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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:23 pm to BayouBengals03
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:23 pm to BayouBengals03
I asked earlier in the thread, but with new developments and what have you, I'll ask again..
what's it looking like for Orlando? I have family in that neck of the woods
what's it looking like for Orlando? I have family in that neck of the woods
2
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:24 pm to BayouBengals03
I'm pulling out of Amelia Island tomorrow, I hear we are going to be under mandatory evacuation by tomorrow evening.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:25 pm to ReauxlTide222
LOL, you ain't playing no golf in Cocoa Beach Friday. That'll be ground zero based on the models
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:27 pm to Ellis Dee
Orlando will get TS winds, downed trees and a good bit of rain. Doubtful they'll see structural damages unless the thing veers left
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:28 pm to Tiger in NY
That's what I figured. Their dog is having surgery on Friday as well. I'm going to try to get them to to scrap everything and head this way.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:28 pm to PorkSammich
quote:
I hear we are going to be under mandatory evacuation by tomorrow evening.
Hearing the same here for Atlantic, Neptune, and Jax Beaches. Ponte Vedra probably too. FLboo will probably get hit hard in Nocatee as well.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:28 pm to Ellis Dee
quote:
what's it looking like for Orlando? I have family in that neck of the woods
I guess it is all relative, but I'd say not so great. According to the NHC, there is a 77% cumulative probability of 40MPH sustained winds and a 15% cumulative probability of sustained hurricane force winds in Orlando over the next 5 days.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:28 pm to Tiger in NY
quote:
Orlando will get TS winds, downed trees and a good bit of rain. Doubtful they'll see structural damages unless the thing veers left
Thanks for the info, I appreciate it
Be safe out there
quote:
slackster
thank you
This post was edited on 10/4/16 at 10:30 pm
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:29 pm to 13SaintTiger
quote:I'll be honest. I usually lean a lot on the ECMWF, and did early in this season, but it's proving to be pretty unreliable past 3-4 days this year. It'll take more than one outlier model run for me to believe this storm takes any sort of southerly track.
What's your take on the recent models and looping?
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:29 pm to ReauxlTide222
quote:
Their dog is having surgery on Friday as well. I'm going to try to get them to to scrap everything and head this way.
Not likely. I'd bet everything will be shut down. Mandatory evacuations highly likely.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:29 pm to Tiger in NY
You can tell by Google maps that folks are heading inland in SC.
But what about our FL friends? And where can they go, Tampa? Hotels will be booked from Tallahassee to Tampa for sure.
But what about our FL friends? And where can they go, Tampa? Hotels will be booked from Tallahassee to Tampa for sure.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:30 pm to Tiger in NY
Tiger are you leaving?
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:31 pm to ReauxlTide222
quote:
I have a golf tournament with my dad in Cocoa Beach on Friday.
No way that's happening.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:31 pm to Tiger in NY
quote:it's really awkward to try to forecast a landfall point with this storm taking such an oblique path towards the coast. 5 degree trajectory change could be the difference between demolishing the space coast and staying offshore.
Orlando will get TS winds, downed trees and a good bit of rain. Doubtful they'll see structural damages unless the thing veers left
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:31 pm to Penn
Don't want to, but I have the wife and pets to worry about. I'm preparing to leave, but will wait until Thursday, at least before deciding.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:32 pm to ReauxlTide222
quote:
I have a golf tournament with my dad in Cocoa Beach on Friday
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:34 pm to Ellis Dee
quote:
thank you
No problem.
The NHC website basically suggests that Orlando has roughly the same outlook as Daytona Beach at the moment.
LINK
LOCATION KT HR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 29(32) 39(71) 5(76) 1(77)
ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 28(36) 3(39) X(39)
ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 2(15) X(15)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 48(71) 5(76) X(76)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 33(38) 5(43) X(43)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 2(23) X(23)
Cumulative probability in parentheses.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:36 pm to Tiger in NY
I live near Hilton Head.. Family and I went ahead and headed up to NC. Didnt want to deal with the traffic tomorrow
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:37 pm to Furbs311
quote:
I live near Hilton Head..
My mom does winter in Dataw. I imagine that place could flood like crazy.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 10:38 pm to Furbs311
quote:
I live near Hilton Head.. Family and I went ahead and headed up to NC. Didnt want to deal with the traffic tomorrow
I see you even changed your location on your TD profile to reflect the evacuation.
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