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Started By
Message
re: Storm Watch- Gulf- Tropical Depression- Northward Miss. Valley
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:19 am to TDsngumbo
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:19 am to TDsngumbo
39 here and I agree about Gustav, winds were the worst I've ever seen. I was outside at my Dad's with him drinking beer and trees were snapping all around us.
3
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:22 am to TigeRoots
So the long and short of this system is a relatively large fast moving system with medium winds that is still on land in Mexico?
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:28 am to TigeRoots
Katrina. 70 miles north of Gulf Coast. 8 hours of sustained winds over 100 mph.
Pine trees snapping like twigs in my yard and I couldn’t even hear them fall because the roaring wind was so loud. I will never forget that sound.
Brick cracked on the south side of our home and wall was pulsating. Only time in my 52 years that I actually feared I might die.
Pine trees snapping like twigs in my yard and I couldn’t even hear them fall because the roaring wind was so loud. I will never forget that sound.
Brick cracked on the south side of our home and wall was pulsating. Only time in my 52 years that I actually feared I might die.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:28 am to TDsngumbo
I was too young to remember Andrew. Gustav I would say would also be the worst in my lifetime. We had a tree fall over on the edge of my house at the time. Thankfully no one was near were it fell. I remember rain falling sideways and sometimes going up the wind was blowing so hard.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:29 am to TDsngumbo
Had a 32' sportsfishing boat blown off it's trailer on it's side.14K weight. Gustav had more wind here then Andrew, but Andrew did a lot of tree damage too!
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:30 am to TigeRoots
33 here. Agree about Gustav. I was in my senior year at LSU renting a house off of highland. Though I was slightly inebriated, I remember at one point counting over 30 large trees that either snapped in half (including the pine tree in our front yard) or went down. Took almost a month to clear the roads and restore power.
This post was edited on 6/5/20 at 9:31 am
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:34 am to whodatdude
Today’s Weather Channel Cristobal pronunciations: “Crist-OH-bull.”
My firm belief is that the correct pronunciation is “Crist-o-ball.” That’s how Mario Cristobal pronounces his name.
My firm belief is that the correct pronunciation is “Crist-o-ball.” That’s how Mario Cristobal pronounces his name.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:38 am to TDsngumbo
Is that the eye that just skirted into the bay on the left side?
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:39 am to whodatdude
at roughly 7:30 this morning the Mexican government re-issued a tropical storm watch for part of the Yucatan Peninsula
full 10 AM advisory should be out in minutes
but I think we should get intermediate advisories again starting at 1 PM
full 10 AM advisory should be out in minutes
but I think we should get intermediate advisories again starting at 1 PM
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:42 am to geauxtigers87
quote:
Allison
4" of water in my house from her.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:43 am to fishfighter
Had a 32' sportsfishing boat blown off it's trailer on it's side.14K weight. Gustav had more wind here then Andrew, but Andrew did a lot of tree damage too!
I remember trying to get into New Roads after Andrew. I couldn't get close. A lot of beautiful trees lost including Bergeron's pecan trees.
I remember trying to get into New Roads after Andrew. I couldn't get close. A lot of beautiful trees lost including Bergeron's pecan trees.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:48 am to cajuncarguy
The eye went right up the Basin. Myself, I lost a shite load of trees. Had cut the pecan crop in less then half for about 5 years after. 
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:54 am to fishfighter
Tropical Storm & Storm Surge Watches issued for northern Gulf coast
quote:
000
WTNT33 KNHC 051447
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
1000 AM CDT Fri Jun 05 2020
...STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 89.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM E OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the northern Gulf of Mexico
coast from Indian Pass to Arepika, Florida, and from Grand Isle,
Louisiana, to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, including Lake Borgne.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the northern Gulf of
Mexico coast from Intracoastal City Louisiana to the
Alabama/Florida border, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake
Maurepas.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Indian Pass to Arepika Florida
* Grand Isle Louisiana to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Tropical storm conditions in the watch area in Mexico could occur
through this afternoon.
For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Cristobal was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 89.9 West.
The depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of
days. On the forecast track, the center will move back over the
southern Gulf of Mexico this evening, over the central Gulf of
Mexico on Saturday, and be near the northern Gulf of Mexico coast
Sunday evening.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Cristobal is expected to regain tropical storm strength later
today. Some additional strengthening is forecast thereafter.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Aripeka to Marco Island including Tampa Bay...1-3 ft
Grand Isle to Ocean Springs including Lake Borgne...2-4 ft
Indian Pass to Aripeka...2-4 ft
Ocean Springs to Indian Pass including Mobile Bay and Pensacola
Bay...1-3 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible today within the
Tropical Storm Watch area of the Yucatan Peninsula. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area
of the northern Gulf coast beginning early Sunday.
RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations:
Through Wednesday morning, for portions of the eastern and central
Gulf Coast and the lower Mississippi Valley, rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches, with local amounts to 12 inches, are forecast.
Isolated significant river flooding is possible along the central
Gulf Coast. Farther north across the Mid-Mississippi Valley,
rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts to 6 inches,
are expected. Rises along smaller-order streams are possible
across the Mid-Mississippi Valley. This degree of rainfall is
expected to lead to flash flooding.
Mexican states of Campeche, Quintana Roo, and Yucatan...Additional 4
to 6 inches, isolated storm totals of 25 inches.
Belize and the Mexican states of Tabasco and Oaxaca...Additional 4
to 6 inches, isolated storm totals of 12 inches.
Southern Guatemala, coastal portions of Chiapas, and El
Salvador...Additional 4 to 6 inches, isolated storm total amounts of
35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th.
Southern parts of Honduras...Additional 3 to 4 inches, isolated 8
inches.
Rainfall across Southeast Mexico and northern Central America would
continue the risk of life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
This post was edited on 6/5/20 at 9:57 am
Posted on 6/5/20 at 9:57 am to TDsngumbo
frick Gustav. That did more damage in my area than Katrina did. Obviously Katrina is the worst I can remember but talking about localized damage I think Gustav was the worst. Funnily enough Rita was a bad one but in my area it did almost nothing.
The little storm that came through in October last year did more damage here than Barry did.
The little storm that came through in October last year did more damage here than Barry did.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 10:00 am to fishfighter
Tropical Storm watches issued for the portions of the northern Gulf Coast:
This post was edited on 6/5/20 at 10:04 am
Posted on 6/5/20 at 10:14 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
I was at my parents' house in Donaldsonville
Meet me at the Chance tonight for dinner. I’ll buy you a bowl of chicken parm
Posted on 6/5/20 at 10:16 am to fishfighter
quote:
Myself, I lost a shite load of trees. Had cut the pecan crop in less then half for about 5 years after.
That's nuts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 10:16 am to Roll Tide Ravens
with watches now issued for the Gulf coast... that means we'll get the intermediate advisories (1 & 7 AM & PM) all the way through landfall now to go with the full advisories (4 & 10 AM & PM)
Posted on 6/5/20 at 10:17 am to WaydownSouth
quote:
Meet me at the Chance tonight for dinner
I've watched the cooks there literally drop a burger on the floor, pick it up, and put it right back on the grill like it never happened. I know that happens everywhere but I saw it with my own two eyes there. I can't eat there now.
But yea, the food there is good.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 10:18 am to rt3
The ICON is coming in with a LOT of rain for the BR area.
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