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re: Tornado! Large PDS Watch Issued for Portions of LA & MS
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:07 pm to deeprig9
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:07 pm to deeprig9
quote:
I googled this, read two sentences, and said frick it.
Unstable air supports the development of surface based thunderstorms, which can become severe. The more surface based CAPE there is, the more unstable the air is, and the more fuel there is for the development of severe storms. In the winter months, it doesn't take much CAPE for severe storms, so seeing CAPE numbers over 1,000 is significant.
This post was edited on 11/29/22 at 3:08 pm
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:08 pm to deeprig9
Tornado or not, that's a rough storm. Warnings notes 2.5" hail.


Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:11 pm to LegendInMyMind
I think that storm may be trying to put one down now, though.
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:12 pm to deeprig9
quote:
said frick it
It's just the amount of energy or fuel available to make a storm strong.
All you really need to know is that the instability can be:
<1000 weak
2500 moderate
4000 strong
>4000 real skrong
Higher values means more opportunities for a stronger thunderstorm or tornado to form.
(An area with low CAPE can still form a tornado, but there can be outbreaks in areas with higher CAPE.)
This post was edited on 11/29/22 at 3:19 pm
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:15 pm to paperwasp
Everything is struggling to mature and maintain an updraft right now. Lapse rates just aren't there at the moment.
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:20 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
struggling to maintain an updraft

Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:20 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Everything is struggling to mature and maintain an updraft right now. Lapse rates just aren't there at the moment.
That's good news, I think.
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:22 pm to Champagne
That cell coming across Toledo Bend has me worried.
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:23 pm to Champagne
quote:
That's good news, I think.
It is. It was the main failure mode as far as the high end goes. Let's see if it holds. We could see the switch flip in a while when the LLJ ramps up.
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:25 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Tornado or not, that's a rough storm. Warnings notes 2.5" hail.
My deer camp is between vaiden and Kilmichael fml
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:25 pm to lachellie
quote:
That cell coming across Toledo Bend has me worried.
The one aiming for Sabine Parish? I hope it calms down, as the guy who works on my old cars has three in process right now and his shop is close to the path.
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:30 pm to Champagne
Decided I didn’t want to drive to stuttgart today. Heading south to get closer to the action


Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:43 pm to deltaland
WTVA with the livestream. Be safe y’all.
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:44 pm to Pisco
Storm near Kilmichael, MS just went observed.
ETA: And now it isn't.
ETA: And now it isn't.
This post was edited on 11/29/22 at 3:47 pm
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:50 pm to LegendInMyMind
I’m gonna be busy with a chainsaw this weekend arent I


Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:56 pm to rds dc
Steve Caparotta, Ph.D.
@SteveWAFB
·
1m
Report from around 3:30 this afternoon
Quote Tweet
Jeff Piotrowski
@Jeff_Piotrowski
·
23m
Small tornado now 7 west of McComb debris falling from sky. @NWSNewOrleans
@SteveWAFB
·
1m
Report from around 3:30 this afternoon
Quote Tweet
Jeff Piotrowski
@Jeff_Piotrowski
·
23m
Small tornado now 7 west of McComb debris falling from sky. @NWSNewOrleans
Posted on 11/29/22 at 3:58 pm to MorbidTheClown
quote:
Jeff Piotrowski
quote:
debris falling from sky.
I bet it was a Boeing 777.
Posted on 11/29/22 at 4:02 pm to LegendInMyMind
So far not looking like anything other than a few cells with rotation and small short lived tornadoes
Is it supposed to be worse this evening or are we looking at a possible bust?
Is it supposed to be worse this evening or are we looking at a possible bust?
Posted on 11/29/22 at 4:03 pm to MorbidTheClown
quote:
Small tornado now 7 west of McComb debris falling from sky. @NWSNewOrleans
The tornado sirens were going off in Liberty around 230. I haven’t heard of any damage in this area as of yet.
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