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Started By
Message
re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:48 pm to Kingpenm3
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:48 pm to Kingpenm3
quote:
So what's up with this crazy loop de loop action going on with the models?
If you really want to know and infinitely grow your tropical knowledge, and if you've got 9 minutes, go here and watch the first video on the homepage.
This guy is great. I try to watch his daily or twice daily updates as storms approach.
3
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:48 pm to Kingpenm3
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/13/21 at 10:52 pm
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:49 pm to slackster
quote:
12z Euro seems to have picked up the pace from the 12z run yesterday.
Today @ 72 hours:
From what I understand about the steering a slight faster storm doesn't lend as much credence to a full loop, but we'll see...
What happened to the loop? That looks like Charleston is about to take it on the chin pretty hard...
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:52 pm to Goose
12z Euro for today has it making a half loop then drifting out to the Atlantic.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:54 pm to joshnorris14
quote:
My GFs parents live in Stuart and won't evacuate. They are Korean so I don't think the realize the potential devastation that could happen from a Hurricane. How do I convince them?
There is a 70% chance of strong tropical storm winds in Ft. Pierce and a 47% chance of hurricane force winds.
However, considering how far south they currently are and depending on the traffic, it could be safer and more practical for them to head inland and/or even farther south. Heading northward for them is probably a bad idea at the moment. They may be able to wait longer than those farther north before they make a move, but I'm not an expert.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:54 pm to joshnorris14
quote:Tell them to take a permanent ink marker and write their name and next-of-kin contact information on each thigh and on the inside of each arm between their wrist and elbow.
How do I convince them?
That's what people in New Orleans were told to do who refused to evacuate before Katrina.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:57 pm to slackster
quote:
I just checked and there is a Troy-Bilt XP 7000
Thanks for looking that up. I'm gonna got buy some sea foam and carb cleaner and give it another try this afternoon.
We took hits from three consecutive Hurricanes in 2004 and never lost power. I'm praying my luck hold out this time.
Hurricanes really suck.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:57 pm to joshnorris14
Can you convince them by showing them the worst hurricane disaster photos that you can find?? Maybe show them you're putting an ax up in the attic ... that could work.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:57 pm to roadGator
I just checked into Tifton after evacuating Amelia Island. There are no hotels available anywhere around South GA, they are sending people to Eufala, AL.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:58 pm to joshnorris14
quote:
My GFs parents live in Stuart and won't evacuate.
quote:
How do I convince them?
Bring them a Sharpie to write their name and address on their stomach so the first responders will be able to identify their bodies.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:59 pm to LSURussian
quote:
Tell them to take a permanent ink marker and write their name and next-of-kin contact information on each thigh and on the inside of each arm between their wrist and elbow.
That's what people in New Orleans were told to do who refused to evacuate before Katrina.
And go ahead and stick an ax in the attic, to get to the roof later.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 2:01 pm to Goose
quote:
What happened to the loop? That looks like Charleston is about to take it on the chin pretty hard...
The Euro has it moving a little quicker and a slightly deeper trough that pulls it farther NE before the ridge builds back and stops the northern movement and takes it east. The GFS is slightly slower past 48 hours and doesn't forecast as much of a trough but rather a flat west to east steering motion, hence the tighter loop.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 2:01 pm to PorkSammich
quote:
they are sending people to Eufala, AL.
Pretty town, I remember passing through on my Katrina evac.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 2:03 pm to slackster
quote:
If you really want to know and infinitely grow your tropical knowledge, and if you've got 9 minutes, go here and watch the first video on the homepage.
This guy is great. I try to watch his daily or twice daily updates as storms approach.
Great video, thanks for posting
Posted on 10/5/16 at 2:03 pm to LSUwag
quote:
Thanks for looking that up. I'm gonna got buy some sea foam and carb cleaner and give it another try this afternoon.
, no problem. Amazon says it can guarantee delivery of a generator by Monday if ordered in the next 5 hours, just got to make a plan until then.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 2:05 pm to Goose
quote:
Great video, thanks for posting
Yeah most of the stuff was over my head at first but the more I watch the more I understand with context clues.
I can't tell you what will happen, but I'm getting more comfortable looking at the models and understanding why they forecast what the forecast.
ETA: I know just enough to be dangerous, hence the reason I'm careful not to do anything other than explain something instead of making a prediction.
This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 2:06 pm
Posted on 10/5/16 at 2:05 pm to Goose
quote:
Posted on 10/5/16 at 2:07 pm to joshnorris14
NVM, was mistaking Stuart for Starke, which is inland near Gainesville
This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 2:10 pm
Posted on 10/5/16 at 2:11 pm to Bluefin
This thread and the SECRant's LSU/UF Hurricane shitshow thread are all I've been clicking on these past couple of days.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 2:11 pm to Tiger in NY
Just confirmed I have a crew headed to Florida to live stream the storm. They're probably gonna go to Jacksonville.
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