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Started By
Message
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:19 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
100% Tornado inside 3 cells in E OK
One of them is near Okay, OK.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:20 pm to Mr Perfect
quote:Exactly - New Orleans is full of those!
cringe. fricking sissy arse soys
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:34 pm to Loungefly85
quote:quote:
Has New Orleans ever had a major hail storm?
Spring 2001
I remember as a kid back in the early-mid 90s going to my birthday party in Metairie and getting hailed on during the drive over
had to be pea size if I recall correctly
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:39 pm to rt3
Correlation Coefficient just spiked up on that tornado in Eufala, OK. Debris for sure.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:40 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
TORNADO WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WT 0003
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0114 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020
WT 0003
PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 70%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/TORNADOES : 50%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 90%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 20%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 80%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 80%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : >95%
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:42 pm to rt3
I really wasn’t following the weather here because I expected the danger to form East of us. Now, there are tornado watches popping up... still looking to form East of us or is DFW at real risk?
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:45 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:
I really wasn’t following the weather here because I expected the danger to form East of us. Now, there are tornado watches popping up... still looking to form East of us or is DFW at real risk?
DFW metro will be in the thick of it the rest of the evening.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:49 pm to razorbackfan4life
Apparently Paris, TX is looking like ground zero this evening. Not often they'll get this granular with a discussion.
That's 5-6 PM local.

quote:
Mesoscale Discussion 0015
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0144 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020
Areas affected...Parts of central/eastern Oklahoma and adjacent
portions of Kansas...Missouri...Arkansas and Texas
Concerning...Tornado Watch 2...
Valid 101944Z - 102115Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 2 continues.
SUMMARY...Upscale growing and organizing convection will pose
increasing potential for damaging wind gusts and a few embedded
tornadoes through 4-6 PM CST. Potential for more discrete
supercells, which could pose a risk for a strong tornado or two, may
become maximized near Paris TX, and surrounding areas of southeast
Oklahoma/northeast Texas.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development has become increasingly
widespread, and generally oriented along the 50-55+ kt
south-southwesterly 850 mb jet axis across eastern Texas and
Oklahoma, which is forecast to continue nosing northward into/across
southwestern Missouri through 23-00Z. The extent to which strongest
cells to this point have become rooted within the moistening and
gradually destabilizing boundary layer remains unclear, but
undoubtedly will increase as boundary layer instability peaks late
this afternoon and evening.
Given the strength of the flow and low-level shear, potential for
damaging wind gusts and tornadoes should gradually increase in
association with "bowing" segments and developing mesovortices
embedded within the organizing convective line. Based on the latest
Rapid Refresh forecast soundings, low-level hodographs most
conducive to tornadogenesis (including considerable clockwise
curvature) in discrete supercells, may become focused around the
Paris TX area, by 23-00Z.
That's 5-6 PM local.

Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:52 pm to razorbackfan4life
Staying away from us right now. Couple pretty mean ones on the ground SE of Tulsa though. Debri field on radar around Lost City, OK.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:53 pm to Teton Tiger
quote:
Just park it inside your 15 car garage.
But what about ya 16th car?
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:56 pm to Hawgeye
Sun is out here in DFW, not good :/
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:58 pm to slackster
quote:
Biggest threat for the state is straight line winds.
so really there's no threat
Posted on 1/10/20 at 2:05 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
Sun is out here in DFW, not good :/
Yeah. That’s actually what made me come check out the thread. Thunderstorm, 10 minutes of bright sun with dark clouds approaching, thunderstorm, repeat.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 2:08 pm to TigerChief10
quote:
so really there's no threat
Posted on 1/10/20 at 2:10 pm to Duke
whats funny? Im not worried about some 40 mph straight winds with a few strong gusts and you're just plum retarded if you are.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 2:16 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Intellicast was absorbed by WeatherUnderground.
And Weather Underground sucks compared to Intellicast
Posted on 1/10/20 at 2:19 pm to Miketheseventh
Looks like the second wave is "clustering"
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