Severe Weather for Friday

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arts of the Southeast - late afternoon and overnight... By late afternoon into early evening, the main mid-level impulse and associated forcing for ascent is expected to eject into the Southeast, with a potentially more organized MCS expected to develop somewhere near the Arklatex area and progress across Mississippi into Alabama overnight. Despite the potential for multiple rounds of multicellular clusters across the Southeast (a few of which may support damaging winds, large hail, or a brief tornado), a healthy fetch of steep low to mid-level lapse rates is expected to accompany the nocturnal MCS, promoting a widespread damaging-wind threat. The approach of the main upper support will also result in a considerable low-level mass response and subsequent strengthening of the low-level flow. Over 200 m2/s2 0-1km SRH will support organized QLCS circulations embedded within the MCS and associated tornado threat. The MCS will continue into central AL through 12Z Saturday, with a damaging-wind threat persisting.

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