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re: The Great Flood of 2016: Fill Out Disaster Forms NOW. Link Inside!

Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:32 am to
Posted by SATNIGHTS
Red Stick
Member since Jan 2008
2489 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:32 am to
Siegen behind hooters I think???
Posted by Puck82
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2009
23949 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:32 am to
Just flat numbers your on the cusp. And that's assuming the prediction is correct. If it's higher you may be screwed
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147160 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:32 am to
did anyone hear something about Juban on the scanner a minute ago?
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18051 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:32 am to
quote:

okay, so if your house is above the 21.5 level, it should be okay around monday at that time?
Yes unless there's more rain. My parents are in Santa Maria, so I've advised them of the same thing. Magic number for now is 21.5... The timing is iffy, since the actual flow of water is dynamic, so it might not coincide exactly with the crest of the Amite @ Manchac Point on Monday.
Posted by titmouse
a tree branch above your car
Member since May 2006
6651 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:33 am to
Ponderosa /Severn area knee deep and rising per police scanner
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:33 am to
Where is that?
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33142 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:34 am to
quote:

I hope that's not accurate because it shows my house flooding on Green Trails.



The floods have been as bad as predicted thus far. That map's been very helpful.
Posted by titmouse
a tree branch above your car
Member since May 2006
6651 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:34 am to
quote:

did anyone hear something about Juban on the scanner a minute ago?


Yes I think I heard South Juban but couldn't make anything else out
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18051 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:34 am to
quote:

I hope that's not accurate

Well it's the interactive map linked from the East Baton Rouge Parish Public Works Dept website. And it reflects the FEMA maps. So......
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
46735 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:34 am to
12:00 measure of Amite at Jones Creek is out. Looks like is about same as 11:00pm
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
38087 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:35 am to
I just got home from running over to my FILs in North Covington.

Water is quickly rising on 190 and 1077. Deer are moving out of the woods, as I saw eight of them on 1077 between Hannan High and 190. I expect Tallow Creek to overflow by daylight. Tuscany West will have water if this pattern holds.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:35 am to


Heavy lightning with these offshore. Headed NNE, Generally just to the west of BR.
This post was edited on 8/14/16 at 12:36 am
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33142 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:35 am to
quote:

Ponderosa /Severn area knee deep and rising per police scanner



That whole little area is in a flood zone....fed by back flow from Lively Bayou and Jones Creek.

Do we have any eye witness reports of flood waters in areas beyond the flood zones on the FEMA map?
This post was edited on 8/14/16 at 12:37 am
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18051 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:36 am to
quote:

Does that mean that the level in the Amite crest would be lower than the 21.5 projected because the water would be dispersed upstream in a backwater situation? Or am I off base?
Honestly I don't know. But I assume the forecast crest takes all of that into account.
Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
20317 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:36 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 10:42 pm
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
19386 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:37 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 12/21/16 at 7:10 pm
Posted by geauxtigers456
Member since Jul 2015
2067 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:37 am to
was just told that water is coming to Sherwood? Anyone know if this is true?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:38 am to
quote:

Heavy lightning with these offshore. Headed NNE, Generally just to the west of BR.



Northern Iberia Parish and southern Lafayette Parish are going to have some insane weekend rainfall totals. The wouldst of it was yesterday but it's been so steady for basically 48 hours at this point.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33142 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:38 am to
quote:

Is there an expectation for the water around LSU to go higher?


Yes. Right now Jones Creek and Clay Cut bayou are back flowing and pushing flood waters backwards through the city's drainage system in Shenandoah, north Baton Rouge, and the eastern side of the parish.

Manchac is next...and that will back flow into Ward and Dawson creek into the LSU area as well as the newer developments south of Highland. There is some debate as to how bad it will be because at that point the Amite has a wider channel and there's more "elbow room" with Spanish Lake and other flood areas.
This post was edited on 8/14/16 at 12:40 am
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18051 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 12:38 am to
quote:

If you are right, things will be bad for Santa Maria, CCLA, Spring Lake, and Fairhill (and Gardere and eventually south campus).
That's the think... I just don't know. It's impossible to tell if the backwater will actually equalize with the crest elevation to which it's connected (in this case, Amite @ Manchac Point). Or if the time factor associated with the backflow will allow the Amite to fall and then the backwater wouldn't reach everywhere upstream. I just don't know how to tell how far upstream the backflow will reach and when.
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