off the streets in really bad weather, but cancelling work and school a day in advance is too much.
Besides are children more safe at home or at school in the event of s bad tornado? We don’t have cellars or basements here and a steel framed structure is probably safer than a wood framed house.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:28 pm to TDsngumbo
He’s not trolling,just dumb.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:30 pm to TDsngumbo
Suck a dick
Just my 2 cents
Just my 2 cents
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:32 pm to HueyP
quote:
They blew it and scared the absolute shite out of the media addicted sheep. They should he held responsible for the mental injury they inflicted.
The sun was shining this morning and I had employees sitting at their desks crying because they were terrified.
Is selling a few more commercials really worth the fear they induce?
You're melting in multiple threads. Clearly your employees get their cues from the top.
This post was edited on 4/18/19 at 9:33 pm
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:37 pm to HueyP
quote:
I had employees sitting at their desks crying because they were terrified
Why did you have employees crying?
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:38 pm to doubleb
quote:
Besides are children more safe at home or at school in the event of s bad tornado? We don’t have cellars or basements here and a steel framed structure is probably safer than a wood framed house.
They don't want people on the roads. It's thay simple.
I'm sure parents were upset in BR today when they didn't have to get out to pick up kids in this.
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:41 pm to slackster
Best day ever, made it to NOLA in 40 mins!! Thanks mr weatherman!
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:45 pm to TDsngumbo
I usually defend the hell out of meteorologists. Today was a fricking sham. I didn't even have a puddle in my backyard. I usually get them on a random Tuesday rain shower. This was blown way out of fricking proportion. Winds?!? My arse!
Posted on 4/18/19 at 9:50 pm to slackster
quote:
hey don't want people on the roads. It's thay simple.
In the same post I acknowledged that, but the thing to do is let school out early if that’s the case.
You don’t have to cancel a day ahead of time.
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