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re: Southeast Severe Weather: January 8-9, 2024

Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:07 am to
Posted by Roux22
Member since Jan 2023
357 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:07 am to
That’s actually really good news. We needed something closer to the bigger cities.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
33878 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:08 am to
quote:

I understand being skeptical of "experts", especially after Covid and the 2020 election.
I didnt realize meteorologists had anything to do with those. interesting
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43158 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:08 am to
According to the NWS, once it returns to service it’ll be known as KHDC instead of KLIX.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
33878 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:11 am to
quote:

Are they walking it over there?

those things are massive. I think it took ULM the better part of a year-year and a half to build ours.
This post was edited on 1/8/24 at 9:12 am
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38263 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:13 am to
Meteorology seems to be the one government profession that isn’t infected by “woke” ideology. The meteorologists may be leftists to the core but they do their best to seek truth and don’t inject politics or ideology into their work.

Climatology is a different story
This post was edited on 1/8/24 at 9:15 am
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
116964 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:14 am to
Alright someone cliff note me as to what is going on

I see all of these schools down here in NOLA closing early and I am befuddled.

Is it really going to be that bad?
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38263 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Is it really going to be that bad?


Maybe. You have the right ingredients for it to be.
This post was edited on 1/8/24 at 9:20 am
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43158 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Alright someone cliff note me as to what is going on I see all of these schools down here in NOLA closing early and I am befuddled. Is it really going to be that bad?

This graphic is really probably the best “cliff notes” version of the forecast you can get:


Posted by TDFreak
Dodge Charger Aficionado
Member since Dec 2009
7471 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:16 am to
quote:

I really missed the days when a thunderstorm was well, a thunderstorm and not some stupid fricking level 1-5 weather event.
quote:

On one end of the spectrum we have opinions like this. On the other end, we have the people who claim "No warning!" despite days of advanced warning. Often times, after tragedy strikes, the ones from the former group join the latter. Quickly they go from, "Why all the fuss?" to, "Why the hell didn't you warn us?". It happens time and time again.
I really don't see the latter group you opine about, nor the former group joining the latter.

What I do see are a lot of administrators suspiciously quick to call a school/work closure as soon as they see orange on a map. And weather alarmists more than happy to slap some orange on a map for the attention.

It has happened like five times in the past two years and it hurts the profession's credibility with the public. There, I said it.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43158 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:20 am to
quote:

And weather alarmists more than happy to slap some orange on a map for the attention.

The Storm Prediction Center explains their entire thinking when they put out these convective outlook maps. They give their reasoning for “slapping some orange on the map.” Unfortunately, no one takes the time to pay any attention to that. Can they get it wrong sometimes? Sure. Do they make these maps with no justification? Absolutely not.
This post was edited on 1/8/24 at 9:21 am
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32145 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:21 am to
quote:

Are they walking it over there?



Nah they just took I-12. Got stuck in traffic.
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
38402 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:23 am to
Days like today-tomorrow will always put me on edge since 4/27/10.

You can pretty much bet your house that somewhere between Picayune and Leakesville is going to see a large tornado. Central Alabama from Tuscaloosa down to around Monroeville or Camden almost always seems to get a bad one when the atmospheric conditions are like this.

We are not used to supercell activity on the coast though, so I'm sweating this one pretty hard. I'm 150 yards from the bay and there's 3 massive oak trees in my yard that survived hurricane Michael but they aren't holding up to a strong tornado. Taking my hardhat inside tonight
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32145 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:24 am to
quote:

That’s actually really good news. We needed something closer to the bigger cities.



I'd have preferred they keep it where it was and then add a new one somewhere around LSU's campus in Baton Rouge.

But this is the next best thing. I think they had more than adequate coverage on the Mississippi coast so they had the opportunity to move one of them.
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
38402 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:26 am to
quote:

It has happened like five times in the past two years and it hurts the profession's credibility with the public. There, I said it


It's why I tend to follow specific meteorologists. You learn them over the years and know just based on their tone if an event should really be taken seriously. James Spann is sounding the alarm on this one.

YOU may not experience life threatening weather, but somebody in that orange cone is probably losing their house in the next 48 hours
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
116964 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:27 am to
When do we expect this shite to hit the GNO
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41915 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:28 am to
quote:

Meteorology seems to be the one government profession that isn’t infected by “woke” ideology. The meteorologists may be leftists to the core but they do their best to seek truth and don’t inject politics or ideology into their work.

Found the guy who hasn't watched the Weather Channel in 15 years.
Posted by TDFreak
Dodge Charger Aficionado
Member since Dec 2009
7471 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:31 am to
quote:

YOU may not experience life threatening weather, but somebody in that orange cone is probably losing their house in the next 48 hours
I totally understand. Not trying to discount the severity as much as the frequency the severity is used to dictate the stoppage of society so we all can hunker down for extended periods.

People also have house fires and car accidents day in and day out. We still drive on the roads and use our fireplaces. You can’t live life without risk. It’s always present.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41915 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:35 am to
quote:

And weather alarmists more than happy to slap some orange on a map for the attention.

It has happened like five times in the past two years and it hurts the profession's credibility with the public. There, I said it.


Here's my opinion on the matter, not that anyone cares or asked, but I'll give it again:

Today we have more ability to see all the atmospheric ingredients than ever before. Nothing is different about the weather now than it was 20 or 100 years ago. The only thing different now is that we know better now than ever before what ingredients are present and where, which leads to the pros sounding the alarm. "Holy shite guys, this has all the makings of a significant outbreak, better be weather aware" -- and they rightly give that heads up because it's true, there could very well be a huge outbreak given what's present.

Problem is, in my opinion, there's still a lot they don't know that they don't know, such as why tornadoes and other modes of severe weather occur and when they form. This is what leads to all the forecast busts. Just because the ingredients are there doesn't mean it'll happen.

The interstate is full of thousands of cars going 90mph all at once so the potential for a massive pileup is there but that doesn't mean it'll happen.

Meteorologists are victims of their own knowledge.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38263 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:35 am to
quote:

Found the guy who hasn't watched the Weather Channel in 15 years.



Admittedly, yes. But I did specify government
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
79509 posts
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:38 am to
Anybody know what time and severity in north shore is?
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