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re: TS Jerry, TS Karen & More Areas to Watch - Peak Season

Posted on 9/18/19 at 10:56 am to
Posted by BayouBengal
Member since Nov 2003
28288 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 10:56 am to
quote:

In NE Houston. This storm has been a no show. I think we had rain a couple weeks ago stronger than this.


Decent wind and rain last night downtown but by 5am it had really slacked off. Morning commute was pretty normal. Steady rain but not much wind so visibility was fine. No real thunder to speak of either. Just over 3.5inches of rain in the past 24 hours.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 11:48 am to
quote:

At least in our area the rain has been consistent but no period with 2-3 inches in an hour or anything like that. I think in our worst hour we had 4 inches in an hour during Harvey and about 35 inches over 5 days.


This is good, and what I hope most of Houston ends up looking like. South of town and east of town looking more and more like the target zone for the heaviest totals this morning.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 12:13 pm to
The eastern edge of the storm sure does look like it is moving East. Earlier it was over Lake Charles and now it is over the Jennings area.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

The eastern edge of the storm sure does look like it is moving East. Earlier it was over Lake Charles and now it is over the Jennings area.


Which is following the other trends that would put most of the rain to the east of Houston.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 12:23 pm to
Is it supposed to continue moving easterly? Should I go cut my grass now in Lafayette?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 12:27 pm to
You'll more likely get some rain this afternoon than not but those heavy bands aren't really expected to set up over Laffy.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 12:30 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175606 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 12:32 pm to
I would kill for this thing to turn east towards north LA. It's been 100 for the last few months.
Posted by pwejr88
Red Stick
Member since Apr 2007
37561 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 12:34 pm to
How much will Lake Charles be affected?
I have family over there.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129074 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 12:56 pm to
Its going to rain

Not a ton
Posted by tk for tu juan
Houston
Member since Mar 2019
829 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 6:48 pm to
Imelda leaving some presents on the way out. Tornado near Baytown/Mont Belvieu area
This post was edited on 9/18/19 at 7:08 pm
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70551 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 7:28 pm to
Yeah I was watching all those warnings on the local news. Dude on there showed a future cast that shows a strong arse band forming near Conroe and going south and just sitting. Said it wouldn’t be out of the question for some big totals. Had over 15 inches in Humble but the whole area had decent totals. Obviously this is just a forecast and you never know where or if it will actually hit. Just a heads up.
Posted by Fusaichi Pegasus
Meh He Co
Member since Oct 2010
14684 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 7:36 pm to
any concern of the storms off the coast of Africa?
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 7:54 pm to
Anyone see the Euro ensembles of Jerry? They had a single ensemble going straight into New Orlean's pooper you can't make this shite up. It really is an inside joke it always send at least one model in NO.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13754 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 8:06 pm to
Humberto just had his closest point of approach to Bermuda. Winds gusted to about 85 mph and sustained about 70 mph. Pressure dropped to 980.2 mb.

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100249 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 8:38 pm to
Models have most Africa storms turning out to sea currently. Too close behind one another to alllow the ridge to build in.

However, that can change depending on timing and development of storms
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 10:50 pm to
Currently some exceptionally heavy rain falling from about Winnie to Port Arthur W to E. Another area of heavy rain setting up to the north of that and would progress toward Beaumont as the night goes on.

The southern band is likely pumping out 5" to even 6" per hour in some locations.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
24657 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 11:36 pm to
Where we at on that cold front these days?
Posted by tk for tu juan
Houston
Member since Mar 2019
829 posts
Posted on 9/18/19 at 11:47 pm to
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/19/19 at 7:12 am to
That is a good flair up.
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