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re: The Great Flood of 2016: Fill Out Disaster Forms NOW. Link Inside!

Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:26 am to
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42643 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:26 am to
Water just starting to flow out ofClaycut Bayou onto Cloverland in Industriplex
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
68488 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:27 am to
Prob 50 or so friends and family lost their houses and cars today. Unreal. That much water so quickly. Most are under 6 feet + of water.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18051 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:27 am to
What's important is the wavy line at 46 and your actual slab elevation, if known (and of course the datum). Then the question is: is the flood above or below that magic 46 number?
Posted by UNO
Member since Mar 2015
4961 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:27 am to
quote:

The Amite River at Bayou Manchac is projected to crest at noon on Monday.

what does this mean for the santa maria area/old perkins area?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:27 am to
quote:

Thanks, I'm about two miles from Port Vincent.


Here is the projection (pretty sure this auto-updates like most NWS graphics) :


Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177370 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:28 am to
It's about 1/4 of the way up the yards on the corner and rising about 4 inches an hour
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42643 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:28 am to
I'd doubt it, but I could be wrong

It could be very close
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33142 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:28 am to
quote:

Water just starting to flow out ofClaycut Bayou onto Cloverland in Industriplex



shite this is moving fast. Claycut is apparently backflowing now too. I thought it would be another hour or two.
This post was edited on 8/14/16 at 12:29 am
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42643 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:29 am to
That's when things will be the worst
Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
86128 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:29 am to
I'm going take a look at that area.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18051 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:29 am to
quote:

what does this mean for the santa maria area/old perkins area?
Bayou Manchac and Ward's Creek will likely rise to the 21.5 elevation that's forecasted in the Amite crest.
Posted by UNO
Member since Mar 2015
4961 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:30 am to
quote:

That's when things will be the worst

is there any way to gauge how high the water will get there?

sorry, i'm not good at this.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33142 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:30 am to
quote:

what does this mean for the santa maria area/old perkins area?



There likely will be flooding around the golf course judging from the flood maps.
Posted by riseandgrind
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2015
22 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:30 am to
Anyone know the closest motel to Jefferson/Stumberg? I want to send my cousins somewhere they can get to and be certain that it won't flood and thatthey can come back to Stumberg in the morning to check their things. Thanks.
Posted by UNO
Member since Mar 2015
4961 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:30 am to
quote:

ayou Manchac and Ward's Creek will likely rise to the 21.5 elevation that's forecasted in the Amite crest.

okay, so if your house is above the 21.5 level, it should be okay around monday at that time?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:31 am to
quote:

what does this mean for the santa maria area/old perkins area?



From the NWS reference flood stage descriptions...

quote:

16 feet Homes along Highland Road and Burbank Drive will be flooded. Both streets will be impassable. Major roads will be impassable. Access to property along the river is cut off. Homes along Kendalwood Road that are not elevated will be flooded. Extensive backwater flooding will occur along Bayou Fountain and Bayou Manchac.

15 Major roads will be impassable. Access to property along the river is cut off. Homes along Kendalwood Road that are not elevated will be flooded. Extensive backwater flooding will occur along Bayou Fountain and Bayou Manchac.

14 Backwater flooding along Bayou Manchac and Bayou Fountain will flood Highland Road and Burbank Drive in places. Many homes will be threatened along the bayous from their Amite River outlets upstream to the LSU campus. Kendalwood Road and adjacent property will be inundated. Amite River Road and Horseshoe Drive will remain impassable.

12 Kendalwood Road and adjacent property will be inundated. Backwater may flood Bayou Fountain and flood some homes on Burbank Drive. Most secondary roads will be moderately flooded. Amite River Road and Horseshoe Drive will be impassable. A few homes on Horseshoe Drive will flood.


10 Amite River Road and Horseshoe Drive will be impassable. A few homes on Horseshoe Drive will flood. Water will be approaching Kendalwood Road and access to property will be threatened.


9 The river will begin to flood property along Bayou Manchac and the Amite River. Amite River Road and Horseshoe Drive will be flooded


Posted by Catman88
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2004
49125 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:31 am to
If I flood I flood. I just have my wife and son sleeping and wish I knew if I could sleep tonight or have to stay up watching. I might need the rest if I have to make a move tomorrow. Of course I would just load them in the bay boat and untie from trailer and hope I don't actually go anywhere.
This post was edited on 8/14/16 at 12:32 am
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33142 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:31 am to
quote:

Bayou Manchac and Ward's Creek will likely rise to the 21.5 elevation that's forecasted in the Amite crest.



If you are right, things will be bad for Santa Maria, CCLA, Spring Lake, and Fairhill (and Gardere and eventually south campus).
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
19386 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:31 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 12/21/16 at 7:11 pm
Posted by TigeRoots
Member since Oct 2008
8556 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:31 am to
quote:

Bayou Manchac and Ward's Creek will likely rise to the 21.5 elevation that's forecasted in the Amite crest.


Does that mean that the level in the Amite crest would be lower than the 21.5 projected because the water would be dispersed upstream in a backwater situation? Or am I off base?
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