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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:25 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:25 pm to
quote:

I predict a full H



Never go full H


The size of the H is dynamic based on how big the map needs to be to capture the entire 5 day track - Paulette's Hs are much larger than Sally's because of how quickly she'll cover ground in the next 5 days.

That being said, Sally's Hs look to be about 30 miles across based on my rudimentary map interpretations and Google Earth distance tool.

I could see a full H shift in this case.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131519 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:27 pm to
I like how we are making the letter shift method scientific now
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

What time should we expect tropical storm force winds on the MS Coast?



Monday mid-morning.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

I like how we are making the letter shift method scientific now




If the NHC gave us a scale on the damn map we could get this thing narrowed down pretty well.
Posted by yurintroubl
Dallas, Tx.
Member since Apr 2008
30192 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

I like how we are making the letter shift method scientific now

I've already added an H to my slide ruler.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

urricane Laura destroyed my house, leaving me homeless


Like not comfortable to live in "homeless" or not possible to live in "homeless"?

Regardless, that sucks.

quote:

So now I’m displaced in a hotel in Baton Rouge and this thing is apparently coming directly for me to finish the job.


Good news is that isn't happening.
Posted by beachdude
FL
Member since Nov 2008
6488 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:29 pm to
Duke and Slackster: thank you both for the info.
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56228 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:31 pm to
quote:

What time should we expect tropical storm force winds on the MS Coast?


This is the latest from NHC


Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:31 pm to
Slack that can have my spot
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131519 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:33 pm to
Da frick is that?
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
110898 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:34 pm to
They going out to Corpus Christi westward, basically?
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7796 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:40 pm to
As the originator of the H measuring system, I concur.
Posted by Lion4Life
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2012
424 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:41 pm to
The convection on this storm is impressive, if eyewall can form I would not be surprised to see this storm undergo some rapid intensification. I wouldn't rule out it making a run at Major status prior to landfall.
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7796 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:42 pm to
I just went through a ton of pages and didn’t see any fear mongering images of <970mb models. That warms my heart.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134853 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:46 pm to
quote:

heading slightly due north of west.


Posted by Spasweezy
Unfortunately, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2014
7252 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:46 pm to
Yeah, but nobody has yet to tell me what the ratio of H:M is.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131519 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:46 pm to
quote:

The convection on this storm is impressive, if eyewall can form I would not be surprised to see this storm undergo some rapid intensification. I wouldn't rule out it making a run at Major status prior to landfall.



herpderp
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:47 pm to
quote:

Yeah, but nobody has yet to tell me what the ratio of H:M is.


7/2
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84299 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:47 pm to
quote:

tell me what the ratio of H:M is.


Threeve
Posted by Hydrilla Gorilla
North Shore
Member since May 2017
1446 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:47 pm to
Pretty sure alotta people would have gotten BINGO here
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