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Started By
Message
6
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:01 pm to tigerskin
quote:
Margaret Orr says Northshore getting from 3 inches to 16 inches. Little bit of a difference
Such is life with tropical systems.
The gradient of "yeah we could use the rain" to "there is a foot of water in my house" can be quite tight.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:01 pm to rds dc
Looks like goatse hurricane edition
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:01 pm to rds dc
quote:
This is one impressive convective burst
The slightly cooler feature near the presumed LLC - is that the beginning of an eye feature?
ETA - I meant slightly warmer tops.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 9:03 pm
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:02 pm to Fe_Mike
I’d give Margaret my 3 inches.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:02 pm to rds dc
It is but I was more impressed by the rebound of the upper energy level throughout the culmination of the wind shear
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:02 pm to geauxtigers87
just be glad this had a very short time over water.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:03 pm to rds dc
I think it's stacking upright now. 
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:04 pm to FLObserver
quote:
just be glad this had a very short time over water.
Unfortunately it still has a solid 36 hours in all likelihood.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:04 pm to Fe_Mike
quote:
That’s my pickup line at the bar.
You sure like a wide range of sizes.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:04 pm to Duke
Pardon me for not being up on all the jargon and certainly the science, but how does one reconcile the current computer models showing whatever this storm is bending northeast and hitting MS/AL border with the National Weather Service advisory map regarding “landfall” in Louisiana south of New Orleans?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:05 pm to OldHickory
quote:
I’d give Margaret my 3 inches.
You would drown in her lagoon.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:06 pm to Jwho77
I know more than Margaret Whore. She thinks she’s cool cause she’s dramatic on air. bullshite.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:06 pm to rds dc
Lots of lightning in it as well. She looks ready to start a run at becoming a hurricane.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:06 pm to yomamak
Man it is popping off all over the ocean and gulf
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:07 pm to beachdude
quote:
but how does one reconcile the current computer models showing whatever this storm is bending northeast and hitting MS/AL border with the National Weather Service advisory map regarding “landfall” in Louisiana south of New Orleans?
Those models are what are used for the next track update at 10 pm.
Having some idea how they make the track forecast, it suggests the track will be farther east at 10 pm with the model consensus shifting to the east.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:09 pm to Duke
quote:
10 is a track update.
10 am/pm. 4 am/pm. Those are the full updates with a new track.
1 am/pm. 7 am/pm. Those are the intensity only updates.
This needs to be added to the OP. That question gets asked alot.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:10 pm to beachdude
quote:
Pardon me for not being up on all the jargon and certainly the science, but how does one reconcile the current computer models showing whatever this storm is bending northeast and hitting MS/AL border with the National Weather Service advisory map regarding “landfall” in Louisiana south of New Orleans?
Computer models run all day. NHC makes their track/intensity forecast updates every 6 hours - 10a, 4p, 10p, 4a (central time).
Much of what the NHC uses for quantitative guidance is available to the public between updates, so we're seeing what they're going to use to make an adjustment at 10p. They will also make their own subjective adjustments, and then they send it out to us.
They're prone to making very subtle adjustments on the track, and that approach typically leads to the NHC being better than any individual model.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:11 pm to Fe_Mike
quote:
If the 10 PM track shifts to BSL y’all gotta teach me how to set up a security camera to live stream for y’all in Gulfport. Then promise to come get me/drop off steaks and propane if I need help.
What type of camera system is it?
Can you stream directly to live streaming sites using the camera’s interface?
Can you remotely access your cameras currently? If not you may need to setup port forwarding on your router to access the camera streams on your DVR.
Are your cameras IP or Coax based?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:12 pm to Jwho77
quote:
I'd say so. Northshore won't even feel 3 inches but won't be able to walk for days after 16 inches.
We got 11 inches a few months ago one Sunday evening. Wasn’t that bad. Wasn’t great. Took a day or so for water to recede back to normal.
16” would suck. Especially with storm surge.
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