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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:27 am to
Posted by LSUWoodworker
St George "God's Country "
Member since Dec 2007
18832 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:27 am to
quote:

Anyone familiar with Jackson, Miss? Do they get hammered with hurricanes up there?


Not generally, I grew up there in the 70's and 80's. However, since the 90's a hammering by a hurricane may improve the area.
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
19233 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:28 am to
quote:

if it stays Cat 1 we will be fine in BR




If it stays cat 1 most everyone will be fine.
Posted by Jdiggy
Member since Nov 2016
743 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:28 am to
Jackson gets tornados and lose power for hurricanes.
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
49830 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:29 am to
I am contact with a lot of private meteorologist, there is zero confidence, almost disbelief that they are saying 1 to 2. They are talking more like 3 to 4. Most probably Cat 3, which many models saying high 3 possible 4. The GFS model is shite on intensity. That’s typically the least accurate portion of the model.

Hope for 1/2 and plan for 3/4, or just do nothing and pray a lot
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 11:42 am
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:30 am to
If that thing isn't a major by landfall it would be a miracle.
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11962 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:30 am to
quote:

I am contact with a lot of private meteorologist


Yeah, me too
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182187 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:30 am to
quote:

I am contact with a lot of private meteorologist, there is zero confidence, almost disbelief that they are saying 1 to 2. They are talking more like 3 to 4. Most probably Cat 3, which many models saying 3/4. The GFS model is shite on intensity




Some guy yesterday had the best meteorologists in the world that haven't missed a storm in decades saying a Cat 4 right up the a-hole of Lake Charles

Wish my job would let me guess and be wrong as much as meteorologist
Posted by WestSideTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
5266 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:30 am to
quote:

Is it just me or don't these hurricanes always seem to hit a little bit father east of what is projected?

I think it’s safe to say at this point the current track won’t be won’t be the actual track but that’s about it.

Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3834 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:30 am to
Well there ya have it. Straight from the horse’ mouth. Private meteorologists saying this forecast is shite, prepare for doomsday folks.
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
32059 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:31 am to
quote:

Low shear

I saw yesterday that some shear could come from a system off Mexico, in the eastern Pacific. The high-level winds from that system was shearing off the top of Ida.

Apparently storm forecasters have factored in the shear effect, limiting Ida's development to a H-2. Otherwise, given the record warmth of the waters near Louisiana and East Texas, this could easily explode to a high level M-4 like Laura.
Posted by Tigers2010a
Member since Jul 2021
3627 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:31 am to
quote:

Yeah we had a hotel in Alexandria for Gustav and lost power and just came straight home as soon as it passed.


If it is a bad one, you might not be able to get home anytime soon with roads blocked.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 11:34 am
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:31 am to
quote:

Lafourche Parish in the bullseye - not good.

Now we just watch for H shifts east. Sorry Mississippi.
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39211 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:31 am to
quote:

Some guy yesterday had the best meteorologists in the world that haven't missed a storm in decades saying a Cat 4 right up the a-hole of Lake Charles


That’s 9Fiddy

He’s not a Bull Shitter

His source most likely is, though
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4953 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:32 am to
quote:

I saw yesterday that some shear could come from a system off Mexico, in the eastern Pacific. The high-level winds from that system was shearing off the top of Ida.

Apparently storm forecasters have factored in the shear effect, limiting Ida's development to a H-2. Otherwise, given the record warmth of the waters near Louisiana and East Texas, this could easily explode to a high level M-4 like Laura.



not gonna happen.

LINK
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
11933 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Anyone familiar with Jackson, Miss? Do they get hammered with hurricanes up there?


Personal risk in Jackson isn't tied to a hurricane
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
25532 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:33 am to
quote:

frick off with the political posts retards
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:34 am to
quote:

contact with a lot of private meteorologist




I'll trust the boat.. and until he says above a 3 no reason to panic
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
11933 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:34 am to
quote:

private meteorologist,


New bingo square
Posted by DJNOS1978
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
804 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:34 am to
When you say Jackson are you referring to LA or Mississippi?
Posted by bnb9433
Member since Jan 2015
14830 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:36 am to
quote:

New bingo square


new bingo square

or is this already on it?
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