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Started By
Message
re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:26 am to SelaTiger
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:26 am to SelaTiger
quote:
Hurricane Ida - Hurricane Warning for LA - Follow NHC & Local NWS Offices for Updates
I was watching the weather channel and didn’t hear that. But awesome if it comes in at a 2.
At 9:05, the guy talks about the future and whether conditions are ripe for this thing to get stronger. He says they are definitely seeing signs it is strengthening and will continue to strengthen. But he says to notice the outflow is restricted on the southern side. He says there is a bit of southerly wind sheer that’s probably holding this thing back a little. And he says that would be good news if that’s the case because he doesn’t like what he sees with the heat content that will provide fuel as it closes in on the coast and allow it to get to major hurricane status, which is what the majority of the major weather models are suggesting. However, he then says the consensus now is that this is potentially a major hurricane, but the good news here is that the model forecast have generally come down a little bit in intensity. Whether that is a short term shift, or long term trend, he isn’t sure. But based on the CURRENT models, it’s more likely a Cat 2 or low Cat 3.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:27 am to deltaland
quote:
It’s probably a 2 now
Yeah it’s looking pretty nasty for sure

Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:27 am to jmcwhrter
quote:
TWC is showing 100 mph in New Iberia but their little corner graphic shows Lafayette getting 60 mph gusts .... that can't be right, right ?
Honestly, don’t even watch the garbage they put out. They’re hacks.
I’d listen to Peej before them.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:28 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
They are dumb for telling the truth? That’s the problem with the media today.
Because they don't expand on the comment
Did they show the 06z hwrf who was one of the best at intensity last year?
Did they show last 2 runs of the gfs and euro and compare the change in pressure?
The NHC might lower forecast to a 3 in half and hour but it a 10mph drop in wind going to make that much of a difference?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:28 am to RummelTiger
quote:
I’d listen to Peej before them.
They don’t talk in all caps. I’m sticking with TWC
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:29 am to East Coast Band
quote:
If they ship out refugees, I mean evacuees, from New Orleans after the storm, where will they go this time?
I hear Martha’s Vineyard is nice this time of year.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:29 am to jmcwhrter
quote:
TWC is showing 100 mph in New Iberia but their little corner graphic shows Lafayette getting 60 mph gusts .... that can't be right, right ?
Guy earlier posted graphs from private mets that seemed realistic and they were in line with that
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:30 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Anyone got tips for cooking during a power outage? We have a gas stove but there's a lockout function that won't let me light the burners with a match if there's no power 
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:30 am to Midtiger farm
quote:This. Until the HWRF comes down I'll remain skeptical.
Did they show the 06z hwrf who was one of the best at intensity last year?
Last year with Laura the GFS and Euro had Laura weaker than what it was. The HWRF nailed it.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:30 am to Midtiger farm
quote:
Did they show the 06z hwrf who was one of the best at intensity last year?
Yeah but even HWRF is trending towards a smaller slightly weaker storm. Still low end cat 4 though
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:30 am to loogaroo
quote:
It was miserably hot after Katrina.
Yes but looking at my local forecast this time, they aren't showing temps over 88 through next Saturday. Not as hot hopefully.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:31 am to RummelTiger
quote:
I’d listen to Peej before them

Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:31 am to t00f
Mike Seidel always at Ground Zero because no one does the miserable drowned rat look nearly as well as he does. They must be hoping for some rooftop rescues to send Cantore to New Orleans instead of closer to the fray
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:31 am to Ingeniero
quote:
Anyone got tips for cooking during a power outage? We have a gas stove but there's a lockout function that won't let me light the burners with a match if there's no power
Propane grill. Or any grill really. Will take longer to boil anything but it works
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:32 am to jmcwhrter
quote:
TWC is showing 100 mph in New Iberia but their little corner graphic shows Lafayette getting 60 mph gusts .... that can't be right, right ?
This seems very possible to me. I don't think Lafayette would be getting very many of these, but it certainly seems possible.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:32 am to RidiculousHype
It's oddly really pretty. That blowing up over Cuba? Scary yes, but so pretty in a weird way.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:33 am to Midtiger farm
quote:
Because they don't expand on the comment
Did they show the 06z hwrf who was one of the best at intensity last year?
Did they show last 2 runs of the gfs and euro and compare the change in pressure?
The NHC might lower forecast to a 3 in half and hour but it a 10mph drop in wind going to make that much of a difference?
Weather media is more for ratings than anything. Especially in an age where we have access to the same information in real time as they do.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:33 am to Cosmo
quote:
Yeah but even HWRF is trending towards a smaller slightly weaker storm. Still low end cat 4 though
A cat 4 hurricane is classified as "catastophic damage"

Posted on 8/28/21 at 9:34 am to dukke v
I don't think that was meant as a compliment towards you, dumbass.
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