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re: Severe Weather Moving East Today

Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:18 pm to
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
42862 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:18 pm to
Reed Trimmer link if anyone cares.

Reed Trimmer FB Live
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

100% Tornado inside 3 cells in E OK

One of them is near Okay, OK.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82042 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

cringe. fricking sissy arse soys
Exactly - New Orleans is full of those!
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34654 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:24 pm to
Arm pit sweat
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
42862 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:26 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146251 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

quote:

Has New Orleans ever had a major hail storm?

Spring 2001

I remember as a kid back in the early-mid 90s going to my birthday party in Metairie and getting hailed on during the drive over

had to be pea size if I recall correctly
Posted by razorbackfan4life
Northwest Arkansas
Member since Apr 2011
9056 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:39 pm to
Correlation Coefficient just spiked up on that tornado in Eufala, OK. Debris for sure.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91302 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:40 pm to
quote:


TORNADO WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WT 0003
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0114 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

WT 0003
PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 70%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/TORNADOES : 50%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 90%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 20%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 80%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 80%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : >95%


Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
44877 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:42 pm to
I really wasn’t following the weather here because I expected the danger to form East of us. Now, there are tornado watches popping up... still looking to form East of us or is DFW at real risk?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91302 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:45 pm to
quote:


I really wasn’t following the weather here because I expected the danger to form East of us. Now, there are tornado watches popping up... still looking to form East of us or is DFW at real risk?



DFW metro will be in the thick of it the rest of the evening.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91302 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:49 pm to
Apparently Paris, TX is looking like ground zero this evening. Not often they'll get this granular with a discussion.

quote:

Mesoscale Discussion 0015
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0144 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

Areas affected...Parts of central/eastern Oklahoma and adjacent
portions of Kansas...Missouri...Arkansas and Texas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 2...

Valid 101944Z - 102115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 2 continues.

SUMMARY...Upscale growing and organizing convection will pose
increasing potential for damaging wind gusts and a few embedded
tornadoes through 4-6 PM CST. Potential for more discrete
supercells, which could pose a risk for a strong tornado or two, may
become maximized near Paris TX, and surrounding areas of southeast
Oklahoma/northeast Texas.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development has become increasingly
widespread, and generally oriented along the 50-55+ kt
south-southwesterly 850 mb jet axis across eastern Texas and
Oklahoma, which is forecast to continue nosing northward into/across
southwestern Missouri through 23-00Z. The extent to which strongest
cells to this point have become rooted within the moistening and
gradually destabilizing boundary layer remains unclear, but
undoubtedly will increase as boundary layer instability peaks late
this afternoon and evening.

Given the strength of the flow and low-level shear, potential for
damaging wind gusts and tornadoes should gradually increase in
association with "bowing" segments and developing mesovortices
embedded within the organizing convective line. Based on the latest
Rapid Refresh forecast soundings, low-level hodographs most
conducive to tornadogenesis (including considerable clockwise
curvature) in discrete supercells, may become focused around the
Paris TX area, by 23-00Z.



That's 5-6 PM local.

Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
32428 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:52 pm to
Staying away from us right now. Couple pretty mean ones on the ground SE of Tulsa though. Debri field on radar around Lost City, OK.
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
24740 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

Just park it inside your 15 car garage.

But what about ya 16th car?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
42862 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:56 pm to
Sun is out here in DFW, not good :/
Posted by TigerChief10
Member since Dec 2012
10858 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

Biggest threat for the state is straight line winds.

so really there's no threat
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
44877 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Sun is out here in DFW, not good :/

Yeah. That’s actually what made me come check out the thread. Thunderstorm, 10 minutes of bright sun with dark clouds approaching, thunderstorm, repeat.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 2:08 pm to
quote:


so really there's no threat


Posted by TigerChief10
Member since Dec 2012
10858 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 2:10 pm to
whats funny? Im not worried about some 40 mph straight winds with a few strong gusts and you're just plum retarded if you are.
Posted by Miketheseventh
Member since Dec 2017
6763 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Intellicast was absorbed by WeatherUnderground.

And Weather Underground sucks compared to Intellicast
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
42862 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 2:19 pm to
Looks like the second wave is "clustering"
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