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Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:58 pm to Ingeniero
quote:
I think a lot of people are getting caught up in category watching and not rainfall totals and raw wind speed. A strong cat 3 with 19" of rain is going to wreck shite. It doesn't matter if it doesn't hit 4
I think a lot of people don't really realize how fricking intense hurricane force winds are. Even cat 1 sustained winds are intense as hell. And if it's slow moving....
Yea a gust or two of hurricane level winds isn't anything to fuss about. 3+ hours straight of hurricane winds? That's a whole different animal.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:58 pm to ThePoo
Yall Highway 90 from Kenner to Houma is gonna be under 10+ feet of water
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:58 pm to notiger1997
Bob Breck please save our souls
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:59 pm to JPLSU1981
quote:
Official NHC track still has it going slightly West of river in BTR
Not anymore
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:59 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
This is very scary.
Prayers sent to everyone right now in the path and who will have this hit them
Please stay safe y’all
Prayers sent to everyone right now in the path and who will have this hit them
Please stay safe y’all
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:59 pm to The Pirate King
Yea I live on the Northshore and have a rental place on the Southshore and this 10 pm update sucks. Might need 2 melatonin tonight
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:59 pm to The Pirate King
Dumbass. Never heard of Katrina or Laura? Where were you when these happened with these conditions? This storm has already shown signs of intensification.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:59 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
I think it has more to do with the lack of recon in the storm myself.
Totally unacceptable in a storm like this. So planes from Tampa and SA had issues today?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:59 pm to Urban Cowboy
10pm advisory still calls for 130 mph winds at landfall.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 29/0300Z 27.2N 88.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 29/1200Z 28.4N 89.4W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 30/0000Z 29.9N 90.7W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND
36H 30/1200Z 31.4N 91.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
48H 31/0000Z 33.1N 90.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
60H 31/1200Z 34.8N 89.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 01/0000Z 36.3N 86.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
96H 02/0000Z 38.6N 80.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 29/0300Z 27.2N 88.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 29/1200Z 28.4N 89.4W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 30/0000Z 29.9N 90.7W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND
36H 30/1200Z 31.4N 91.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
48H 31/0000Z 33.1N 90.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
60H 31/1200Z 34.8N 89.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 01/0000Z 36.3N 86.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
96H 02/0000Z 38.6N 80.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:00 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
Not quite the LA/Miss border like your dumbass was saying yesterday huh?
There’s other tracks being posted that are jumping east
Why don’t you take your limp and tired attacks somewhere else.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:00 pm to rmnldr
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:00 pm to tiger91
quote:You have to bring your own Tabasco.
Wow .. there really is a premium level?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:00 pm to Joshjrn
River parishes and Nola are fricked with that track. This sucks man
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:00 pm to Tigerpaw123
quote:
quote:
Official NHC track still has it going slightly West of river in BTR
Not anymore
Track goes right through Port Vincent now.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:00 pm to deuce985
Dear Jesus please don’t kill us
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:00 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
3+ hours straight of hurricane winds? That's a whole different animal.
like zeta, but less? ok
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:00 pm to rds dc
quote:
In fact, the pressure has
been dropping by about 2 mb per hour based on the aircraft data. In
addition, tail Doppler Radar data from the aircraft indicate that
the vortex has become more symmetric and that the inner core has
contracted from the mission earlier today. These are signals that
Ida is poised to strengthen further, and based on recent satellite
images it appears that strengthening is imminent.
Didn't have the data, but c'mon guys. Especially since strengthening is expected, just get it up a category based on the rationale above and have it called Major Hurricane Ida for the 10 pm news.
The scientific record will be fixed in the post season report anyway.
quote:
Flight-level and
SFMR observations also indicate that Ida's wind field has expanded
and there is some indication of a double-wind maximum. The
tropical-storm-force winds now extend outward up to 120 n mi from
the center and hurricane-force winds up to 35 n mi from the eye.
Interesting on the double max. Need more planes!
Note the wind field is getting solid. More surge, wider spread impacts on wind.
quote:
Ida continues to move steadily to the northwest at about 14 kt.
There has been little change to the track forecast rationale.
There will be 70 more pages debating east or west of the track and shifts on the next advisory anyway.
quote:
Ida remains over waters with high oceanic heat content, and in an
atmospheric environment of low wind shear and abundant moisture.
These conditions, combined with the improved structure of the
hurricane, should allow Ida to rapidly intensify until it makes
landfall. The models remain in fairly good agreement, and the NHC
forecast holds steady and brings Ida to a dangerous major hurricane
prior to landfall. After the storm moves inland on Sunday, rapid
weakening is forecast due to a combination of land interaction,
drier air and some increase in wind shear.
In other words, intensity is still on track for the 130/135 number.
It's also going to put a lot of rain on the east side.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:01 pm to TitleistProV1X
Is this much different than Zeta? Didn’t that come through the NOLA area as a strong CAT 2 low CAT 3? This one may be slightly stronger?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:01 pm to tokenBoiler
This guy on the weather channel is fruit for Bay St.Louis
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