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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:05 pm to
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:05 pm to
1 pm landfall tomorrow. wtf that's sooner than anticipated?
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 4:05 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51688 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:05 pm to
It looks pretty healthy on the infrared.

Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
72075 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:05 pm to
I'm sure you've explained it already, but what made this one so predictable? Seems the forecasted track has been dead nuts since itnwas in the Caribbean
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79906 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:05 pm to
So the new guidance says it hits La coast 20 miles more east but still goes west of Baton Rouge?

Dave Bernard just showed that for this new track to verify, the storm has to start moving more northwest right now. Are they sure? Why do they expect it to suddenly move more west?
Posted by FunkyFreshFranklin
ECA
Member since May 2008
260 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:06 pm to
What if it goes to mobile?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

That shite didn't move east really. Looks like the 4am update.

They're really just using that 12z/7AM info?


No. They aren’t stupid. They shifted it slightly east because they can see the same satellite images we see.

They can’t use the 18z GFS when it isn’t out yet though. They do use the early run 18z models.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75082 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:06 pm to
@JackSillin
quote:

4:05 CDT 8-28-21 #WobblePlot:

#Ida holding steady to the right of almost all forecast guidance, even our mentally-adjusted guidance from earlier today.

This seems to be due to changes in how Hurricane Nora is influencing an upper-level low SE of Texas LINK LINK

Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27420 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:06 pm to
Could be the nhs just being conservative on the track
Posted by Front9Bandit
Member since Dec 2013
15432 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

New GFS slightly east and slightly weaker


It’s very over rated for sure
Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
33409 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:07 pm to
Steph Abrams in Morgan City looking very healthy
Posted by LSUSoulja08
Member since Oct 2007
16969 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

wileyjones


yeah, I bet you take every thing fox news says with a big ol grain of salt
Posted by Sheep
Neither here nor there
Member since Jun 2007
19696 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:07 pm to
When do y'all think the causeway will close?
Posted by lsusteve1
Member since Dec 2004
47789 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

Better to take 90 to Lafayette then taking I-10 through BR?


Don't go thru BR
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
15178 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

Storm may fizzle and be hype ?


No.

I'm in LC area. Won't need it. Wanted to let someone know I was canceling if they needed one
Posted by sp22
Member since Jan 2019
778 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:08 pm to
NHC does not seem to care, track didn’t move East much
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:08 pm to
I want to know what is making them think it will suddenly start going NW after going east of their track this whole time. At this rate it'll miss Houma altogether and I'm taking my arse back home.
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 4:09 pm
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93607 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

Steph Abrams in Morgan City looking very healthy


There are rules.
Posted by Byrdybyrd05
Member since Nov 2014
26542 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:08 pm to
Is GFS better then the Euro?
Posted by 3rdPart Tiger
Member since Oct 2007
6610 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:09 pm to


Wasn’t it PirateKing who said LA/MS line?

Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:09 pm to
I10is fricked from BR to Lafayette
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