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Started By
Message
re: Severe weather this weekend March 14-15
Posted on 3/12/25 at 3:19 pm to East Coast Band
Posted on 3/12/25 at 3:19 pm to East Coast Band
1
Posted on 3/12/25 at 3:47 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 3/12/25 at 4:17 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 3/12/25 at 4:47 pm to AHM21
quote:
*April 27, 2011 is NOT an analog for this event. That is generational... days like that tend to happen every 40 years or so.
Some people are already trying very hard to make the comparison.
The reality? 4/27/2011 was a perfect setup. There were no flies in the ointment. That said, it doesnt take that type of setup to make for a very bad day.
We don't need hyperbole. We don't need forced comparisons. We just need accurate, level-headed analysis.
Posted on 3/12/25 at 4:58 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
That said, it doesnt take that type of setup to make for a very bad day.
A tornado of any size that hits your house is devastating.
Hoping for any touchdowns to be in rural, unpopulated areas.
Posted on 3/12/25 at 7:35 pm to East Coast Band
Posted on 3/12/25 at 8:03 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
If you don't mind, would you share which board this is?
Posted on 3/12/25 at 8:15 pm to tiggerfan02 2021
quote:
If you don't mind, would you share which board this is?
It’s called talkweather.com. It’s primarily southern focused, and severe weather/tornadoes is the most discussed weather mode.
Don’t any of you go over there and start trouble.
This post was edited on 3/12/25 at 8:17 pm
Posted on 3/12/25 at 8:20 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
I know it probably keeps us from getting the worst of these events, but it would be nice if we occasionally got our part during daylight (in Georgia).
Last time that happened we got the Griffin tornado outbreak. 5 on the ground at one time and one missed our place by about a mile or so.
This post was edited on 3/12/25 at 8:24 pm
Posted on 3/12/25 at 9:03 pm to SteelerBravesDawg
Mobile and Hattiesburg about to take it up the arse
Posted on 3/12/25 at 9:05 pm to deltaland
Sir Winston got aroused seeing that.
Posted on 3/12/25 at 9:21 pm to SteelerBravesDawg
Maybe I'm misremembering, but I feel like Atlanta never got it is bad as Birmingham and Tuscaloosa, and that the lines and storms are much more tornadic in East MS/West AL before weakening overnight into Georgia, and I feel like that is the case 9.5 times out of 10, going back to even when I was a kid. I don't have an explanation as to why, but it seems to be that way.
Posted on 3/12/25 at 9:43 pm to schwartzy
quote:
Maybe I'm misremembering, but I feel like Atlanta never got it is bad as Birmingham and Tuscaloosa, and that the lines and storms are much more tornadic in East MS/West AL before weakening overnight into Georgia, and I feel like that is the case 9.5 times out of 10, going back to even when I was a kid. I don't have an explanation as to why, but it seems to be that way.
It mainly has to do with timing. Storms develop in MS/AL during the heat of the day. The systems that provided the forcing the storms (troughs, fronts, etc.) progress eastward throughout the afternoon and evening. By the time they reach central GA it is usually nighttime and much of the instability has been lost. You just don't see many of the high end systems build storms far enough east early enough to take advantage of the parameters in place in the area.
The day that Steeler is talking about was an exceptional one that was historic.
Posted on 3/12/25 at 9:48 pm to LegendInMyMind
Central Texas is another weird one. Just north of Waco gets bad tornadoes and hail but for some reason the hill country and Austin rarely get any bad weather.
Posted on 3/12/25 at 10:45 pm to LegendInMyMind
Significant tornado parameter at peak on Saturday. Widespread 4-5 out of 10 and peaks of 9/10.
Posted on 3/12/25 at 11:27 pm to slackster
This post was edited on 3/12/25 at 11:28 pm
Posted on 3/12/25 at 11:52 pm to slackster
I’d be surprised if that far south Louisiana sees the activity that Mississippi and Alabama would. History usually always says Laurel and Meridian (Bassfield might as well be renamed to Tornadoville also) will get the action
Posted on 3/13/25 at 2:36 am to East Coast Band
Updated SPC outlooks for Friday and Saturday:
This map shows the probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a given point on Saturday:
This map shows the probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a given point on Saturday:
This post was edited on 3/13/25 at 5:41 am
Posted on 3/13/25 at 4:54 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Is the NAM 3k pretty unreliable 2 days out? Right now it's showing freakin scattered showers in NOLA at 2PM on Saturday
the HRRR would have to go completely nuts in 6-12 hours to turn this into a significant NOLA threat
the HRRR would have to go completely nuts in 6-12 hours to turn this into a significant NOLA threat
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:52 am to jmcwhrter
This is going to be one of those days where some baws say “this wuz a big miss nothing even happened” because a tornado doesn’t roll directly through their yard, while something 20 miles away gets completely smashed.
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