re: TS Elsa - Heading off to the NE, Then Shut the Tropics Down for a Couple of Weeks

Posted by deuce985

Member since Feb 2008

27660 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 6:49 pm to NorthEndZone

Well, Florida somehow decided to survive the skullfrickery of last hurricane season so I guess you have to get them caught up early in the season this year.

Posted by Jim Rockford

Member since May 2011

102592 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 6:57 pm to Bobby OG Johnson

The video shows the dog noping out of there too

Posted by Bobby OG Johnson

Member since Apr 2015

31976 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 6:59 pm to Bobby OG Johnson

quote:
National Hurricane Center
@NHC_Atlantic
Hurricane #Elsa Advisory 10A: Elsa Moving Quickly West-Northwestward Across the Eastern Caribbean Sea as a Category 1 Hurricane. Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance Aircraft Investigating Elsa

Posted by Swazla

Member since Jul 2016

1663 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:02 pm to Bobby OG Johnson

Any guesses what the storm surge will be around Seaside to Panama City...worst case?

My daughter (no pics) and friends are going to Seagrove beach. Tomorrow!

Posted by Duke

Dillon, CO

Member since Jan 2008

36409 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:04 pm to Swazla

Elsa has outrun it's storms it looks like.

3 ...

Posted by Klingler7

Houston

Member since Nov 2009

12440 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:18 pm to Duke

Is it me or has the 5 day NHC forecast track stayed the same for about 48 hours ?

This post was edited on 7/2/21 at 7:19 pm

Posted by Duke

Dillon, CO

Member since Jan 2008

36409 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:21 pm to Klingler7

They haven't had much reason to move it yet.

Posted by PhiTiger1764

Lurker since Aug 2003

Member since Oct 2009

14335 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:25 pm to Duke

I need this thing to go east of east

Posted by Cosmo

glassman's guest house

Member since Oct 2003

126112 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:26 pm to Klingler7

quote:
Is it me or has the 5 day NHC forecast track stayed the same for about 48 hours ?

Yes because the gfs hasnt changed much

Posted by Cosmo

glassman's guest house

Member since Oct 2003

126112 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:26 pm to Duke

Elsa has let it go

Posted by rds dc

Member since Jun 2008

20623 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:38 pm to Duke

quote:
Elsa has outrun it's storms it looks like.

Systems with small cores are so erratic. Now to see if the burst of convection can rotate around fast enough to capture that LLC or will the LLC out run the MLC resulting in a naked swirl alert at sunrise?

Posted by real turf fan

East Tennessee

Member since Dec 2016

10290 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:41 pm to Jim Rockford

Why did the dog run to the point of boom?

Posted by Bobby OG Johnson

Member since Apr 2015

31976 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:46 pm to Bobby OG Johnson

Posted by Bobby OG Johnson

Member since Apr 2015

31976 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:50 pm to real turf fan

quote:
Why did the dog run to the point of boom?

Hell I thought it was a cat

Posted by Duke

Dillon, CO

Member since Jan 2008

36409 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:52 pm to real turf fan

quote:
Why did the dog run to the point of boom?

I doubt the dog thought it through.

Big noise, run the frick away.

Posted by Hangit

The Green Swamp

Member since Aug 2014

43588 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:52 pm to rds dc

quote:
resulting in a naked swirl alert at sunrise?

My absolute favorite.

Posted by LewDawg

Member since May 2009

76573 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:54 pm to rds dc

quote:

RIP me

Posted by SippyCup

Gulf Coast

Member since Sep 2008

6545 posts

Posted on 7/2/21 at 7:54 pm to Swazla

quote:
Any guesses what the storm surge will be around Seaside to Panama City...worst case?

Well, considering PC is barley in the cone worst case could mean direct hit. But if it’s a Tampa bound storm, PC could have double reds out Sun-Tue. Red flags out all day today and there were some 5-6 footers rolling in.