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re: Severe weather threat for Today/Tomorrow across the SE All severe modes possible
Posted on 2/14/23 at 5:49 pm to deltaland
Posted on 2/14/23 at 5:49 pm to deltaland
quote:
think next week could see a pretty good severe potential? Temps gonna get up to upper 70s Thursday and showing thunderstorms
I haven't looked at it. Going with the current schedule, I'd bet on it. I haven't looked at anything with it, though.
1
Posted on 2/15/23 at 5:31 am to LegendInMyMind
SPC has introduced enhanced risk areas for today and tomorrow:
Today (Wednesday):
Tornado probabilities today:
Tomorrow (Thursday):
Tornado probabilities tomorrow:
Today (Wednesday):
Tornado probabilities today:
Tomorrow (Thursday):
Tornado probabilities tomorrow:
This post was edited on 2/15/23 at 5:36 am
Posted on 2/15/23 at 6:22 am to notiger1997
quote:
The new OT response to any weather thread
That’s what happens when you have an over abundance of school closures due to an over abundance of caution.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 9:28 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Back on the fateful April 27, 2011 day, wasn't the tornado probabilities "only" 45 % or so?
Thus 10% probability is still considerable.
Thus 10% probability is still considerable.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 10:50 am to East Coast Band
quote:
Back on the fateful April 27, 2011 day, wasn't the tornado probabilities "only" 45 % or so? Thus 10% probability is still considerable.
It was initially 30% but they went up to 45% after the morning round of storms before the main outbreak got started.
45% tornado probabilities are extremely rare. Think about it this way. The probability number they give means that there is a X% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a given point in the covered area. So on 4/27/11, the 45% tornado probability area had a 45% chance of a tornado occurring within 25 miles of a given point in that area.
This post was edited on 2/15/23 at 10:54 am
Posted on 2/15/23 at 10:52 am to Roll Tide Ravens
The gas lines at Costco were packed today with people filling up their tanks in anticipation for this storm.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 11:25 am to Roll Tide Ravens
I remember that day… just horrible… Mother Nature kickin arse. Unstoppable….
Posted on 2/15/23 at 11:29 am to Roll Tide Ravens
I’m basically to the west of the 5 rating in Arkansas. May be a fun night of trying to sleep.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 11:59 am to LegendInMyMind
Paging Legend - we need a thread title update.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 12:22 pm to WhuckFistle
I’m right above the 3 line. It’s close enough even for a two.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 1:06 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Paging Legend - we need a thread title update.
I updated the title and the graphics. I couldn't fit the discussions in the post. I may try to get them posted later.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 1:14 pm to LegendInMyMind
I am currently working right in the middle of that 5. I don’t see shite on radar
Posted on 2/15/23 at 1:22 pm to jorconalx
quote:
I am currently working right in the middle of that 5. I don’t see shite on radar
That's because storms haven't even fired yet.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 1:50 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
I updated the title and the graphics.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 1:51 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
How do y'all link the outlook where it changes with each update?
Posted on 2/15/23 at 1:52 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
How do y'all link the outlook where it changes with each update?
I just copy the image address straight from each graphic on the SPC site.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 3:03 pm to dukke v
quote:
WhuckFistle
You up around Paragould?
Posted on 2/15/23 at 3:10 pm to Impotent Waffle
quote:
You up around Paragould?
Nope, Little Rock. It’s further west than the 5 line, but I’m in the area by I-30 where the tornados always track, well they used to.
This post was edited on 2/15/23 at 3:11 pm
Posted on 2/15/23 at 3:24 pm to WhuckFistle
quote:
but I’m in the area by I-30 where the tornados always track, well they used to.
Tornadoes always track everywhere.
And used to always track everywhere, too.
Posted on 2/15/23 at 3:38 pm to WhuckFistle
First severe watch of the day likely coming soon:
This post was edited on 2/15/23 at 3:39 pm
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