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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
Posted on 9/12/21 at 9:41 pm to LouisianaTigers
Posted on 9/12/21 at 9:41 pm to LouisianaTigers
quote:
I’m in Alvin, TX and flooded during Harvey……I’m sweating bullets with this one.
Don’t blame you. Some of the models have that area targeted for heavy rainfall.
But I doubt it will be anything like Harvey. Maybe at most half the amount of rain
0
Posted on 9/12/21 at 10:05 pm to Dire Wolf
I don’t know who COTI is…but he can DIAF.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 10:16 pm to LouisianaTigers
quote:
I’m in Alvin, TX and flooded during Harvey……I’m sweating bullets with this one.
I'm right next to you in League City. To my knowledge my street has never had a problem with flooding. Magnolia Creek runs directly behind my house but the water level is always extremely low so it handles a ton of would be flood waters. I wasn't here for Harvey, but neighbors said we didn't flood.
I honestly didn't even realize this storm was this major. No one is talking about it here other than the fact that it is going to rain this week. I never even saw this thread until now.
I honestly only realized it was a tropical storm because I got a message from CCISD saying schools will be closed tomorrow to let everyone prepare for the storm. The Walmart gas station on 518 had no gas when I went there earlier.
This post was edited on 9/12/21 at 10:22 pm
Posted on 9/12/21 at 10:23 pm to noonan
Latest update not the best for Houston and us in SETX.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 10:25 pm to lovethetigers7
Maybe, maybe not. Let's see when the rainfall graphic gets updated. SE shift in track may shift the heaviest rain offshore.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 10:25 pm to lovethetigers7
quote:
Latest update not the best for Houston and us in SETX.
What update is this?
Posted on 9/12/21 at 10:26 pm to DWIGHT
quote:
What update is this?
quote:
The track guidance and the model consensus has shifted eastward somewhat since the earlier advisory package. This has necessitated an eastward shift in the official track, and a northeastward extension of the watches and warnings.
This post was edited on 9/12/21 at 10:28 pm
Posted on 9/12/21 at 10:34 pm to LSUJuice
Doubt the rain shifts much.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 10:37 pm to noonan
Yeah, luckily it’s pretty dry so hoping that the ground will absorb a lot of the rain. My sister lives in league city as well. Really hoping we luck out this time.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 11:22 pm to Cosmo
GFS model actually had the bullseye on Houston.
Somewhat lining up now with the latest advisory
Reason why they issued a hurricane watch earlier. As of now looks like making a Matagorda Bay landfall as a strong TS with possible hurricane level gust.
Somewhat lining up now with the latest advisory
Reason why they issued a hurricane watch earlier. As of now looks like making a Matagorda Bay landfall as a strong TS with possible hurricane level gust.
Posted on 9/12/21 at 11:41 pm to JustAnotherName
...NICHOLAS RE-FORMS TO THE NORTH AND STRENGTHENS...
11:30 PM CDT Sun Sep 12
Location: 24.8°N 96.3°W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph
11:30 PM CDT Sun Sep 12
Location: 24.8°N 96.3°W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph
Posted on 9/12/21 at 11:46 pm to lsuman25
Im not sure ive ever seen them put out a new cone just 1 hour later like that
Posted on 9/12/21 at 11:49 pm to rds dc
When is latest you would want to fly into Houston before this hits?
Posted on 9/12/21 at 11:53 pm to Cosmo
When there isn’t a defined center it happens all the time
This was already being predicted this afternoon though. Like I said it was the reason why the NHC issued the hurricane watch.
But this still isn’t much of a defined center. Just one area with stronger winds and lower barometric pressure. Still isn’t defined as a center of a cyclone.
This could happen sometime tomorrow. At least it could be close enough to the coast so even with rapid intensification it won’t intensify too much.
The authorities here in Matagorda County were informed earlier this could happen by the NHC and NWS Houston.
They were thinking a Lower Texas Coast landfall was very unlikely
This was already being predicted this afternoon though. Like I said it was the reason why the NHC issued the hurricane watch.
But this still isn’t much of a defined center. Just one area with stronger winds and lower barometric pressure. Still isn’t defined as a center of a cyclone.
This could happen sometime tomorrow. At least it could be close enough to the coast so even with rapid intensification it won’t intensify too much.
The authorities here in Matagorda County were informed earlier this could happen by the NHC and NWS Houston.
They were thinking a Lower Texas Coast landfall was very unlikely
Posted on 9/12/21 at 11:55 pm to Chicken
Met on KHOU was saying flights likely safe until Monday Eve/Night. Wouldn’t want to be driving back from airport monday night but flights won’t get canceled until tropical storm conditions arrive.
This post was edited on 9/12/21 at 11:56 pm
Posted on 9/13/21 at 12:05 am to trussthetruzz
I'm driving from San Marcos to LC tomorrow.
How fd am I?
How fd am I?
Posted on 9/13/21 at 12:06 am to trussthetruzz
KHOU's extended YouTube reports are quite good. Mets are thorough.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 12:55 am to Jwho77
Nice and sloppy on Brownsville radar but plenty of rain to the east of the circulation.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:16 am to TigerNAtux
quote:
I don’t know who COTI is
Former travel ball shortstop. Storm chases with him mom now, I heard.
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