re: Tornado! Louisiana and Mississippi Edition

Wellll frick. 6 years to the day since their last one.

quote:

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2 SW YAZOO CITY MS - 11/30 01:21Z funnel clouds right over Yazoo City over three-quarters the way to the ground cannot confirm on ground --Kelley Williamson

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Kelley Williamson streaming live in Yazoo County, MS

Shite.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1847
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0803 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF MS...LA...AND WESTERN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 300203Z - 300430Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A NEW TORNADO WATCH IS FORTHCOMING. THE RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...INCLUDING
NOCTURNAL TORNADO POTENTIAL. SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHWARD
OVER A BROAD PORTION OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY...EXTENDING TO A
CONVECTIVELY REINFORCED BOUNDARY ANALYZED FROM MIDDLE TN
SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH NORTHERN/CENTRAL MS AND INTO SOUTHWEST LA AND
SOUTHEAST TX. LOWER 70S SURFACE DEWPOINTS ALREADY EXTEND NORTHWARD
INTO CENTRAL MS. RADAR LOOPS CONTINUE TO INDICATE AN UPTICK IN SMALL
BANDED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...WITH TRAINING
SUPERCELLS ONGOING FROM NORTHEAST LA INTO NORTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL MS
AND INTO WESTERN AL. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SHOULD REMAIN MODEST THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HOWEVER...THE RENEWED INFLUX OF RICH GULF
MOISTURE AMIDST A PERSISTENT WARM-ADVECTION PATTERN -- AIDED BY A
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET -- WILL LIKELY SUPPORT FURTHER NOCTURNAL
INCREASES IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.

AMPLE BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE WILL LIKELY SUPPORT MLCAPE HOLDING
AROUND 500-1500 J/KG THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH MINIMAL
MLCINH. FURTHERMORE...WITH THE LCH 00Z RAOB SAMPLING A 7.4-C/KM LAPSE
RATE IN THE H7-H5 LAYER...MODERATELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION IN SUPPORT OF ENHANCED...STORM-SCALE...UPWARD
ACCELERATIONS.

A MIX OF CONVECTIVE MODES...INCLUDING SUSTAINED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...
WILL LIKELY LAST WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AIDED BY 50-65 KT OF
EFFECTIVE SHEAR. FURTHERMORE...WITH EFFECTIVE SRH AROUND
200-400 M2/S2 SUPPORTED BY AMPLE LOW-LEVEL DIRECTIONAL/SPEED SHEAR...
THERE WILL EXIST A TORNADO RISK THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A
SIGNIFICANT-TORNADO RISK WILL EXIST...ESPECIALLY WITH THE MORE
SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS. A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR A BROAD
PORTION OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND VICINITY TO ADDRESS THE TORNADO
RISK LASTING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

quote:

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THERE WILL EXIST A TORNADO RISK THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A
SIGNIFICANT-TORNADO RISK WILL EXIST...ESPECIALLY WITH THE MORE
SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS.

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This could get ugly. Hope for cluster interference and quick line out.

I want a linear rain event now

You should be good for the next couple of hours.

That being said, not the meso I like to read for my area.

I'm just east of Jackson, MS near the Reservoir. I only have a couple of more hours?

Updated Tornado Watch
LINK

Under tornado warning now and sirens going off. Hate this shite.