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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:27 pm to bigberg2000
quote:
Dude on the weather said last night that he sort of hopes it becomes a storm so it can get a name. He said its the only way people will take it seriously.
Unless it gets Jerry. Nobody is going to take Hurricane Jerry seriously.
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:32 pm to rds dc
Damn. If you true that’s going to be a few years in a row of some serious flooding for SouthEast Texas
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:38 pm to rds dc
The worse part of that model run is the 30 to 40 inches south of Tyler occurs over a 24 hour period (+72 to +96).
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:38 pm to rds dc
I can't see shite!
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:39 pm to RummelTiger
And Tyler ain't Central Texas!
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:41 pm to RummelTiger
Had .2 inches of rain for Austin.
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:43 pm to RummelTiger
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/15/23 at 6:42 am
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:48 pm to glassman
quote:
Had .2 inches of rain for Austin.
frick.
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:48 pm to msutiger
quote:
I’m not interested in doing this Harvey shite again in Houston
I don't blame you. Hope the best for y'all.
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:52 pm to glassman
Really dreading my HEB run tonight. Going to be an absolute shite show
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:55 pm to Dire Wolf
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:55 pm to deltaland
Tropical Storm Imelda now...jeez.
Posted on 9/17/19 at 12:55 pm to Dire Wolf
Thankfully this is an outlier but the NAM model is ugly
Posted on 9/17/19 at 1:02 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Hurricane Jerry
Posted on 9/17/19 at 1:07 pm to RummelTiger
Honestly I wonder if this is actually a TS or if they upgraded it for awareness.
Posted on 9/17/19 at 1:12 pm to LSUJuice
LET'S GET TROPICAL
Posted on 9/17/19 at 1:30 pm to LSUJuice
quote:
Honestly I wonder if this is actually a TS or if they upgraded it for awareness.
The radar definitely shows some spin.
Surface obs. show winds in all directions to the south of Houston, confirming the spin on radar. Closed low. Got wind speeds on radar getting up to 50 mph an hour or two ago. You have to reduce the speed since that's aloft, but even a 20% reduction in speed gets you to 40 mph. There's enough there to support a tropical storm rating.
The 12z Euro out to 114 hr has 12"+ over most of the Houston metro, with a bit of a bias toward the east side. The max total showing up is 27.1". The location would appear to be around Baytown. There is a higher total up around Tyler of about 29".
The 12z NAM maxes out at 34", with a wide swath of what would be 20"+ across southern Harris county, Galveston county, Chambers county, and eastern Brazoria county. It depicts a pretty tight gradient of rainfall for Harris county. With approximately north of the outer loop getting 1-4" and south of I10 getting into the 20" range. Image from pivitalweather above doesn't show the gradient I'm seeing very well, but does show the general idea of southern Harris getting a tremendous amount of rain.
Don't take the model outputs as gospel, the main point is there is model support for a significant rainfall event in the Houston area and areas east and north of Houston.
NWS Houston
Weather Prediction Center w/ Precip Forecasts and Localized Discussions As Needed
Space City Weather
This post was edited on 9/17/19 at 1:32 pm
Posted on 9/17/19 at 1:32 pm to rds dc
I wish it would turn around and come into the gulf :/
Posted on 9/17/19 at 1:35 pm to 225Tyga
Leave Humberto alone, he looks drunk and happy.
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