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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
Posted on 9/13/21 at 7:53 pm to BallsEleven
Posted on 9/13/21 at 7:53 pm to BallsEleven
quote:
ChasinSpin
@ChasinSpin
Minimum pressure with Tropical Storm Nicholas so far is 999mb.
1
Posted on 9/13/21 at 7:54 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 9/13/21 at 7:54 pm to rds dc
is it just me, or does this thing looking to be skirting the coast in a NNE kind of motion right now
Posted on 9/13/21 at 7:55 pm to Duke
That water along the upper Texas coast is superheated, about 88-89° F. Even though that thing is near landfall, it wouldn't surprise me if it strengthens to a H-1. That's been the trend the past 10-15 years.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 7:59 pm to tarzana
quote:
That water along the upper Texas coast is superheated, about 88-89° F. Even though that thing is near landfall, it wouldn't surprise me if it strengthens to a H-1. That's been the trend the past 10-15 years.
Zack Fradella called this two days ago. He’s the fricking man with tropical weather.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 7:59 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:03 pm to tarzana
quote:
That water along the upper Texas coast is superheated, about 88-89° F. Even though that thing is near landfall, it wouldn't surprise me if it strengthens to a H-1. That's been the trend the past 10-15 years.
Remember how fast Harvey ramped up right off shore?
Shear will limit this one though. It might get to Cat 1 but no more
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:05 pm to rds dc
Going to be a nail-biter for Houston tonight. The latest HRRR shows over 20" just to the SW towards Bay City. The HREF shows generally 8-10" but there is a cluster of members pushing 20". Most other guidance is less aggressive but we will get one more cycle of model runs before the main push occurs for Houston. Then the focus will turn to S. LA, with the current track being somewhat concerning. That area of the Florida Parishes is known for nocturnal tropical rain bombs.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:06 pm to rds dc
I drove through H town about 2 hours ago and it was already pissing rain
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:06 pm to rds dc
quote:
Then the focus will turn to S. LA, with the current track being somewhat concerning. That area of the Florida Parishes is known for nocturnal tropical rain bombs.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:15 pm to DVinBR
quote:
is it just me, or does this thing looking to be skirting the coast in a NNE kind of motion right now
It’s been moving NNE and was predicted to but the coast runs NE so it’s still going to go inland
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:17 pm to Midtiger farm
Any rain projections for nola
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:18 pm to rds dc
quote:
Going to be a nail-biter for Houston tonight. The latest HRRR shows over 20" just to the SW towards Bay City.
quote:
rds dc
Best of luck Houston folks! Y’all be safe.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:20 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
@ReedTimmerAccu
CORRECTION: we posted these numbers with the same math error as Zeta. We can divide these by 3.28 with a peak surge just over 2 feet down off western tip of East Matagorda Bay. More in line with expectations
This post was edited on 9/13/21 at 9:06 pm
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:23 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Man this thing has me nervous. I’m in Laffy and have no desire for a repeat of 2016.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:24 pm to Bronsonburner
frick
U
C
K
U
C
K
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:29 pm to ell_13
New Hurricane terminology.
Nocturnal Tropical Rain Bomb
Nocturnal Tropical Rain Bomb
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:33 pm to tarzana
quote:
That water along the upper Texas coast is superheated, about 88-89° F. Even though that thing is near landfall, it wouldn't surprise me if it strengthens to a H-1. That's been the trend the past 10-15 years.
The limitation aint the water temps, its the shear its fighting.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:36 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Palacios with sustained winds at 54.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 8:36 pm to Duke
Had been pretty quiet here in League City, but suddenly getting some pretty strong gusts.
This post was edited on 9/13/21 at 8:38 pm
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