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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired

Posted on 9/27/16 at 3:02 pm to
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52357 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 3:02 pm to
Looks like we'll TD 14 soon based off of that recon, right?
Posted by Nawlens Gator
louisiana
Member since Sep 2005
5914 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 3:09 pm to

High pressure systems rotate clockwise, low pressure systems counterclockwise. So a HP system to the northeast, and a LP system to the northwest, produces a trough of northerly steering currents. This is what is predicted for the turn northward I think.

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42861 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 3:14 pm to
still not finding any west winds so far, therefore no upgrade will be made at 4pm most likely
Posted by SohCahToa
New Orleans, La
Member since Jan 2011
7785 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 3:17 pm to
That is such a sharp and sudden turn.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42861 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 3:19 pm to
just a reminder what rdsdc said earlier the longer this takes to strengthen the longer west it will go
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52357 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 3:33 pm to
Gotcha. I don't know shite about any of this. The blue lines got me all excited though
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 5:51 pm to
Models going at it. 18z GFS says I'll see your Miami hurricane and hit NYC.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52357 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 5:58 pm to










Posted by tipup
Member since Sep 2005
1649 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

That is such a sharp and sudden turn.


Need to call this the "mother in law" storm. That's what I do when I see her car in my driveway.
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
41924 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 6:45 pm to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
65899 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 7:20 pm to
That path would nearly wipe out the insurance industry.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
99928 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 7:46 pm to
quote:

I'll see your Miami hurricane and hit NYC.


ExtraSuperMcDuperStorm Matthew
Posted by CypressTrout10
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2016
3107 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 7:49 pm to
If that happens I will be glued to tv when NYC goes under
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 9:44 pm to
97L is still looking pretty sloppy tonight with the bulk of the storms off to the NE of the wave axis. If there is a center, it is probably down around 13N and 55.5W but it is just too hard to tell at night without recon:

Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
75368 posts
Posted on 9/27/16 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

I'm not getting into here but there is growing evidence/research that the warming of the oceans globally may actually be hampering cyclone develop in the Atlantic MDR.


Go global warming! I'm contributing more than my fair share. You folks need to get to work.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 7:51 am to
Recon is out in 97L again this morning and as of now things still look to be pretty sloppy. It appears that a LLC might be trying to close off SW of where the models have this. Either way, system is still not very well organized and is approaching an area of the ECAB that has traditionally been hard on weak systems.



The overnight model runs really didn't change much but maybe recon data today will help with later model runs.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 7:54 am to
Slow westward trend continues on the early 12z models.
This post was edited on 9/28/16 at 10:25 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 8:31 am to
Saw the GFS run this morning, looks like a tropical Nor'easter riding up the Atlantic coast. Can't image that will be pretty for the NE.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52357 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 8:33 am to
The GFS looks better for NYC this morning than it did yesterday evening
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13154 posts
Posted on 9/28/16 at 9:12 am to
Heavy thunderstorms but still messy as far as circulation goes...

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