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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:02 am to
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6157 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:02 am to
quote:

What current path are you referring to?


The NHC one
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4953 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:02 am to
GFS started west but ended up in about the same spot as the previous run
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6157 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:03 am to
quote:


Didn't Lily fizzle out when it made landfall, or am I thinking of a different storm?


fizzled out from a cat 3 to cat 1 right before landfall
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7981 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:03 am to
quote:

GFS started west but ended up in about the same spot as the previous run


then takes 12 hours to move about 30 miles
Posted by LSUBALLER
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
21612 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:03 am to
As to not go back and reread older post , where do you guys think this hurricane comes onshore?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50697 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:04 am to
This gfs brings the eye right over AP and Livingston as a very strong cat 2. Wowwww
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177279 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:04 am to
quote:

fizzled out from a cat 3 to cat 1 right before landfall


Lili got to cat 4
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39211 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:04 am to
quote:




quote:

The Boat



Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36229 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:05 am to
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
95604 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Look up Somalia and it will be close. Go armed.



We like to joke and kid around and Jackson does bear the brunt of a lot of our jokes on here.

In all seriousness, Jackson is a dangerous, third world shithole on par with Baltimore.
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
40860 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:06 am to
quote:

where do you guys think this hurricane comes onshore?


Land
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
74828 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:07 am to
ohh shite is it the appropriate time to pull Stone Cold?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177279 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:07 am to
quote:

The depression will be moving over the high ocean heat content waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the next 24-36 hours. This, in combination with low vertical wind shear and a moist environment, should allow for steady strengthening. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today or tonight, and could approach hurricane strength as it passes near or over western Cuba. Once the system moves into the Gulf of Mexico, conditions are expected to be conducive for additional strengthening, and rapid intensification is explicitly shown in the NHC forecast between 48 and 72 hours. The NHC intensity forecast brings the system near major hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf coast on Sunday. This forecast is supported by the HWRF and CTCI models, and the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET global model guidance, which all significantly deepen the cyclone over the Gulf of Mexico. As a result, there is higher-than-normal confidence that a strengthening tropical cyclone will be moving over the Gulf this weekend.

Basically word for word what I said for my class tropical discussion presentation today and I hadn't seen this before hand. v
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4953 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:08 am to
12Z GFS

This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 11:08 am
Posted by theantiquetiger
Paid Premium Member Plus
Member since Feb 2005
20072 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:08 am to
What will this storm be?

Case of beer
Case of wine
Two bottles of bourbon
Posted by LSUBALLER
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
21612 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:08 am to
No shite Sherlock!
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22970 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:08 am to
quote:

As to not go back and reread older post , where do you guys think this hurricane comes onshore?


Golden Meadow
Posted by fatboydave
Fat boy land
Member since Aug 2004
17979 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:08 am to
quote:

fizzled out from a cat 3 to cat 1 right before landfall


But there was another storm that went through the same area earlier and "stirred the pot".
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6157 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:09 am to
For all those going to Jackson latest GFS has you in the NE quadrant of a Cat 1 hurricane
Posted by Boh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
12361 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:09 am to
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